Agelbert NOTE: It's good to know that others out there (see below) support the idea of a WWII style effort to transition to 100% Renewable Energy in order to lessen the damage from Catastrophic Climate Change. I started a petition to that effect about three years ago but it didn't catch on too well.
However I did get nearly 400 signatures from people all over the world, so I hope that, in some small way, I helped get the ball rolling, so to speak, on the necessity for a wartime effort to do the right thing on behalf of future generations.
This is a summary of Delina's proposal: Laurence L Delina
Visiting Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School during the Spring of 2013 and Spring of 2016
Postdoctoral Associate at Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future at Boston University
Rachel Carson Fellow at Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (email)Citation:
Delina, L. & Diesendorf, M., 2013. Is wartime mobilisation a suitable policy model for rapid national climate mitigation?. Energy Policy , 58 , pp. 371-380. Copy at
http://j.mp/Zf4x2h2013_delinadiesendorf-article-is-wartime-mobilisation-a-suitable-policy-model-for-rapid-national-climate-mitigation.pdf 288 KB
Is wartime mobilisation a suitable policy model for rapid national climate mitigation? Abstract:
Climate science suggests that, to have a high probability of limiting global warming to an average temperature increase of 2degC, global greenhouse gas emissions must peak by 2020 and be reduced to close to zero by 2040. However, the current trend is heading towards at least 4degC by 2100 and little effective action is being taken.
This paper commences the process of developing contingency plans for a scenario in which a sudden major global climate impact galvanises governments to implement emergency climate mitigation targets and programs. Climate activists assert that rapid mitigation is feasible, invoking the scale and scope of wartime mobilisation strategies.
This paper draws upon historical accounts of social, technological and economic restructurings in several countries during World War 2 in order to investigate potential applications of wartime experience to radical, rigorous and rapid climate mitigation strategies.
We focus on the energy sector, the biggest single contributor to global climate change, in developed and rapidly developing countries. We find that, while wartime experience suggests some potential strategies for rapid climate mitigation in the areas of finance and labour, it also has severe limitations, resulting from its lack of democratic processes.
link to article
Preprint:
http://bit.ly/18VA2FDPresented at the Earth System Governance 2013 Tokyo Conference:
http://bit.ly/18Em3BtPresented at the
Tyndall Conference on Radical Emissions Reduction at the Royal Society, 2013:
http://bit.ly/1bXL2mjLast updated on 11/18/2016
http://scholar.harvard.edu/laurencedelina/publications/wartime-mobilisation-suitable-policy-model-rapid-national-climateAgelbert NOTE: I posted the following in June of 2014. It evidences that we CAN do the above, if we had a government that actually cared about future generations.
June 03, 2014, 02:17:04 amIt's time for Americans in the Service of Future Generations to GET WITH THE PROGRAM! We did it with the massive, industrial scale building of Liberty Ships in WWII.
We can do it again with the massive, industrial scale building of Liberty Renewable Energy Machines.
Country of Origin: United States of America
Manufacturers: Alabama Dry Dock Co, Bethlehem-Fairfield Shipyards Inc, California Shipbuilding Corp, Delta Shipbuilding Co, J A Jones Construction Co (Brunswick), J A Jones Construction Co (Panama City), Kaiser Co, Marinship Corp, New England Shipbuilding Corp, North Carolina Shipbuilding Co, Oregon Shipbuilding Corp, Permanente Metals Co, St Johns River Shipbuilding Co, Southeastern Shipbuilding Corp, Todd Houston Shipbuilding Corp, Walsh-Kaiser Co.
Major Variants: General cargo, tanker, collier, (modifications also boxed aircraft transport, tank transport,
hospital ship, troopship).
Role: Cargo transport, troop transport, hospital ship, repair ship.
Operated by: United States of America, Great Britain, (small quantity also Norway, Belgium, Soviet Union, France, Greece, Netherlands and other nations).
First Laid Down: 30th April 1941
Last Completed: 30th October 1945
Units: 2,711 ships laid down, 2,710 entered service.
Despite being initially labelled an 'ugly duckling' by the newspapers, and intended to be expendable if necessary, the ships eventually caught the imagination of the public. They proved to be easy to build, reliable and versatile, exceeding even the most optimistic expectations for their overall contribution to the war effort.
It was a project on a massive scale, undertaken with great speed and efficiency. The first Liberty ship (the Patrick Henry) was launched on 27 September 1941 (and completed on 30 December 1941), which was an incredible feat considering that just seven months previously neither shipyard nor workforce existed to build her.
Average Liberty Ship deadweight = 12,500 metric tons. (33,875,000 metric tons of ships built!).Convert short tons to metric tons by multiplying the number of short tons by 0.907184
On the GE 1.5-megawatt model the total weight is 164 tons. The corresponding weights for the Vestas V90 are 75, 40, and 152, total 267 tons, and for the Gamesa G87 72, 42, and 220, total 334 tons.
164 x 0.907184 = 148.8 metric tons
33,875,000 divided by 148.8 = 227,655 wind turbines X 1.5 MW = 341,482 MW = .3415 TW x 20% capacity factor = 68.3 x 24 hours X 365 days = 598.3 TWh/year.
2012 wind power production United States 140.9 TWh 26.4 % of world total wind power.
1 TWhour per year = 1,000,000 MW / 8765.8 hours in a year) 114 megawatts per hour.
USA total annual electric consumption = 3,886,400,000 MWh = 3,886,400 = GWh
= 3,886 TWh.
3886.4 / 598.3 = 20 to 40% of US electrical demand just from Wind Turbines in less than five years of Liberty Ship scale manufacturing wind turbine tonnage. Liberty Ship scale manufacturing wind turbine tonnage can provide 25 to 40% of US electrical demand in less than five years. Double that in ten years and add in Solar Panels, Geothermal, Tide and Undersea Current and we have MORE than 100% Renewable Energy!
WE can use the excess to bioremediate the environmental damage done in the last 100 years. WE can rid ourselves of Planet Polluting Fossil Fuels and Nuclear Poison Plants in a decade and win the Climate Victory for Future Generations!
We can set an example for all the nations on the Earth of the Proper Path to a Viable and Vibrant Bounty filled, harmonious Biosphere.
Let's GET IT DONE! Our children and grandchildren are counting on us! http://renewablerevolution.createaforum.com/general-discussion/historical-documentaries/msg1214/#msg1214May 25, 2014, 03:46:49 pmhttp://renewablerevolution.createaforum.com/general-discussion/you-will-have-to-pick-a-side-there-is-no-longer-room-for-procrastination/msg46/#msg46