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Topic Summary

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 25, 2017, 10:37:34 pm »


September 25, 2017


Puerto Rico Faces 'Apocalyptic' Conditions: Humanitarian Crisis Grows for 3.4 Million U.S. Citizens
Humanitarian Crisis Grows for 3.4 Million U.S. Citizens

Puerto Rico's humanitarian crisis continued to grow over the weekend, as officials described "apocalyptic" conditions across the island in the wake of Hurricane Maria.

Many of the 3.4 million American citizens living on the island are without power and disconnected from communications, and officials estimate some areas won't see power restored for months.

Isolated towns and low-income communities are facing increasing shortages of supplies and fuel. Officials estimate the storm also destroyed around 80 percent of the island's crop value, while a dam compromised by heavy rain is causing worries about flooding and accessibility of drinking water.

"The devastation in Puerto Rico has set us back nearly 20 to 30 years," Jenniffer Gonzalez, the island's nonvoting representative in Congress, told the AP.

"I have four children and the youngest is 6 months old. We are preparing for six months, maybe even a year without power," Nina Rodriguez, a human resources manager in San Juan, told the New York Times.

"All the infrastructure has collapsed. Everything we had before the hurricane is beyond reach," she added.

Read more:


Puerto Rico at night before and after Hurricane Maria
Figure 3. Views of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands at night, before and after Hurricane Maria, from the day-night band of the VIIRS instrument on the Suomi satellite. Power restoration has a long way to go in the wake of the hurricane. Image credit: NASA.

Puerto Rico radar destroyed by Hurricane Maria

The U.S. territory of Puerto Rico continues to grapple with destruction, dislocation, and suffering in the aftermath of Hurricane Maria, with the power grid still decimated and water and cellphone service both scarce. “The devastation in Puerto Rico has set us back nearly 20 to 30 years,” said Puerto Rico’s nonvoting representative in Congress, Jenniffer Gonzalez. The damage assessment extends to the world of meteorology, as new photos on Sunday revealed. Both the radar dish and the surrounding radome were scoured clean from the pedestal of the National Weather Service’s TJUA radar. Winds of 145 mph were measured before the radar went down, according to weather.com’s Jonathan Belles.

Agelbert NOTE: The radome that protects the radar I used many years as an air traffic controller, which is supposed to be able to withstand 200 mph plus winds, was heavily damaged, putting the radar out of service just as Hurricane Maria was making landfall.

File Photo of Pico del Este Radar Station in Puerto Rico


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 25, 2017, 10:22:38 pm »

Agelbert NOTE: If you are wondering why it's taking so long for the cooler weather to set in, just LOOK at how high the Carbon Dioxide levels are in, not just the East coast of the USA and parts of the West coast, but in SEVERAL large areas all over the world.

CO2 457 PPM!

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 24, 2017, 08:25:37 pm »

Future News — Dateline February 14th, 2030  

September 24th, 2017 by Steve Bakker

Future News — Dateline February 14th, 2030 … with anchor Jane Curtin III
Tonight’s top story… 

1959 Cadillac Eldoradoodo  ;D Convertible with 442 cubic inch monstrously polluting engine   

The last automobile powered by an internal combustion engine was sent to the salvage yard today. We will have film at 11:00pm showing a  1959 Cadillac Eldorado convertible being towed into Monster Joe’s Auto & Trucks Dismantlers in Los Angeles, California. The car had been hidden in the bunker of a decommissioned Air Force Base ever since President Trump signed into law a bill confiscating all gasoline-powered vehicles from citizens during his third term in office. It is rumored the owner of the Cadillac was still in the driver’s seat when the vehicle was crushed, as the driver’s cold dead hands could not be pried from the steering wheel.

As most know, Trump was transformed into a clean-air maven after slipping in the Presidential shower and hitting his head on the Presidential bubble-bath dispenser in 2020.   

Full article with more great high tech laughs:   


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 24, 2017, 04:07:15 pm »

FAR hotter than normal Fall temperatures in Vermont (and most of the rest of the planet).


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 23, 2017, 10:02:56 pm »

Arctic Sea Ice Likely Reaches Minimum Extent for 2017

Sep 21, 2017

Scientists at the National Snow and Ice Data Center say that Arctic sea ice likely reached its minimum extent for the year, at 4.64 million square kilometers (1.79 million square miles) on September 13, 2017. The 2017 minimum is the eighth lowest in the 38-year satellite record.

These maps show the Arctic mean sea ice concentration as measured by satellites for each month since April 2017, along with the minimum value recorded on September 13th. Areas with at least 15% ice cover appear in shades of gray-blue to white. Open ocean water (less than 15% ice cover) is navy blue. The yellow line shows the median (middle of the range) sea ice extent for 1981–2010.

For more information, see the Climate.gov.

Real-time sea ice data can be accessed in NOAA View.
Referral:   Sea ice data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center
Terms of Use:   Please credit NOAA
Keywords:   sea ice, NSIDC, 2017.09.21

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 23, 2017, 04:20:09 pm »

Can Hurricanes Trigger Earthquakes? Part C

Paul Beckwith

Published on Sep 22, 2017

On Sept. 8th, 2017 as Hurricane Irma chewed up the Caribbean a magnitude 8.1 earthquake rattled Mexico. On Sept. 19th it was Hurricane Maria's turn, with a 7.1 quake AND a volcano near Mexico City. In 2012 as Hurricane Sandy moved north off the east coast of the US a network of -400 seismic sensors lit up & there was a 7.8 quake off the west coast. Sandy turned left, sensors lit up again, & there was a 6.3 quake near the 1st one. As Sandy went ashore in NY sensors lit up again, & there was a 3rd quake of 6.2; connected or coincidental?

Please support these teaching videos with a donation at http://paulbeckwith.net
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 23, 2017, 04:07:48 pm »

A British Royal Fleet Auxiliary Mounts Bay rescue helicopter crew rescues an adult female and two children from the vessel Ferrel near Vieques, Puerto Rico, Sept. 21, 2017. U.S. Coast Guard

WATCH: Three Rescued from Overturned Vessel in Puerto Rico

September 22, 2017 by gCaptain

A helicopter crew with the British Royal Navy has rescued a woman and two children from their overturned vessel which had grounded near Vieques, Puerto Rico during Hurricane Maria.

A U.S. Coast Guard search plane located the capsized vessel, named Ferrel, with three people on top at approximately 11:30 a.m. on Thursday following a 24-hour search. A fourth person, an adult male, was reported deceased in the capsized vessel, which is inaccessible to search and rescue crews.

Coast Guard District Seven watchstanders received an EPIRB alert as well as distress call Wednesday from the Ferrel stating they were disabled and adrift in 20-foot seas and 100-knot winds caused by Hurricane Maria.

An urgent marine information broadcast was issued immediately after the distress call.

The search for the vessel involved assets from the U.S. Coast Guard, Navy, and British Royal Navy.

A video of the rescue was captured by a Coast Guard search plane:

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 22, 2017, 02:51:06 pm »

Above: Electricity poles and lines lay toppled in Humacao, in northeastern Puerto Rico, in the wake of Hurricane Maria on September 20, 2017. AP Photo/Carlos Giusti.

More Havoc as Category 3 Maria Plows Northward

Bob Henson  ·  September 22, 2017, 12:19 PM EDT


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 21, 2017, 06:49:57 pm »

Agelbert NOTE: Excellent article with a powerful video connecting the Climate Change dots with this Horrible Hurricane Season:


Thursday, September 21, 2017

Hurricane Maria Devastates Puerto Rico


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 21, 2017, 06:21:19 pm »

Hurricane Maria “destroys Puerto Rico” — 100% of the state left without power


This is an abnormally strong hurricane season.


Maria, a Category 4 hurricane, left little in its wake as it charged through Puerto Rico head on, with sustained winds of 140 mph (220 km/h) and high-end winds of 155 mph (250 km/h). Abner Gomez Cortes, executive director of Puerto Rico’s office of emergency management and disaster administration agency said telecommunications throughout the island have “collapsed,” and even electricity has gone down.

People are now struggling with backup generators — at least those fortunate enough to have one. At least 12,000 people have been forced to retreat to shelters. It’s unclear how much material damage has been done, as the danger still hasn’t fully passed.

Maria is the strongest hurricane to hit the territory since the 1928 San Felipe hurricane, as well as the most intense hurricane to hit the territory in recorded history. The fact that it comes after Harvey, Irma, and Jose, makes it even harder to overcome.  :(

Full article with graphics:


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 21, 2017, 02:23:47 pm »

Maria’s Parting Shot: Flash Floods Hammer Puerto Rico

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  September 21, 2017, 12:46 PM EDT

Above: Rain and wind hit a parking lot at Roberto Clemente Coliseum in San Juan, Puerto Rico, on September 20, 2017, during the passage of Hurricane Maria. More than 500 people evacuated to the coliseum, where pieces of the roof began to give way and leak at the height of the storm early Wednesday. Lydia Gonzalez told the Los Angeles Times that she watched in horror as the roof stretched and strained "like bubble gum,” but the roof held. Image credit: Hector Retamal/AFP/Getty Images.

A flash flood emergency was in effect for the entire main island of Puerto Rico at midday Thursday, as rainbands feeding into Hurricane Maria continued to stream north across the U.S. territory. Cat 3 Maria was centered more than 150 miles northwest of Puerto Rico at 11 am EDT. Intense rainbands extending well south of Maria’s center were lashing most of the Dominican Republic and parts of Puerto Rico. Power remains out across Puerto Rico on Thursday, and it may be weeks or months before widespread restoration of the island’s power grid, which was already reeling from Hurricane Irma even before Maria struck.

Widespread damage and flooding was also reported in the U.S. Virgin Islands, where a 24-hour curfew is in effect. At least 7 deaths have been confirmed in hard-hit Dominica, a toll expected to rise as rescuers work their way into remote parts of the island. Some 90% of the structures in Dominica are reported to be damaged or destroyed, and there has been massive loss of trees across the once-lush landscape. Two deaths in Guadelope and one death in Puerto Rico are also being attributed to Maria.

Figure 1. Flooded streets are seen in San Juan, Puerto Rico, on September 21, 2017 after the passage of Hurricane Maria. Image credit: Hector Retamal/AFP/Getty Images.

Maria still drenching Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands
Satellite imagery on Thursday morning showed that Maria was well-organized, with a large area of very intense thunderstorms surrounding a huge 45-mile-diameter eye. The Hurricane Hunters have not detected much change in Maria’s intensity since 2 am, with the pressure holding nearly steady at 959 – 960 mb, and the surface winds maintaining a low-end Category 3 velocity, 115 mph, as of 11 am EDT. Maria’s spiral bands were still pounding Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with heavy rains, and extreme flash flooding will continue to occur on those islands for the much of the day. The same is true of northern and eastern parts of the Dominican Republic, where 8 – 16” of total rainfall is predicted. Maria’s spiral bands were also beginning to affect the southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands, where NHC is predicting rainfall amounts of 8 – 16” from Maria. These islands can expect heavy rains to increase through the day and peak on Friday, when Maria makes its closest approach. These islands will be on the weaker (left front) side of Maria, but the islands closest to Maria are likely to see sustained winds near hurricane force and a dangerous storm surge of up to 9 – 12’.

Figure 2. Hurricane Maria as seen by the GOES-16 satellite at 10:45 am EDT September 21, 2017. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB. GOES-16 data is considered preliminary and non-operational.

Full article with detailed Maria Forecast and video of Hurricane Eye:

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 20, 2017, 11:10:06 pm »

Maria Back Over Water After Devastating Hit to Puerto Rico

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  September 20, 2017, 5:53 PM EDT


After making landfall in southeast Puerto Rico near 6:15 am Wednesday as a top-end Category 4 storm with 155 mph winds, Hurricane Maria finished a devastating pummeling of the island near 1:30 pm, when its eye emerged over the ocean off the northwest coast. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft found that Maria’s 70-mile traverse of Puerto Rico had knocked the top winds of the storm down to 110 mph by 5 pm Wednesday, making it a high-end Category 2 hurricane. Satellite images show the hurricane is still well-organized, though, and the Hurricane Hunters found that Maria’s pressure was falling again late Wednesday afternoon: 957 mb at 5 pm, compared to a 961 mb reading at 2 pm. Maria will continue to bring dangerous torrential rains and powerful winds to Puerto Rico and the eastern Dominican Republic into Thursday.

Rescue Workers in Puerto Rico during Hurricane Maria - Credit: NBC News

Maria brought extreme rainfall amounts to large portions of Puerto Rico that caused record or near-record flash flooding. Numerous stations in Puerto Rico recorded rainfall amounts in excess of ten inches. Rainfall amounts in excess of 47 inches in 24 hours were recorded at three stations on the southwest side of El Yunque, the high mountainous area in the northeast corner of Puerto Rico; these are so extreme as to be unbelievable, and the gauges may have been impacted by flash flooding, or by a callibration problem at extreme precipitaion rates:

96.65” at Quebrada Arenas, including 67.75” in one hour ending at 6 am.  :o
72.07” at Barrio Montones, including 34.04” in one hour ending at 8:45 am.  :o
47.25” at Rio Valenciano, including 19.66” in one hour ending at 7:11 am.

These rainfall amounts would break virtually every world record for precipitation, and are highly likely to be in error. Water levels at the Rio Gurabo at Gurabo, where the nearby Gurabo Abajo rain gauge recorded 23.64” of rain in less than 24 hours, jumped by 27 feet in less than 12 hours (see Figure 2), so that rainfall amount is believable.

Figure 2. Water levels at Rio Gurabo at Gurabo, on the southwest side of El Yunque, shot up 27 feet in less than 12 hours. The river crested just 0.76’ below the record set during Hurricane Donna of 1960. Image credit: NOAA.

An island-wide power outage in Puerto Rico

Not since the great Category 5 1928 San Felipe Segundo hurricane has Puerto Rico experienced a hurricane catastrophe as extreme as that wrought by Hurricane Maria. The storm’s powerful winds caused catastrophic damage to the island’s power grid, knocking out power to 100% of Puerto Rico’s 3.4 million residents. In the Virgin Islands, there was also heavy damage on St. Croix, and serious flooding has been reported on St. Thomas. Maria is almost assured to be the most expensive hurricane in Puerto Rico history, and may challenge Hurricane Hugo (1989) and Irma (2 weeks ago) as the most expensive hurricane on record for the U.S. Virgin Islands.


Figure 5. The four rapid-intensifier hurricanes of 2017, compared with Hurricane Wilma of 2015. Shown are the last periods in which the hurricanes were at various levels (tropical depression, tropical storm, or Category 1 hurricane) along with the intervals from that point to the first point at which they achieved their top rating (either Cat 4 or 5).

This year is chock-full of rapidly intensifying hurricanes

If it seems like this year’s Category 4 and 5 storms made it to that level in a big hurry, you’re not imagining things. In the Washington Post, Chris Mooney spotlights a few of the leaps in strength that this year’s four major Atlantic hurricanes have taken, including:

Harvey:  Cat 1 to Cat 4 in 24 hours
Irma:  Cat 3 to Cat 5 in 24 hours
Jose:  Cat 1 to Cat 4 in 24 hours

Maria:  Cat 1 to Cat 4 in 12 hours, and Cat 1 to Cat 5 in 15 hours

Most of the rapid intensification records for major Atlantic hurricanes were set by 2005’s phenomenal Hurricane Wilma. However, Maria has tied Wilma for the fastest vault from tropical depression to Cat 5 hurricane (54 hours), as shown in Figure 5 above.

Bob Henson co-wrote this post.

Full article:


Agelbert NOTE: The radome that protects the radar I used many years as an air traffic controller, which is supposed to be able to withstand 200 mph plus winds, was heavily damaged, putting the radar out of service just as Hurricane Maria was making landfall.

File Photo of Pico del Este Radar Station in Puerto Rico

The radome is located on a 4,300 ft. mountaiin peak about 18 miles north of the eye of Hurricane Maria in the graphic below:

Last Radar Image Before Radar Dome was Severely Damaged and Radar Failed
That has NEVER happened since that radar dome was built several decades ago. This hurricane's winds near the peak where the radome is must have been OFF THE CHARTS! Welcome to Catastrophic Climate Change.

Hurricane Maria Windfield at 11:00 AM September 20, 2017

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 20, 2017, 05:27:38 pm »

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 20, 2017, 01:46:24 pm »


Are the models “running too hot”?   

September 20, 2017 GCMs, observations Ed Hawkins

Recent media headlines have again discussed the issue of whether climate models are overly sensitive to greenhouse gases. These headlines have misinterpreted a study by Millar et al. which was discussing carbon budgets to limit global temperature rise to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.

A recent study by Medhaug et al. analysed the issue of how the models have performed against recent observations at length and largely reconciled the issue. An overly simplistic comparison of simulated global temperatures and observations might suggest that the models were warming too much, but this would be wrong for a number of reasons.

In the Medhaug et al. paper they show the range of models (blue shading in figure with median in light blue), compared with the HadCRUT4 observations and their estimated uncertainty (orange shading with light orange line). There are a number of well understood reasons why the light orange line might not follow the light blue line, namely: radiative forcings, variability, observational biases and choice of reference period.

Figure 5 from Medhaug et al. showing CMIP5 simulations and observations (HadCRUT4) of global temperature.

Radiative forcings: The simulations were produced using observed information on sources of radiative forcing up to 2005, and made various assumptions for subsequent forcings. For example, the simulations assumed no volcanic eruptions after 2005, whereas the real world did have some eruptions. In addition, the sun dimmed slightly and this was not included. Retrospectively we can estimate the effects of these assumptions on the simulations, and this moves the light blue line to the mid-blue line. In other words, if the models had known about future forcings they would have been closer to the observations.

Variability: It is also understood that natural fluctuations in the climate (e.g. ENSO, PDO) can temporarily offset or enhance the warming during certain periods. These effects can also be accounted for, producing the dark blue line. In other words, if the models had produced the same phase of variability as the real world then, again, they would have been closer to the observations.

Observational biases: We also understand that our observations are not perfect. The HadCRUT4 dataset has relatively few observations over the Arctic and also uses sea-surface temperatures over the ocean, whereas the model analysis uses simulated air temperatures everywhere. Accounting for these issues moves the observations warmer, to the dark orange line. In other words, in an ‘apples-with-apples’ comparison, the observations and models are closer together.

When accounting for these three factors together, the dark blue and dark orange lines now show a very similar warming trend – the models and observations have been reconciled and there is no clear evidence from the recent period that the models are therefore ‘running too hot’. About 1/3 of the apparent discrepancies are due to each of these three factors.

Choice of baseline: One further subtlety is the choice of ‘baseline’. Medhaug et al used a 1961-90 reference period, whereas the IPCC AR5 chose 1986-2005. This difference can also slightly move the relative position of the observations within the model spread higher or lower. There is no perfect choice.

About Ed Hawkins
Climate scientist in the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) at the University of Reading. IPCC AR5 Contributing Author. Can be found on twitter too: @ed_hawkins


Agelbert NOTE: IOW, the "models may be running too hot" BALONEY is more disingenuous spurious propaganda cooked up by the fossil fuel industry crooks and liars to undermine the credibility of climate scientists.

If anything, the models are too conservative. This type of Orwellian pitch has been par for the course for the fossil fuel industry for several decades.

If you doubt that, just consider the fact that they were the ones that came up with that CRAP about a "new ice age".

So, expect more wailing and moaning about "alarmist" climate scientists from the bought and paid for propagandists from the fossil fuel industry  , for the "welfare of humanity"(see Orwell), of course.

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 19, 2017, 11:04:16 pm »

Unprecedented by David Ray Griffin: the best on the CO2 emergency (long).

Peter Carter

Published on Feb 2, 2017

Short promo.Two climate books by David Ray Griffin. Unprecedented CO2 Crisis (2015) and Unprecedented Climate Mobilization (2016), co-author Elizabeth Woodworth.

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 19, 2017, 08:45:44 pm »

Koch Brothers Fuel the GOP's War on Climate Science

September 19, 2017

Investigative journalist Bruce Livesey explains that the Koch brothers have used their enormous wealth to force Republicans to toe the line on climate change denial

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 19, 2017, 07:25:12 pm »

Image by Andrea Booher / FEMA

Over $2 Billion In US Fire Suppression Costs From This Year’s Wildfire Season

September 19th, 2017 by James Ayre


That figure represents a substantial increase from the previous record year of 2015, which saw the agency spend $1.7 billion on fire suppression efforts.

To be clear here, these figures relate solely to US Forest Service costs and don’t include figures from federal, state, or local firefighting agencies.

Altogether, 2017 has been an unprecedented year in the US (and in many other parts of the world as well) with regard to forest fires. At this point, it should be clear that the predictions that wildfires will become increasingly common and severe over the course of the century as a result of anthropogenic climate change have something substantial to them.

Full article:


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 19, 2017, 02:41:54 pm »

Figure 2. Hurricane Hugo caused severe damage to Puerto Rico’s El Yunque rain forest on September 18, 1989. Image credit: NOAA Photo Library.

Above: Infrared GOES-16 image of Hurricane Maria as of 10:51 am EDT Tuesday, September 19, 2017. Image credit: RAMMB / CIRA@CSU.

Maria Headed for Catastrophic Hit on Puerto Rico, St. Croix
Bob Henson  ·  September 19, 2017, 11:41 AM EDT


After a direct hit on the small Lesser Antilles island of Dominica on Monday night, followed by a brief weakening, Hurricane Maria reintensified to Category 5 strength with winds of 160 mph on Tuesday morning. Maria will likely be a catastrophic Category 5 or high-end Category 4 storm when it hits the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Wednesday morning. Preliminary reports out of Dominica indicate that Maria likely did catastrophic damage there. The northern eyewall of Maria also grazed the southwest corner of Guadaloupe Island on Monday night, and heavy damage was reported there. The core of the hurricane missed Montserrat, Saba, and St. Kitts and Nevis, but these islands have been experiencing sustained tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain squalls.

Maria’s encounter with Dominica bruised the storm slightly, with the top winds falling to 155 mph and the central pressure rising from 924 mb to 934 mb between 11 pm Monday and 5 am Tuesday. This took the storm briefly down to a Category 4 rating. However, an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft on Tuesday morning found a falling pressure and rising winds. Maria’s central pressure was down to 927 mb, and the winds were back up to 160 mph as of 11 am EDT Tuesday. Maria passed just east of Buoy 42060 late Tuesday morning; the buoy reported a pressure of 956 mb and sustained winds of 74 mph, gusting to 94 mph, at 11:10 am EDT Tuesday.

Unfortunately for the islands in its path, Maria’s appearance on satellite imagery is truly spectacular, and the outer spiral bands of the hurricane are already lashing the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, as seen on long- range radar and CatherineHope’s Webcam on St. Croix.

Figure 1. GOES-16 visible image of Maria at 10:15 am Tuesday, September 19, 2017. At the time, Maria was a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds, a central pressure of 927 mb, and a small "pinhole" eye with a diameter of 10 nautical miles. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB. GOES-16 data is considered preliminary and non-operational.

The dreaded "pinhole" eye  

Maria developed a tiny “pinhole” eye during its rapid intensification burst on Monday, with a diameter of 8 nautical miles (nm). The hurricane has maintained a small eye so far on Tuesday, with the diameter fluctuating between 7 nm and 10 nm (10 nm = 11.5 miles). Hurricanes that develop pinhole eyes often intensify into some of the strongest storms we observe, since they concentrate their wind energy around a narrow ring surrounding the tiny eye. These small eyes tend to be unstable, resulting in an eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) shortly after the pinhole eye is observed. Some other examples of tropical cyclones with pinhole eyes with a diameter less than 10 nm (thanks go to Michael Cavaliere, Howard Diamond, and Boris Konon):

Hurricane Wilma - 2005 (175 MPH / 882 MB) - Western Caribbean - 1.5 nm
Hurricane Iris – 2001 (140 MPH / 950 MB) - Western Caribbean – 3 nm
Hurricane Beta - 2005 (115 MPH / 962 MB) - Nicaragua - 5 nm
Hurricane Dennis - 2005 (120 MPH / 930 MB) - Florida - 4 nm
Hurricane Charley - 2004 (150 MPH / 941 MB) - Florida - 2.5 nm
Hurricane Opal - 1995 (150 MPH / 919 MB) - Florida - 5 nm
Hurricane Andrew - 1992 (165 MPH / 921 MB) - Florida - 6 nm
Typhoon Forrest - 1983 (165 MPH / 883 MB) - Philippines - 4 nm
Cyclone Tracy - 1974 (125 MPH / 950 MB) - Australia - 7 nm

Full article with videos, more graphics and much more


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 18, 2017, 08:22:43 pm »

Six Storms Bracket North America: 3 hurricanes, a tropical storm, depression & a disturbance

Paul Beckwith

Published on Sep 17, 2017

At this moment we have three hurricanes (Jose, Maria, & Otis), a tropical storm (Norma), a tropical depression (Lee) and a tropical disturbance (yet unnamed) surrounding North America.

I discuss the latest projections, and teach you the tools to track these storms yourself. Hurricane Jose is expected to curve northward off the US coast, while Hurricane Maria is likely to rapidly strengthen and bring pain to many Caribbean Islands hurt severely by Hurricane Irma.

Please donate at http://paulbeckwith.net to support my videos, and suggest topics that you want me to cover in future videos:)

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 18, 2017, 05:01:24 pm »

Climate Change in the Arctic and Model Projections (2017)


Climate State

Published on May 22, 2017

This video with scope on permafrost melting, highlights some of the new developments of our understandings, of what happens in the Arctic due to global warming.

The Woods Hole Research Center (WHRC), at the University of Alaska Fairbanks May 11, 2017. Professor of Geophysics Vladimir Romanovsky discusses the impact of Arctic permafrost thaw.

Greenland Petermann Ice Shelf Melting at Unbelievable Rate

Tom Messenger

Published on Jan 9, 2017

New scientific data convinces a once skeptical scientist to believe. This amazing documentary reveals the plight of Greenland's Ice Shelf in depth.

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 18, 2017, 12:57:48 pm »

Above: GOES-16 view of Hurricane Jose, Tropical Storm Maria, and Tropical Depression Lee at 10:45 am EDT September 17, 2017. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB. GOES-16 data is considered preliminary and non-operational.

Maria Threatens Leeward Islands; Jose's Surf Will Batter Northeast U.S. Beaches

Bob Henson  ·  September 17, 2017, 12:48 PM EDT


There is nothing obvious in Maria’s environment to prevent strengthening through Wednesday afternoon, when interaction with Puerto Rico and/or Hispaniola may disrupt the storm. Both the HWRF and COAMPS-TC models predicted in their Sunday morning runs that Maria would be a Category 4 hurricane on Wednesday afternoon, and Maria will most likely be at Category 3 or 4 strength when making its closest approach to Puerto Rico on Wednesday.

The Rapid Intensification Index from the 12Z Sunday SHIPS model run gave Maria a 42% chance of gaining 65 knots of intensity over the next three days, which would bring Maria to the threshold of Category 4 strength by Wednesday.

full article:

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 17, 2017, 10:54:26 pm »

Agelbert NOTE: Published 7 years ago but more important than ever!

Global Warmimg: How HOT can it get? 

Global warming: how hot can it get?

Peter Carter

Published on Mar 29, 2010

The climate change damage to human human population health and survival will depend on the extreme of the heating (not the average), but this is virtually ignored.
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 17, 2017, 09:23:29 pm »

Emergency Climate Crisis is upon us



Published on Apr 28, 2017

Dr. Peter Carter and others are warning the planet and all of humanity is in peril due to the consequences of the industrial age.  Host Jack Etkin blames the media for not informing the public just how grave the danger has become.

This is the complete interview.  Edited versions were shown on ShawTV Victoria and Vancouver.  See more of our shows on


Category Nonprofits & Activism

License Creative Commons Attribution license (reuse allowed)

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 17, 2017, 03:00:21 pm »

Time lapse global temperature increase by NOAA:

Jan 17, 2017

2016 Officially Warmest Year on Record

2016 is officially the new warmest year on record, edging out previous record holder 2015 by 0.07°F, according to NOAA. It is the third year in a row that global average surface temperature set a new record, and the fifth time the record has been broken since the start of the twenty-first century.

This animation shows annual temperatures each year since 1880 compared to the twentieth-century average, ending with record-warm 2016. Because of global warming due to increasing greenhouse gases, the maps from the late 1800s and the early 1900s are dominated by shades of blue, indicating temperatures were up to 3°C (5.4°F) cooler than the twentieth-century average.

By the 1980s, the maps take on shades of yellow, with a few large cooler-than-average spots shifting around from year to year. By the 2000s, most of the planet is orange and red—up to 3°C (5.4°F) warmer than the long-term average, with only a few isolated cool spots from year to year.

Climate experts have long known that global warming due to increasing greenhouse gases won’t necessarily mean that each year on Earth will be warmer than the last. Even as the planet warms over the long-term, natural variability will continue to make some years warmer or cooler than their nearest neighbors. So the string of three record-breaking years in a row is unlikely to continue in 2017, especially because La Niña—the cool phase of the major natural climate pattern “ENSO”—developed in late 2016 and continued into early 2017.

For more stats and information on global climate in 2016, read the summary from the National Centers for Environmental Information.

About these maps

The official NOAA global surface temperature product does not interpolate over the Arctic, the Antarctic, or parts of Africa where there are no observations. In an interpolation, a computer algorithm estimates some missing values using statistical inferences. This animation is based on an interpolation of the official NOAA global temperature monitoring data set (the Merged Land and Ocean Surface Temperature data). In this case, we’ve interpolated across some of the missing data areas to minimize the visual distraction that results from the areas of missing data jumping around from map to map over time. The official maps are available from the NCEI website.
Download High Resolution Version

Terms of Use:   Please credit NOAA

Keywords:   global, surface, temperature, NCEI, 1880, 2016
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 17, 2017, 02:14:44 pm »

Depicting the Strength of Irma's Winds with the RTMA 

Sep 15, 2017

This data visualization from NOAA's Visualization Laboratory shows the maximum wind gusts from Hurricane Irma from September 7 to September 10, 2017. Note how the strongest wind gusts are on the north side of the storm track (the faint dotted line). According to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, Irma's maximum sustained winds ranged from 110 (on 9/10) to near 180 (on 9/7) miles per hour during this period.

This graphic was created with data from the RTMA, or Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis model, which uses surface observation data to create a highly accurate gridded analysis of past weather conditions. The data covers only the Continental United States and coastal areas, so areas of the storm further to the south and east, where Irma was at maximum intensity, are not visible. To see satellite imagery of Irma, visit our image gallery. For information about the 2017 Hurricane Season thus far, check out our Hurricane Tracker.
Referral:   National Hurricane Center's archive of Hurricane Irma advisories
Terms of Use:   Please credit NOAA
Keywords:   hurricane, Irma, RTMA, 2017.09.15


Sand Disturbed by the Passing of Hurricane Irma

Sep 13, 2017

Hurricane Irma didn't just impact land. As seen in these before-and-after true-color images captured by the VIIRS instrument on the NOAA/NASA Suomi NPP satellite September 7, 2017 (top) and September 11 (bottom), the storm altered the distribution of sand around the coast of Florida. The light blue color shows sediment suspended in the water, kicked up by the intensity of the storm. According to the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary, damage to natural resources in the region could be significant.

Although true-color images like this may appear to be photographs of Earth, they aren't. They are created by combining data from the three color channels on the VIIRS instrument sensitive to the red, green and blue (or RGB) wavelengths of light into one composite image. In addition, data from several other channels are often also included to cancel out or correct atmospheric interference that may blur parts of the image.

Referral:   Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary
Terms of Use:   Please credit NOAA/NASA
Keywords:   hurricane, Irma, turbidity, NPP, VIIRS, 2017.09.11


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 17, 2017, 12:59:29 pm »

The Fossil Fuelers DID THE Clean Energy  Inventions suppressing, Climate Trashing, human health depleting CRIME,   but since they have ALWAYS BEEN liars and conscience free crooks, they are trying to AVOID   DOING THE TIME or     PAYING THE FINE!     Don't let them get away with it! Pass it on!   
Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 16, 2017, 09:46:10 pm »

Mind-bending Climate Strikes

Posted on September 13, 2017, by Radio Ecoshock
Inhuman heat predicted by new science from Europe. Lead author Simone Russo explains 55 degree C (131 F) heat for U.S., India & China. From Ottawa, climate scientist Paul Beckwith walks us through the forces behind record storms, fires, and floods. Radio Ecoshock 170913

Record-breaking Harvey, followed by the largest hurricane ever seen in the Atlantic, with Hurricane Jose right behind. Add the West engulfed in fire, millions flooded out in Asia – who can keep up in a destabilized climate? We’re going to try this week on Radio Ecoshock. We start with critical new science from Italy about the incredible heat to come. Then our regular guest scientist Paul Beckwith paints the big picture missing in the media. It’s radio that tries hard, in trying times.

Download or listen to this Radio Ecoshock show in CD Quality (57 MB) or Lo-Fi (14 MB)


Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 16, 2017, 07:42:09 pm »

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 16, 2017, 06:50:06 pm »

Photo sott.net

Thursday, 14 September 2017

More very strange weather: Hurricane winds of nearly 100mph kills 3 in Germany as Storm Sebastian heads south!

At least three people have been killed in a large windstorm that swept across Germany. Hurricane-force winds downed trees and toppled scaffolding, with officials warning residents to stay at home. Windstorm Sebastian wreaked havoc across northern and northwestern Germany on Wednesday, killing three people and causing power outages.

Wind gusts of up to 150 kilometres (93 miles) per hour were recorded in the northern Harz mountain range, according to the German weather service (DWD).

The North Sea saw gusts of up to 140 kilometres per hour, as residents in northern Germany battled driving downpours.
Three people have been killed as a result of the storm.

A man in a wheelchair died after falling into the Elbe River in the northern city of Hamburg, local firefighters said.

Witnesses saw the man fall into the water where he later drowned despite a rescue effort that included a boat, divers and a helicopter.

Also in Hamburg, a pedestrian died after being hit by scaffolding that fell from the seventh floor of a building, police said.

The man later succumbed to his injuries after being taken to a hospital.
And in the western German spa town of Brilon, a 53-year-old man was killed after he was crushed by a falling tree.

A 20-meter (65-foot) spruce tree fell on the man while he was working in the forest, local police said. Falling trees also caused train delays in the western state of North Rhine-Westphalia, while the wind caused significant damage to cars and buildings.

The DWD expects the storm to continue battering eastern Germany into the night, with parts of southern Germany expecting hurricane-force winds as well.

Several regions have warned residents to stay at home while emergency services attempt to clear the roads of fallen branches and repair power outages.

Florida Hurricane Irma footage below:

Posted by: AGelbert
« on: September 16, 2017, 02:03:27 pm »

Dangerous PTC 15 headed for Eastern Caribbean; Hurricane Jose Headed Towards New England
Above:  MODIS view of Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 on Saturday morning, September 16, 2017. Image credit: NASA.

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  September 16, 2017, 11:46 AM EDT


A strong tropical wave located at 11 am EDT Saturday about 755 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands was headed west at about 22 mph, and was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 (PTC 15, formerly 96L) by NHC. Tropical storm watches were hoisted for the islands of St. Lucia, Martinique, Guadeloupe, and Dominica, and PTC 15 has the potential to be a hurricane by the time it passes through the Lesser Antilles Islands on Tuesday morning. In their 8 am EDT Saturday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave PTC 15 2-day and 5-day odds of development of 90%.

PTC 15 had very favorable conditions for development on Saturday morning. Wind shear was light, 5 - 10 knots, SSTs were a very warm 29 – 29.5°C (84 - 85°F), and relative humidity at mid-levels of the atmosphere (as analyzed by the 12Z Saturday run of the SHIPS model) was moderately moist--about 60%. Satellite loops showed that PTC 15 had a good deal of spin, and heavy thunderstorm activity was steadily increasing and growing more organized, with several curved low-level spiral bands forming. There was no obvious surface circulation center, but is likely to form by Saturday evening. The first hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate PTC 15 on Sunday afternoon.

Figure 3. GOES-16 view of Hurricane Jose at 11 am EDT September 16, 2017. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB. GOES-16 data is considered preliminary and non-operational.

Hurricane Jose headed towards New England

Detailed article:


Agelbert NOTE: Jose, can you see D.C.? I certainly hope so. May God guide Hurricane Jose to the DOOR of all those Fossil Fuel Industry bought and paid fors in D.C. 

The Lord is known by the judgment which he executeth: the wicked is snared in the work of his own hands. Higgaion. Selah.

The wicked shall be turned into hell, and all the nations that forget God.

For the needy shall not always be forgotten: the expectation of the poor shall not perish for ever.

Arise, O Lord; let not man prevail: let the heathen be judged in thy sight.

Put them in fear, O Lord: that the nations may know themselves to be but men. Selah.

Psalm 9:16-20 King James Version (KJV)

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