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Topic Summary

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: Today at 08:14:56 pm »

Arctic permafrost thawing faster than ever, US climate study finds


December 12, 2017

Permafrost in the Arctic is thawing faster than ever, according to a new US government report that also found Arctic seawater is warming and sea ice is melting at the fastest pace in 1,500 years.

The annual report released on Tuesday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration showed slightly less warming in many measurements than a record hot 2016. But scientists remain concerned because the far northern region is warming twice as fast as the rest of the globe and has reached a level of warming that’s unprecedented in modern times.

“2017 continued to show us we are on this deepening trend where the Arctic is a very different place than it was even a decade ago,” said Jeremy Mathis, head of NOAA’s Arctic research program and co-author of the 93-page report.

Findings were discussed at the American Geophysical Union meeting in New Orleans.

“What happens in the Arctic doesn’t stay in the Arctic; it affects the rest of the planet,” said acting NOAA chief Timothy Gallaudet. “The Arctic has huge influence on the world at large.”

Permafrost records show the frozen ground that many buildings, roads and pipelines are built on reached record warm temperatures last year nearing and sometimes exceeding the thawing point. That could make them vulnerable when the ground melts and shifts, the report said. Unlike other readings, permafrost data tend to lag a year.

Preliminary reports from the US and Canada in 2017 showed permafrost temperatures are “again the warmest for all sites” measured in North America, said study co-author Vladimir Romanovsky, a professor at the University of Alaska in Fairbanks.

Arctic sea ice usually shrinks in September and this year it was only the eighth lowest on record for the melting season. But scientists said they were most concerned about what happens in the winter – especially March – when sea ice is supposed to be building to its highest levels.

Arctic winter sea ice maximum levels in 2017 were the smallest they’ve ever been for the season when ice normally grows. It was the third straight year of record low winter sea ice recovery. Records go back to 1979.

About 79% of the Arctic sea ice is thin and only a year old. In 1985, 45% of the sea ice in the Arctic was thick, older ice, said NOAA Arctic scientist Emily Osborne.

New research looking into the Arctic’s past using ice cores, fossils, corals and shells as stand-ins for temperature measurements show that Arctic ocean temperatures are rising and sea ice levels are falling at rates not seen in the 1,500 years. And those dramatic changes coincide with the large increase in carbon dioxide levels in the air, the report said.

This isn’t just a concern for the few people who live north of the Arctic circle. Changes in the Arctic can alter fish supply. And more ice-free Arctic summers can lead to countries competing to exploit new areas for resources. Research also shows changes in Arctic sea ice and temperature can alter the jet stream, which is a major factor in US weather.

This is probably partly responsible for the current unusual weather in the United States that brought destructive wildfires to California and a sharp cold snap to the south and east, according to NOAA scientist James Overland and private meteorologist expert Judah Cohen.

“The Arctic has traditionally been the refrigerator to the planet, but the door of the refrigerator has been left open,” Mathis said.

Outside scientists praised the report card.

“Overall, the new data fit with the long-term trends, showing the clear evidence of warming causing major changes,” in the Arctic, said Pennsylvania State University ice scientist Richard Alley.

https://www.theguardian.c...haw-climate-change-report


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: Today at 06:51:15 pm »

Dying Ecosystems



Earth’s ecosystems support all life, though collapsed ecosystems would be like stepping outside of the international space station not wearing a space suit. Pop! Bam! Gone!

A recent academic study about signals of ecosystem collapse throughout history fits the space suit analogy. Terrifying truth is exposed: The all-important biosphere is sending out warning signals of impending crises… worldwide. It does not seem possible that ecosystems collapse and life dies off. That’s too hard to believe… but, what if it does collapse?

“The Earth’s biodiversity is under attack. We would need to travel back over 65 million years to find rates of species loss as high as we are witnessing today.” (James Dyke, The Ecosystem Canaries, Which Act as Warning Signs of Collapse, The Guardian, Aug. 19, 2016).

“Biodiversity increases resilience: more species means each individual species is better able to withstand impacts. Think of decreasing biodiversity as popping out rivets from an aircraft. A few missing rivets here or there will not cause too much harm. But continuing to remove them threatens a collapse in ecosystem functioning. Forests give way to desert. Coral reefs bleach and then die,” Ibid.

It’s already happening! Imagine flying in an aircraft while watching the rivets pop, one by one. At some point in time screaming overrides thinking. But, thank heavens; we’re not quite there yet.
Scientists from University College London and the University of Maryland studied 2,378 archeological sites and discovered that every society for thousands of years gave early clues to its own demise. Of course, demise happened precisely because those early warnings were ignored, while thinking: “it’s impossible, can’t happen.”

The determinate signal of upcoming demise is referred to as “flickering,” which is a change in society’s responses to perturbations resulting in a society caught in a socio-ecological trap that reinforces negative behavior that started the issue in the first instance, thus, preventing adaption. (Source: Sean S. Downey, et al, European Neolithic Societies Showed Early Warning Signals of Population Collapse, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 113, no. 35, March 2016.)

The formula: Every time a society flickers, losing rivets, it loses recovery time, thereby moving closer to collapse. In every case study, with nearly 100% accuracy, researchers found flickers precedent to eventual collapse All but 2 of 27 test cases showed statistically significant results. Every case experienced massive population growth as a result of the emergence of agriculture followed by technological advancements. Sound familiar?

Societal decline is empirically signaled by any number of drivers such as (1) changing climate, (2) declining environmental productivity, (3) disease, (4) warfare, or (5) combinations thereof. Today, we’ve got’em all.

Rivets are popping all across the globe, e.g., the Great Barrier Reef, the largest living structure in the world, is signaling its demise like there’s no tomorrow. “Many scientists are now saying it is almost too late to save it. Strong and immediate action is required to alleviate water pollution and stop the underlying cause: climate change.” (Source: Michael Slezak, The Great Barrier Reef: A Catastrophe Laid Bare, The Guardian, June 6, 2016.)

According to David Attenborough, the world’s most famous naturalist: “The Great Barrier Reef is in grave danger… The twin perils brought by climate change – an increase in the temperature of the ocean and in its acidity – threaten its very existence,” Ibid. In point of fact, Attenborough’s remarkable new film Blue Planet 2 details the damage wreaked in the seas by climate change, plastic pollution, and overfishing. This final episode of his series lays bare shocking damage.

Compared with what was happening before the 20th century, three-times as much sediment, twice as much fertilizer and 17,000 extra kilograms of herbicide wash over the reef each year. When the coral dies, the entire ecosystem gets hit. Fish that feed on the coral, use it as shelter, or nibble on the algae die or move away. The bigger fish that feed on those fish disappear. But the cascading effects don’t stop there. Birds that eat fish lose their energy source, and island plants that thrive on bird droppings are depleted. And, of course, people who rely on reefs for food, income or shelter from waves lose their vital resource, as the final rivets pop followed by high-pitched screaming.
The signal or flicker of the Great Coral Reef is not nature’s way. It is an anomaly. It is easy to read about it and dismiss it and go on with life, but, in large measure, that’s the problem haunting and overriding ecosystem disintegration. It’s easy to read but punishingly painful to fix. Unwavering commitment is simply not there but for a select few like David Attenborough or Sylvia Earle, the world famous marine biologist.

Alas, groundswell of public opinion is not extant for collapsing ecosystems. It’s just not there at all. Yet, one hundred million people will be glued to TVs watching Super Bowl LII on Sunday, February 4th 2018, whilst the fate of the world’s largest and most important ecosystem rest in the hands of Attenborough, Earle and a handful of dedicated naturalists/marine biologists. Singularly, as well as unfortunately, ecosystem collapse is warranted based upon mathematical calculations alone: One hundred million (100,000,000) watch football while a handful of scientists work at fixing the world’s seas. Football’s more immediate.

Ad interim, massive environmental degradation flickers around the world, including climate change-derived crop losses for which the Federal Crop Insurance Program pays out $17.3B.

Meanwhile, heavily sprayed agrichemical pesticides and fertilizers bring about the absolutely shocking discovery that parts of the ecosystem are dropping dead right before society’s eyes, seventy-five percent (75%) insect loss detected in a major 27-yr. German study. How in the world is it possible for a 75% insect die-off, if not for chemically infested environmental degradation?

As it happens, the list of collapsing/flickering ecosystems is a very long list indeed. Here’s only a smattering:

Oceans have lost 40% of plankton production over past 50 years, threatening loss of one of the major sources of oxygen for the planet. (Boris Worm, Dalhousie Univ.)

If the same amount of global heat that went into top 2000m of ocean from 1955-2010 went instead into atmosphere, temps would warm by 36 C and destroy all life (Grantham Institute).

“Ocean seasons are changing as a result of too much heat and CO2… The scale of ocean warming is truly staggering with numbers so large that it is difficult for most people to comprehend.” (D. Laffoley, IUCN Global Marine and Polar Programme).

The ocean’s acidification rate of growth is unprecedented in Earth’s known history. (Jane Lubchenco, NOAA).

Ocean acidification occurring at least 1oxs faster than 55 million years ago based upon paleoclimate record. (C.L. Dybas, Oxford)

Nearly all marine life that builds calcium carbonate show deterioration due to increasing levels of CO2 and acidification. (Richard Feely, NOAA).

A foreboding flicker haunts the Arctic Circle, as permafrost melts away as a result of anthropogenic (human-caused) global warming, awakening forgotten pathogens from the depths. A Russian team analyzed material from 125 feet below surface in permafrost. They found extremely abnormal viruses, e.g., Pithovirus Sibericum, which survived 30,000 years frozen in ice. All of which brings to mind John Carpenter’s spectacular film The Thing (1982), and likelihood that zombie pathogens are buried in super-charged-melting-like-crazy permafrost.

Seven thousand (7,000) pingos discovered in Siberia… new development in permafrost science, never reported before, there could be 100,000 explosive methane pingos extant. (Vladimir Romanovsky, geophysicist Univ. of Alaska)

The East Siberian Arctic Shelf has reached “thaw point,” the turning point from linear to exponential release of CH4 leading to runaway global warming. (Natalia Shakhova, Int’l Arctic Research Centre)

Methane emissions in East Siberian Ice Shelves are 100xs higher than normal. (Igor Semiletov, Int’l Arctic Research Centre)

Tibetan Plateau headwater glaciers for Lancang River (Danube of the East) down by 70%- similarly for Yellow River and Yangtze River- that flow into Mekong Delta, which feeds the entire SE Asia basin of countries. (Yang Yong- Senior Chinese Geologist)

According to YaleEnvironment360: “As Oceans Warm, the World’s Kelp Forests Begin to Disappear,” Nov. 20,2017: “Kelp forests – luxuriant coastal ecosystems that are home to a wide variety of marine biodiversity – are being wiped out from Tasmania to California, replaced by sea urchin barrens that are nearly devoid of life.” Tasmania’s kelp forests hit by a devastating loss of 95%. In northern California, magnificent bull kelp forests along hundreds of miles of coastline have collapsed into an ecological wasteland, ocean desert.

Venice, Italy risks going on the UN’s endangered heritage site list unless it bans humongous cruise ships from the city’s lagoon, which is rapidly deteriorating into a state of utter disrepair.

Greenland’s entire surface experienced melt for the first time in scientific history. (Jason Box – Geologic Survey of Denmark & Greenland)

Greenland 2012 melt of the entire island not expected by scientific models for decades ahead, but it hit in 2012. (Michael Mann)

The all-important Atlantic ocean conveyor belt circulation pattern, aka: Thermohaline, has already started to slow down way ahead of schedule as predicted by scientific models – a result of global warming. This has strong negative ramifications for Europe. Models claimed it wouldn’t start slowing until 22nd century. It’s already started slowing down and could be sudden, maybe within decades! (Michael Mann)

In 2017, the Gulf of Mexico’s Dead Zone, where oxygen is so weak that fish die, is the largest ever at 8,800 square miles. (NOAA)

Positive Climate Feedbacks just starting to influence the warming process, meaning the planet itself is now emitting one molecule of CO2 via positive feedback for every two molecules of CO2 emitted by human activity. (Scripps Institution of Oceanography)

The scientific journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences has reported that the Earth is already in the stages of the sixth mass extinction, which will see the world’s wildlife and plants die out. The research found that species, including those, which are not endangered, had reduced in number due to habitation shrinkage, hunting, pollution and climate change.

The deadly trio, or fingerprints, of mass extinctions, including global warming, ocean acidification, and anoxia or lack of ocean oxygen at current rate of change are unprecedented in Earth’s known history. (Alex Rogers, Oxford, scientific director State of the Ocean)

According to YaleEnvironment360, d/d April 2017, a survey of 12,000 adults and children shows that people have lost a closeness or connection with nature. “It is increasingly normal to spend little time outside.”

In the face of people mindlessly staring at very small and/or super large screens, the planet’s ecosystems are flashing signals all the way from Patagonia to Burrow, Alaska with bells clanging, alarms blaring, sirens screeching, but not a word on Good Morning America. Ergo, people really do not know what’s going on, which in a strange, twisted macabre fashion may be a blessing in disguise, until the final rivets pop. Then, loud screaming will register all across the land: Off with their heads! But whose?

Postscript: For each of the past 5 mass extinctions the one common factor has been massive increase in CO2, but none of the mass extinctions in the past compare to the spike in CO2 today. (Jen Veron, Australian Institute of Marine Science)

https://www.counterpunch....7/12/11/dying-ecosystems/

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 11, 2017, 06:44:04 pm »




The Still-Raging Thomas Fire Torches Its Way into California Wildfire History

Bob Henson  ·  December 11, 2017, 3:40 PM EST


Above: The Multi Spectral Imager of the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-2 satellite captured this false-color image of the burn scar and active burn areas of the Thomas Fire in Southern California on Tuesday, December 5, during its first phase of rapid growth. The fire has since burned much further beyond the left and top of the image. Active fires appear orange; the burn scar is brown. Unburned vegetation is green; developed areas are gray. The Sentinel-2 image is based on observations of visible, shortwave infrared, and near infrared light. The city of Ventura is at far lower right. https://go.nasa.gov/2B6Drov

Partial Article:

ore than 6000 firefighters were engaged in a furious effort on Monday to contain the Thomas Fire, the largest of the multiple wildfires that have pummeled Southern California over the past week. The Thomas Fire made an enormous westward surge on Sunday, consuming tens of thousands of acres in Santa Barbara County and reducing the fire’s total containment level from 15% to 10%. Incredibly, the 57,000 acres burned between Sunday and Monday morning far exceeded the entire coverage of October’s catastrophic Tubbs Fire in the Santa Rosa area (36,807 acres).­

As of Monday morning, Cal Fire reported that the Thomas Fire had officially consumed 230,000 acres and at least 790 structures, making it the fifth largest and tenth most destructive wildfire in state history. Two of the top 20 most damaging fires occurred in November, but none of the previous top 20 fires in terms of acreage occurred any later than October—much less in December, well beyond the typical tail end of wildfire season. It’s entirely possible this fire will burn till Christmas and beyond, and not out of the question it will roll past the Cedar Fire of 2003 (273,246 acres) to become California’s largest fire on record.

On Monday morning, evacuation zones extended to the northern and eastern outskirts of the city of Santa Barbara and included coastal communities from Summerland to Carpinteria (see Figure 1). The University of California, Santa Barbara, postponed its final exams till early January.


Figure 1. Evacuation zones in Santa Barbara County as of 8 am PST Monday, December 11, 2017. Mandatory evacuations (red) cover a huge swath of higher terrain. Voluntary evacuations (orange) extend even further west, while also including more than 10 miles of land along the coast from the eastern end of the city of Santa Barbara to east of Carpinteria. If you are in the region of the Thomas Fire, please consult local authorities for the latest evacuation guidance. Image credit: County of Santa Barbara, via Google My Maps.


Figure 2. Christmas decorations illuminated a house in Carpinteria, Calif., on Sunday, December 10, 2017, as the growing Thomas Fire advanced toward seaside communities in Santa Barbara County. Image credit: David McNew/Getty Images.

Stubborn offshore flow, dry air will continue to hamper firefighting

Crews have gotten the upper hand on the other major fires that broke out last week. All of them were at least 75% contained as of late Sunday. However, the Thomas Fire is a beast unto itself. Control efforts have been complicated by the fire’s sheer scope, the ruggedness of the terrain, and the ample fuel present in the form of thick brush. Although major fires have occurred in the rugged land of Santa Barbara County every few decades, some tracts of land in this area reportedly haven’t seen a major fire for more than a century.

If nothing else, fire weather across coastal Southern California will be less extreme this week than last week. The highly amplified upper-level ridge has weakened and shifted north, and the pressure contrasts pushing air from the Great Basin toward and over the coastal ranges will be less intense overall. On the down side, however, surface winds will continue to blow in a downslope/offshore direction, allowing the air to warm as it descends. As a result, temperatures will remain well above average, especially during the daytime, and relative humidity will continue to dip into the 5-15% range. Weaker winds in general will be a major help in firefighting, though any periods of intensified wind could help the Thomas Fire take advantage of the very dry atmosphere.

In its Monday morning outlook, the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center put coastal southern California in “elevated” fire risk for both Monday and Tuesday. The center noted the possibility of an upgrade to “critical” (the second highest level) if winds increase somewhat on Tuesday, as models suggest.

In the longer range, forecast models continue to suggest a dry pattern across Southern California and the Southwest U.S. prevailing for at least the next 1-2 weeks.   


Full article:

https://www.wunderground....lifornia-wildfire-history






Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 11, 2017, 06:05:48 pm »

How Our Health is Harmed (NOW) by Climate Change (it WILL get worse! )



Learn more from Medical Doctors:

http://medsocietiesforcli...armed-climate-change-map/

The Fossil Fuelers DID THE Clean Energy  Inventions suppressing, Climate Trashing, human health depleting CRIME,   but since they have ALWAYS BEEN liars and conscience free crooks, they are trying to AVOID   DOING THE TIME or     PAYING THE FINE!     Don't let them get away with it! Pass it on!   
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 11, 2017, 05:29:13 pm »

Climate Change is Bad for Health - Dr. Ahdoot's Story

This compelling video, featuring Dr. Samantha Ahdoot, highlights some of the ways our changing climate is affecting human health. Some vulnerable populations are particularly at risk, such as our nation’s children.


Dr. Samantha Ahdoot is an Assistant Professor of Pediatrics at Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, and a partner with Pediatric Associates of Alexandria.

Learn more from Medical Doctors about Climate Change Damage to your Health (and wallet!) that the fossil fuelers and the profit over people and planet media will not tell you:

What Your Doctor Needs to Know About Climate Change

Posted November 27, 2017

Members in Action

SNIPPET:

TG: What’s your biggest concern in the relationship between climate change and health?

MS: The greatest concern is that, unless many more people connect the dots between climate change and the more and more blatant phenomena on the landscape, we may fail to act fast enough. The phenomena include excessive rain storms accompanied by flooding, larger more destructive wildfires, increased frequency of dangerously hot days, and the dramatic spread of ticks and mosquitos that carry illness.

It concerns me that people who are in excellent health may find it difficult to understand that not everyone is like them; in fact, other people are experiencing health harms because of climate change. But luckily, people tend to believe their doctors. Many physicians are very clear about what they are seeing. This explains is why we could get 18 medical societies, including all the largest ones, to come together as a group and send a clear message to the public and policymakers about the health harms of climate change and the health benefits of climate solutions. The Consortium represents well over half the doctors in the U.S. We are clear that climate change is harming health today—including mental health–and will be more harmful tomorrow if we don’t act.

Read more:

https://medsocietiesforcl...eeds-know-climate-change/
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 09, 2017, 10:13:48 pm »

Eddie, if a person comes to you with such severe problems in his teeth and gums that you, as an experienced dentist, KNOW he has a 93% chance of losing all his teeth, plus possible blood poisoning and God knows what else, you will, of course, tell him the bitter prognocis. But that does NOT mean that you would avoid learning WHAT HE DID to cause the diseased condition so he will not CONTINUE TO DO IT. That does not mean that, RIGHT NOW, you will not do your best to save some of his teeth.

Actually, what you do in this situation is avoid going to a Dentist who charges as much as Eddie does and fly down to Mexico to have the offending teeth yanked for 10 cents on the dollar by a Mexican Dentist.  Then you adjust to the new way of life by eating mostly soft foods.  My diet consists of stuff like Brie Cheese, Cottage Cheese, Bananas, Berries, Sashimi, Soups of various kinds, Raw Meat (either ground sirloin or thin sliced filet mignon if I feel like spending), rice & beans, etc.  When I do have enough of an appetite to actually eat, I have no problem fulfilling my nutritional requirements with the 6 teeth I have left at the top front of my mouth.

To extend the analogy, when your teeth are so far gone you can't fix them, don't waste your money getting expensive implants from an expensive Dentist.  Get rid of the fu ck ing teeth and adjust to the New Reality.

We need to adjust to the new reality here, not try to fix a terminally broken set of teeth.

RE

RE,
I understand what you did with your dentition and I'm glad it worked for you. But can you honestly say that you solved all your health problems with that decision? Can you honestly say that your diet did not contribute to PAD and other health woes you are now experiencing? If you want to push the analogy, I must say to you that you cannot simply cherry pick a symptoms solving therapy that solved the teeth issue but did not address the root causes in your overall health problems.

Reality IS. I ALWAYS deal with it. Sometimes I do not deal with it all that successfully , but I will not pretend it ain't there.

I disagree strongly with you if you think that I am the one "not adjusting to reality". The costs here are not just measured in dollars and cents; they are measured in quality of life and longevity. You are experiencing the effects of everything you have eaten and all the toxins you have been exposed to throughout your life. A decade ago, when I was a year older than you are now, I had to have a pacemaker implanted. I did not just treat the symptoms; I changed my activites to prevent further problems. It has worked well. That's all I'm saying we should do. I know you long ago made some decisions that you KNEW would shorten your life (like refusing to stop smoking). You have accepted that the consequences of that decision are inescapable. Accepting that REALITY is worthy of respect. It shows that you, unlike Palloy, understand that there ARE CAUSES, ROOT CAUSES, to any health problems we have now.

As to the inescapable reality of the accelerating deterioration of our environment and our society, Palloy is the one who cannot handle it. This la la land view that global warming and catastrophic climate change is "all going to go away with collapse" is the ultimate in wishful thinking and straw grasping.



RE, what part of the following do you not agree with?
Quote
Even if carbon dioxide emissions came to a sudden halt, the carbon dioxide already in Earth’s atmosphere could continue to warm our planet for hundreds of years, according to Princeton University-led research published in the journal Nature Climate Change.

I refuse to engage in Palloy's magical thinking, PERIOD!


Eddie said:
Quote
I think you make good points. I think the "silver lining" of collapse (if there is one) though, is that there is some truth to Palloy's thesis, which is that collapse will be what limits climate change.

I don't know whether immediate collapse tomorrow or next week would limit climate change ENOUGH to save humans or the higher animals, but I think it's possible. I'm not optimistic that it would, for the reason you stated. And I agree with you that reducing carbon emissions immediately is still a good idea.

As of now, it seems to still be getting worse instead of better, and those who should be leading us into a lower energy future are instead in complete denial, and doing all the wrong things.

It's seems more likely to me that collapse will do more to limit climate change than all the governments and al the elites and al the current lip service to change. that's a pessimistic view, I know, and I wish I had more reason not to be such a pessimist.


Eddie,

NO, Palloy's point is without any logical or rational foundation whatsover. A collapse WILL NOT stop global warming for several centuries. Until you can somehow prove that humans can routinely live under horrendous climate conditions for over 200 years, you do not have any basis whatsoever to assume that a collapse will "improve" the climate during those 200 years (2018-2218 at least!). Sure, after 1,000 years or so, the average global atmospheric temperature will start going down from ABOUT 10º C ABOVE Pre-Industrial!

It's wishful thinking that Palloy is engaging in. It's irrational to think otherwise.
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 09, 2017, 05:33:50 pm »



Here's the Teacher-Friendly Antidote to Heartland Institute's Anti-Science School Propaganda

Saturday, December 09, 2017

By Ashley Braun, DeSmogBlog | Report

SNIPPET:

Taking on Heartland Institute Myths

While they don't explicitly mention the Heartland teacher mailing in the FAQ, Duggan-Haas pointed out, "The first question of the FAQ chapter is 'Is there a consensus among climate scientists that global warming is occurring and that humans are the cause?'"

The title of the Heartland book, of course, was Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

"That's a pretty direct response to the theme of their publication," he said.

In keeping with best practices for science communication, Duggan-Haas said they didn't want to trigger the "backfire effect," a phenomenon that may occur when trying to correct misinformation.

"We're trying to avoid restating the myth in a way that would reinforce it," he said. 

Ross agreed: "We did not dwell on the Heartland Institute, even in the FAQ, but we did try to make sure we addressed some of the most important points that the Heartland Institute was making in their propaganda."

In its FAQ, the Paleontological Research Institution's teacher guide answers 18 questions touching on common climate science denier points, including why we can trust the proven reliability of computer climate models and why humans, rather than natural variation or the sun, are the most likely explanation for observed global warming.

One of the questions, "Are people who are arguing that global warming is happening being alarmists?" is a likely reference to the derogatory term, "alarmist," frequently used by the Heartland Institute and other climate denier organizations.

Full article:

http://www.truth-out.org/...science-school-propaganda

FREE The Teacher-Friendly Guide to Climate Change

Stop the KOCHROACH  propaganda lies! Please pass this on.   

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 09, 2017, 03:35:53 pm »

http://grist.org/briefly/inmates-are-risking-their-lives-to-fight-californias-raging-fires/

Briefly
Stuff that matters
risky business


DAVID MCNEW / Stringer / Getty Images Inmates are risking their lives to fight California’s raging fires.
As wildfires tear through the greater Los Angeles area, destroying hundreds of homes, officials have warned nearly 200,000 people to evacuate.

Thousands of firefighters have arrived on the scene — many of them inmates, who make up about a third of the state’s wildfire-fighting force. Since the 1940s, California has relied on inmates to combat the flames by digging containment lines and clearing away brush. In return for this difficult and dangerous work — which has been compared to slave-era labor conditions — inmates get credit toward early parole and $2 per day in camp plus $1 per hour for their time on the fire line.

Roughly 250 women inmates serve on California’s firefighting force, risking their lives to get out of prison faster.

“I’ve seen women come back with broken ankles and broken arms, burns, or just suffering from exhaustion, you know, the psychological stress that people go through trying to just pass the requirements,” Romarilyn Ralston, a former firefighter trainer, told PBS.

As climate change makes wildfires worse, state officials are scrambling to recruit more inmates to fight them.
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 08, 2017, 02:44:01 pm »


An enormous waterfall gushes off the Nansen Ice Shelf. Credit: Jonathan Kingslake


New Climate Study: Most Severe Warming Projections Are Now the Most Likely

December 8, 2017

By Tim Radford

SNIPPET:

Global warming, under the notorious "business-as-usual scenario" in which humans go on burning fossil fuels to power economic growth, could by 2100 be at least 15 percent warmer than the worst UN projections so far. And the spread of uncertainty in such gloomy forecasts has been narrowed as well.

Climate scientists had worked on the assumption that there was a 62 percent chance that the world would have warmed on average by more than 4°C if no action was taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

But a new study has not only raised the stakes, it has narrowed the uncertainty. There is now a 93 percent chance that global warming will—once again, under the business-as-usual scenario—exceed 4°C by 2100.


Full article:

https://www.ecowatch.com/...nge-study-2515859984.html

Agelbert NOTE: For over a decade many observant and objectively analytical scientists have been saying that business as usual is suicidal and must not continue if we are to survive and proper as a species.

I have been voicing these warnings for over 5 years now.

It is sad that only major repeated catastrophic climate change events will finally get the greedballs running our civilization to smell the extinction coffee. WHY? Because it is crystal clear that any and all actions, as of a few years ago, will not stop the destruction for over a century.

We are now commited to a 4º C temperature increase horror.


Every YEAR, not every several years, that criminals like Trump delay action means more widespread deaths, misery and multiple extinctiions in the biosphere humanity requires to survive.

God will NOT intervene. He gave us FREE WILL! The wages of sin are DEATH.


For those of you who do not think that SIN is the problem here, please remember that SIN means to miss the mark. ANYBODY that thinks those running this profit over people and planet suicidal system are not MISSING THE MARK is in willful denial of reality.


And for all those happy wishful thinking GROUP THINKER Buddhists, who are so reality challenged  that they think you "cannor sin" because there is no "right or wrong" behavior to define "missing the mark", I can only say that you are too far up that river in Egypt to be of any use whatsoever in combating the evil that afflicts our society. I am sure that the evil forces in this world are quite happy to see so many people pretending that evil does not exist. You must be the brunt of jokes in the top Capitalist Profit over People and planet Board Meetings all over the planet.    

And mind you, the horror of a 4º C increase (PLUS!) may NOT be as far away as this new study predicts. Bear in mind that for the last three decades, EVERY SINGLE PREDICTION of temperature increase and global ice melt has been incredibly off the rapidly increasing global warming measured reality. Look at this chart and realize that those in charge are NOT going to keep you and your family from dying in heat and misery unless they are replaced by people who CARE about DOING THE RIGHT THING FOR GOD IN THE BIOSPHERE, PERIOD!



The Fossil Fuelers DID THE Clean Energy  Inventions suppressing, Climate Trashing, human health depleting CRIME,   but since they have ALWAYS BEEN liars and conscience free crooks, they are trying to AVOID   DOING THE TIME or     PAYING THE FINE!     Don't let them get away with it! Pass it on!   
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 08, 2017, 01:01:05 pm »

Wildfires are Leveling LA Neighborhoods, Is There More to Come?

Yes.  Further high winds and dry conditions expected tomorrow, then all week next week.

One has to wonder how CA musters up the money to pay the overtime to all these firefighters?  ???   

RE

Many of the firefighters are prison labor paid one dollar per hour.  :P When slavery was abolished in the USA over a century ago, the Capitalists left an exception for prison labor. LEGAL Prison (SLAVE) labor is a growth industry in the United Fascist States of America.   

 
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 07, 2017, 08:22:05 pm »

 



December 7, 2017

Wildfires are Leveling LA Neighborhoods, Is There More to Come?

TRNN's Climate Crisis Bureau speaks to leading experts to examine how climate change has contributed to the worst wildfire season ever recorded in California

http://therealnews.com/t2...emid=74&jumival=20664
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 06, 2017, 06:52:38 pm »



California's Year of Hellfire Continues As a Huge Blaze Erupts Outside of Los Angeles

December 6, 2017

Brian Kahn

SNIPPET:

The National Weather Service fire forecast indicates that extreme or critical fire weather could affect 20 million Southern Californians today and tomorrow. Through next week, that number balloons to 36 million.

The National Weather Service’s San Diego office took to Twitter to beg for a pattern change later this month. Right now, the city is on track to have tie 1929 for its driest start to the water year on record.

Parts of Southern California have been bone dry since the start of the water year on Oct. 1. Image: NOAA Western Regional Climate Center



Full article:


https://earther.com/calif...s-a-huge-blaze-1821012661

Agelbert NOTE: The level of CO and CO2 in the Los Angeles area right now is off the charts. :P  See for yourself:

https://earth.nullschool....raphic=-122.90,34.98,3000


I seem to remember reading about something else that happened in 1929...

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 06, 2017, 06:25:19 pm »





Dramatic Iceberg Breakup in Antarctica Has Scientists Even More Worried

December 6, 2017

Maddie Stone

SNIPPET:

“What’s both interesting and of concern is the lines along which the iceberg has broken follow the pattern of crevasses developed in the ice shelf that it calved from,” Larter continued. “This change of behavior might reflect the crevasses within the ice shelf having an increasing influence on the spacing and pattern of iceberg calving.”

Pine island is currently shedding about 45 billion tons of ice a year. Scientists are watching closely for signs that the glacier will retreat faster as temperatures rise (they’ve already risen more than two degrees Celsius at the nearby Byrd Station). And several recent calving events—a 252-square-mile glacier in 2013, a 225-square-miles glacier in 2015, and the 72-square-mile glacier earlier this year—have put the Antarctic science community on edge.

Full article:

https://earther.com/drama...s-scientists-e-1821018353
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 03, 2017, 06:24:59 pm »

http://www.cnn.com/2017/1...-recovery-trnd/index.html

75 days after Maria, this is life in St. Croix



By Cassandra Santiago, CNN

Updated 6:33 AM ET, Sun December 3, 2017

(CNN)The sound of rattling generators fill Tarik McMillan's ears when he wakes up.

The noise is all around him, a mix between a car engine and a really big blender.

On St. Croix, an island where many places still don't have power, the diesel generators in his neighborhood rumble through the night.
He walks to the kitchen and greets his grandpa, who's boiling water on a propane stove to make coffee. Without power, the coffeemaker is a museum piece.



Tarik McMillan

It's been 75 days since Hurricane Maria hammered the US Virgin Islands, and although the buzz of daily life is returning, the storm's ghost hovers over everything.

Power remains out for more than 60% of the territory. On St. Croix, the largest of the islands, only about a fourth of residents -- known as Crucians -- have electricity. Many homes still have no roofs. Cell networks are spotty.

This is the new normal for McMillan and the islands' other residents as they negotiate their daily lives. There's a gigantic line on their calendar -- before Maria, and after. Almost nothing about the two is the same...










[/center]

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: December 02, 2017, 01:09:21 pm »

EcoWatch

Global Warming Hiatus Isn’t Over: It Never Began

December 2, 2017

By Tim Radford

SNIPPET:

Just weeks after one group of scientists officially declared an end to the global warming pause, the so-called hiatus, another group has returned to the argument.

They argue that there never was a pause in global warming. There was instead a global misperception that warming slowed between 1998 and 2012, but only because of gaps in the data, in particular from the Arctic, the fastest-warming region of the planet.

"We recalculated the average global temperatures from 1998 to 2012 and found that the rate of global warming had continued to rise at 0.112°C per decade instead of slowing down to 0.05°C per decade as previously thought," said Xiangdong Zhang, of the International Arctic Research Centre at the University of Alaska, Fairbanks.

He and colleagues report in the journal Nature Climate Change that their new estimates suggest that the Arctic had warmed by more than six times the global average during the first dozen or so years of this century.

The argument about the apparent slowdown in the rate of increase in global warming—that warming slowed but never stopped—provides a case study of science in action.

Full article:

https://www.ecowatch.com/...ng-hiatus-2513233956.html
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 30, 2017, 07:21:50 pm »


Copperband butterflyfish tolerate a narrow range of temperatures, and already live at the edge of their limits. Ocean warming could push them (and other tropical fish) over the edge.  :( Photo Credit: Credit: POPimage/Shutterstock

Coral reef fish have the most to lose from climate change

BY: Madeline Bodin Thursday November 2, 2017

SNIPPET:

Quote
What’s at stake is more than the survival of the copperband butterflyfish. That’s because protecting coral reefs also protects the people that depend on them, McLeod said. “We have a moral obligation.”    


Of all the fish in the sea, tropical species are the most vulnerable. In streams and lakes, the opposite is true: Cold water fish are most likely to lose. Credit: Lotus_studio/Shutterstock


Full article:


http://oceana.org/blog/co...-most-lose-climate-change
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 28, 2017, 08:55:49 pm »

Is Puerto Rico Being Ethnically Cleansed for the Rich?


Thom is joined by Harvey Wasserman to discuss how after the devastating hurricane, predatory capitalists have started ethnically cleansing Puerto Rico to make it a paradise for the rich.

Thom Hartmann Nov. 27, 2017 6:00 pm
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 28, 2017, 05:55:28 pm »

 

 

November 28, 2017


Dangerous Climate Change is Here and Worse to Come, Major Report Warns

Contributing author to the report for the US Congress, Columbia University climate scientist, Dr. Radley Horton says more extreme weather events will be more common if U.S. doesn't curb use of fossil fuel



Agelbert NOTE: The NEW report discussed in the video states we are headed for a FIVE DEGREE C INCREASE!

http://therealnews.com/t2...27%20style=%27color:#000;

The Fossil Fuelers DID THE Clean Energy  Inventions suppressing, Climate Trashing, human health depleting CRIME,   but since they have ALWAYS BEEN liars and conscience free crooks, they are trying to AVOID   DOING THE TIME or     PAYING THE FINE!     Don't let them get away with it! Pass it on!   
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 26, 2017, 07:58:44 pm »

More Evidence of Runaway Greenhouse Gas Caused Catastrophic Climate Change
Agelbert NOTE: As Global Warming increases, storms form in places they did not form before. Have a nice day.



Nov 20, 2017

Rare hybrid tropical storm in the Mediterranean Sea 

NOAA/NASA's Suomi NPP captured this image of a rare tropical-like storm system in the Mediterranean Sea intensifying off of Italy's southern coast on November 18, 2017. The image shows a well-defined eyewall as the storm entered the Ionian Sea between Italy and Greece.

Named 'Numa' by the Free University of Berlin's Institute of Meteorology, the storm has caused heavy rainfall and deadly flooding in Greece and parts of the Balkans. Numa is considered a hybrid storm, with both tropical and subtropical characteristics. The Mediterranean Sea typically is not conducive to tropical cyclone development, due to its relatively shallow depth and the limited amount of open water uninterrupted by land areas.

Although true-color images like this may appear to be photographs of Earth, they aren't. They are created by combining data from the three color channels on the VIIRS instrument sensitive to the red, green and blue (or RGB) wavelengths of light into one composite image. In addition, data from several other channels are often also included to cancel out or correct atmospheric interference that may blur parts of the image.

    
Terms of Use:   Please credit NOAA/NASA

Keywords:   Mediterranean Sea, NPP, VIIRS, 2017.11.18


https://www.nnvl.noaa.gov...ID=2150&MediaTypeID=1
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 25, 2017, 06:29:46 pm »


Agelbert NOTE: Above is a screenshot from the video posted here. It's a long video, but Kevin Anderson makes it crystal clear that mitigating climate change is NOT about technofixes.


Bottom Line: NO ETHICS taught in universities and reinforced with laws against unethical behavior in business, NO VIABLE BIOSPHERE for humanity's offspring.


Are universities making the world worse? Education and research in an age of climate change

Centre for Environment and Development Studies in Uppsala, CEMUS

Published on Aug 10, 2017

From Almedalen 2017.

Kevin Anderson, Zennström Visiting Professor in Climate Change Leadership, Uppsala University

Josefin Wangel Weithz, Associate Professor in Sustainable Urban Development, KTH

Johanna van Schaik Dernfalk, Unit manager, Environmental and Agricultural Sciences, Formas

What is the role of universities in response to the great environmental and social challenges of our times? In an age of escalating climate change, ecological unravelling and societal instability and uncertainty, what is higher education and research really for? And for whom?

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 24, 2017, 07:53:07 pm »



Scientist Kevin Anderson: Our Socio-Economic Paradigm Is Incompatible With Climate Change Objectives


Democracy Now!

Published on Nov 16, 2017

https://democracynow.org - Broadcasting from the United Nations Climate Summit in Bonn, Germany, we continue our conversation with Kevin Anderson, one of the world’s leading climate scientists. Anderson is deputy director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and professor of energy and climate change at the University of Manchester in Britain. The report is entitled “Can the Climate Afford Europe’s Gas Addiction?”

Democracy Now! is an independent global news hour that airs weekdays on nearly 1,400 TV and radio stations Monday through Friday. Watch our livestream 8-9AM ET: https://democracynow.org

Please consider supporting independent media by making a donation to Democracy Now! today: https://democracynow.org/donate


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 24, 2017, 07:33:31 pm »


Kevin Anderson & Hugh Hunt - Quit the loose talk on climate change and let's get serious!

UPFSI .org

Published on Nov 17, 2017

In this Climate Matters show live from COP-23 in Bonn, Kevin Anderson of Britain's Tyndall Center and Hugh Hunt of Cambridge University, go at it in a lively discussion of all the loose talk happening about climate change and the lack of meaningful action. A lively and light conversation for a very serious and weighty subject.

Category: Education

License: Standard YouTube License



Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 24, 2017, 07:21:42 pm »

Coming Soon to your community: WATCH this real video of DESTRUCTIVE wind shifts:
Hurricane Maria Damage Estimate of $102 Billion Surpassed Only by Katrina

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  November 22, 2017, 12:57 PM EST

SNIPPET:


Video 1. This video taken at Yabucoa, Puerto Rico, near Hurricane Maria’s landfall point shows an extraordinary reversal of Maria’s eyewall winds multiple times. The first huge gust happens around 0:50, throwing cars around. The reversal of the winds multiple times could be due to tornado-scale mesovortices embedded in the eyewall, in combination with the funneling effect of the high rise building across the street. Interestingly, a video shot by storm chaser Josh Morgerman of iCyclone just a few miles away shows a flow that is smoother and steadier, without wild directional shifts. He writes: “This makes sense, because I was right at the coast, where the wind was coming off the open ocean with very little friction.” (The weird reversing wind video was shot a couple of miles inland, where there was lots of friction.) Maria made landfall in Yabucoa, Puerto Rico as a strong category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph.


Full article with several eye opening graphics and drone video:

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-maria-damages-102-billion-surpassed-only-katrina

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 24, 2017, 06:50:23 pm »

Running Out of Time on Climate

Captioned for sharing with Chinese Speakers



UPFSI .org


Published on Oct 14, 2017
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 24, 2017, 06:32:53 pm »

Agelbert NOTE: The scientists have been warning us for YEARS. The fossil fuel corrupted governments have simply chosen not to listen.



New Scientific Warning about 'Abrupt' Climate Change

Tim Weiskel

Published on Oct 9, 2017

This program, “New Scientific Warning about 'Abrupt' Climate Change,” was recorded on 15 December 2013.  It is is episode #138 of an ongoing series of educational videos from the Citizen-Science Online Learning Initiative  (CSOLI).  These educational videos focus on global climate change and its implications for the transitions we must make in our institutions and behavior in order to survive the coming decades.  See:  http://wp.me/P2iDSG-2

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 23, 2017, 05:44:04 pm »

 

NASA records 20 years of changing seasons in new global map

LAST UPDATED ON NOVEMBER 23RD, 2017 AT 11:33 PM BY TIBI PUIU

SNIPPET:

Scientists constructed the visualization with data compiled from September 1997 to September 2017. These twenty years have been condensed in two-and-a-half minutes of mesmerizing imagery that shows how Earth’s surface ebbs and flows with the seasons.

In this dance of the seasons, you can witness how Earth’s vegetation changes. By monitoring the color of reflected light via satellite, scientists can determine how successfully plant life is photosynthesizing, which can be highly important when assessing biosphere health.

Polar ice caps and snow cover extends and retreats while oceans transition from shades of blue and green into hues of red and purple as marine life blooms or goes under. The algae bloom of 1997-1998 is particularly striking, having turned sizable areas of the Pacific into a bright green, spurred by a water-warming El Nino merged with a cooling La Nina.


Full article:

https://www.zmescience.co...-changing-seasons-423432/
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 22, 2017, 08:31:05 pm »


  :P
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 20, 2017, 05:36:24 pm »

Agelbert NOTE: This is a nice video compilation evidencing the absolutely breathtakingly reality challenged ability of TPTB to justify doing absolutely NOTHING to change the profit over planet status quo that continues to exacerbate the Catastrophic Climate Change we are NOW experiencing. Some choice quotes spewed from the Criminal in Chief provide additional perspective on how amazingly illogical the 'greed is good' crowd he represents is.   

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 20, 2017, 04:35:30 pm »

A Conversation with Guy, Paul Beckwith, and Martin Halliwell


Nature Bats Last

Published on Nov 13, 2017

www.guymcpherson.com
www.onlyloveremains.org
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: November 18, 2017, 02:59:10 pm »

Departures from the 20th-century global average temperature for October, 1880-2017. The four warmest Octobers on record have all occurred in the last four years. Image credit; NOAA/NCEI.

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