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Author Topic: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth  (Read 11273 times)

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AGelbert

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    • Renwable Revolution
Quote
Space travel is bunk.” — Sir Harold Spencer Jones, Astronomer Royal of the UK, 1957 (two weeks later Sputnik orbited the Earth).

“The earth’s crust does not move”- 19th through early 20th century accepted geological science.

“Radio has no future. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to be a hoax.” — William Thomson, Lord Kelvin, British scientist, 1899.

“There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.” — Albert Einstein, 1932


“The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives.” — Admiral William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project


“If I had thought about it, I wouldn’t have done the experiment. The literature was full of examples that said you can’t do this.” — Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M “Post-It” Notepads.

“Stomach ulcers are caused by stress” — accepted medical diagnosis, until Dr. Marshall proved that H. pylori caused gastric inflammation by deliberately infecting himself with the bacterium.

“That virus is a ****cat.” — Dr. Peter Duesberg, molecular-biology professor at U.C. Berkeley, on HIV, 1988

“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.” — Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

“Telltale signs are everywhere —from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest. Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F.” — Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University in Time Magazine’s June 24th, 1975 article Another Ice Age?
.

So the next time you hear about Scientifically, fastidiously, mathematically, data driven, empirical evidence projections of ENERGY USE BY SOURCE based on the STATUS QUO percentage breakdown in the PRESENT GAMED  ENERGY "playing field" dominated by fossil fuel bought and paid for energy use projection modelers in and out of government, you might want to remember that just being an expert, or even having a consensus of experts, doesn’t necessarily mean that a claim is true.

Agelbert's 2035 projection is Fartium, Hopium and UNSCIENTIFC TOO!

You might also consider that the derision and scorn directed at "outlier" projections like THIS ONE that MKing and his Fossil Nuke pals consider story telling (mendacity) fartium and hopium,  is based on the status quo perception limitations that can even affect intelligent and far seeing people like Einstein.

Sure, the derision among the fossil fuelers is based on FEAR too but good luck getting them to admit that. They don't operate in the reality based community; They firmly believe they can create their own reality, totally ignoring inconvenient things like the laws of thermodynamics and entropy.

They are used to ****ting where they eat. Up until now, the biosphere has accommodated all their industrial toxins without putting a dent in their profits. But people like Agelbert and many, many other humans out there realize that these predatory fools are heading for a Seneca Cliff. That is why my energy use modeling shows a parabolic descent of the use of fossil fuels.

I could show several historic examples of disruptive technology doing the same thing but MKing and his Predatory Fossil Fueler friends won't buy it because of the old "This time it's different TRICK".  ::) They falsely believe they can play whack-a-mole with Renewable Energy now like they did several decades ago. 


They corked it in the 1980s and, like a pot of water on high heat, it is boiling over, throwing the lid of bribes, violence based repression, corruption and mendacious fossil fuel energy bull**** to the four winds. Anybody with a lick of sense can see the transition is NOT going to be linear; it's going to be somewhere between parabolic and exponential for the INCREASE in Renewable Energy share of the total demand as well as the DECREASE in the fossil and nuclear poison fuel use.

MKing cannot envisage this because he is OWNED by the perception of the status quo. So he scoffs and asks for minutiae and detailed analysis about a FUTURE that his pals want to continually game.

He won't admit that, of course. He is smug and sure that they WILL succeed in keeping Renewable Energy to a niche. He won't admit big oil gamed the last 50 years; why should he accept publicly the FACT that they want to game the next 50? No, he will claim it was all done in a level energy cost/supply cost/benefit playing field.    Talk about story telling FARTIUM AND HOPIUM!

To show you how discomfited our pet fossil fueler that drives a Volt is by my 2035 projection, notice he did not even COMMENT that MY energy project TOTAL USE for the U.S. is essentially the SAME as the original chart by the "experts" that MKing respects.

Why did I accept their figures for the total? Because I think they recognized that the growth of total energy use is DEAD IN THE WATER because of so many new efficiencies brought on by new technology (see Amory Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute for DETAILED scientific reports and analysis of this quantum leap in energy savings - that MKing doesn't talk about  ;)).

At any rate the modeling by "respected" status quo supporting GANGS of scientists is, by the 2035 U.S. Energy Use projection chart,  admitting ONE NEW and SIGNIFICANT CHANGE in the energy use paradigm. :o  That is that GDP GROWTH does NOT HAVE TO TRACK ENERGY TOTAL DEMAND.  This is a HUGE admission for the "growth is IT  " view of the predatory capitalist mindset.

I simply CORRECTED the blind spot these status quo bean counters displayed.

What's that? The Renewable Energy Explosion tidal waving over the Fossil and Nuclear fuel industries Seneca Cliff.

I find that is a rational, realistic and highly probable scenario. I think most people reading this DON'T but, around 2017, take another look at this chart.   


Mking and friends will say it was a lucky shot on my part. The quantum computer I have between my ears is no match for big oil and all the scientists working for them in and out of government so I'm just farting in the wind! 

Finally, let's talk a little about the erroneous predictions from serious scientists above. What's the common denominator? The common denominator is NOT mendacity or bought and paid for bull****. These people really believed what they were saying and really were serious, dedicated scientists dealing in empirically reached conclusions only.


What happened was twofold:

1) Status Quo linear type projection thinking instead of rapid change from disruptive technology (parabolib, exponential and/or Seneca Cliff).

2) The ETHICAL thought process of these scientists (If we have something that works to do this or that, it is costly/stupid to replace it with this new stuff). 



Other considerations like career positions and personal financial holdings certainly would prejudice even the best, clear thinking individual but that is not the common denominator UNLESS we are talking about mendacious propaganda (New Ice Age, anyone?).

Einstein was the smartest of the above bunch, wouldn't you agree? Einstein understood physics pretty well, I would say.  He KNEW that messing with radioactivity and making a bomb and using fission to boil water was a low probability event that, though remotely possible, didn't make any sense whatsoever from a military or energy for civilization standpoint.


He was right. He still is right! 


But the MKing PERSPECTIVE of the predatory capitalist "war profiteering, externalize the pollution and concentrate the profits in a few hands" was not something Einstein dealt in.

He was a REALITY BASED person. He had ETHICS. They dominated his view of a proper military and energy future. Only when he thought Hitler could get the bomb first did he relent.

Even so, that God Damned Bomb provided work for about 100,000 to 400,000 people in the USA during the height of the Depression when the money was sorely needed to help the starving, hard working millions victimized by Wall Street and the Bankers.

That's just fine for the MKings of this world. The BOMB created the cabal of fascists (protected from public scrutiny by the secrecy of atomic energy) that joined with Big Oil to fnish the transition of this country into a Fascist Police State.

That's cool for the MKings of this world too.

The massive negative inertia of pure calloused behavior and arrogance toward fellow humans with less power that this new technology created in the USA business establishment was the worse thing that ever happened to this country. It brought us the MIC, game theory, unbridled belief in might is right far beyond what the robber barons had believed in and a general disdain for socially humane solutions to human problems. MKing has no problem with that either. He may admit, as Bill gates does, that it is "unfortunate" that the poor get shafted as result of capitalism but that's just the way the cookie crumbles in REAL LIFE.


Now you may say that I am not a realist and neither was Einstein, someone I can never compare with mentally but I DO compare with ethically.

Einstein WAS a realist.  So am I.

I'm telling you, as I'm sure Einstein would as well, that all this fossil fuel and nuclear crap destroying democracy and playing king of the ****ing hill is TEMPORARY.  :o That is the historical record in meteoric climbs to power.

The descent FROM power is just as meteoric. MKing doesn't see that. Fossil fuelers don't see that. The MIC doesn't see that.

MKing thinks it's strory telling fartium and hopium to project the rapid end of COSTLY  and TOXIC fuel industries. It's not. It's the MOST probable scenario because that is how it has ALWAYS GONE in the historical record when ossified, centralized, elite power has run into decentralized, distributed power. The fact that the dynamic is now thermodynamic as well as political just adds inertia to the rapidity of the CRASH ahead for dirty energy.

I don't give a flat **** what you think, MKing. However, I am gratified that you honored my chart with some ridicule. It shows I touched the RIGHT BUTTONS.   


Have a nice day.

To all readers, don't hesitate to pass this on with or without attribution. Let the status quo worshippers know that that they are cruising for a bruising from Renewable Energy.
 Give them HELL!

It's what they deserve. This is what happens when these bankrupt energy paradigm true believers argue with you: 


 
Fossil Fueler and Nuke Puke STATUS QUO based linear (ignoring parabolic, exponential and Seneca Cliff historically documented effects of disruptive technology) Projection to 2035





High Probabilty Future due to tyranny overkill by predatory capitalist crooks suppressing cheaper Renewable Energy Technology for over 40 years up until now.






 


« Last Edit: January 06, 2014, 10:02:13 pm by AGelbert »
But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

 

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