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Author Topic: 🦕🦖 Hydrocarbon 🐍 Hellspawn Mens Rea Actus Reus modus operandi  (Read 1713 times)

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AGelbert

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Re: Hydrocarbon Hellspawn Evil Actions
« Reply #120 on: May 05, 2019, 07:11:07 pm »
I note  with interest that those who want to "cull the human population" are not among the first to volunteer.

Yes, I've noticed that too. However, they do have a quick answer to that somewhat incongruous position. You see, these "brilliant luminaries" showing us the way to the culling "solution" do not want to deprive the human family of those "benevolent genius skills" that they unselfishly use for the good of all humanity. If these favored fellows were first in line for the culling, we would lose all their "wisdom and benevolent guidance". These "benevolent geniuses" need to be there to guide us to good things (for the "benevolent genius" humans like them, of course).

Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Re: Hydrocarbon Crooks Evil Actions
« Reply #121 on: May 05, 2019, 07:13:33 pm »
Hey Surly, check this out!

I didn't do a thing but this pops up above the subject line:

Quote
Warning: topic is currently/will be locked!
Only admins and moderators can reply.

It looks like our Hydrocarbon Hellspawn friends are having some more "fun" with this forum.
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Re: Hydrocarbon Crooks Evil Actions
« Reply #122 on: May 11, 2019, 01:40:12 pm »
This topic thread is now unlocked.


Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Below, please observe, SEVERAL images that I have prepared over the years, that no longer display because they have been hacked so the link to Create-a-forum's website and server no longer functions .


The list is not complete, but, as you can see by the image descriptions (the only thing now showing), these images are all, directly or indirectly, severely critical of the 🦕🦖 Fossil Fuel 🐍 Fascists, who fund all efforts to keep the truth about how Greenhouse Gases CAUSE Catastrophic Climate Change from reaching we-the-people.

Considering how small this forum is, one would wonder why they bother. I believe that it isn't personal, just 🦖😈 business. The Hydrocarbon Hellspawn know their business model is endangered by the truth that they owe we-the-people BIG TIME for pillaging the environment. They don't want to be held responsible for their 24/7 Mens Rea Actus Reus Modus Operandi.

They know a picture really is worth (at least) a "thousand words". They are skilled at propaganda techniques, having used images for at least half a century to BULLSHIT people into believing that hydrocarbons are the "best thing since toasted bread, we will all die without hydrocarbons and we must bow and scrape to our loyal servants from Big Oil", while simultaneously dismissing Climate Change as "baloney".



So, they pay people hither and yon to continuously scan the internet for images that tell the Global Warming Causes and Consequences TRUTH. Once they identify them, they target them for hacking. The images below, that you cannot see, have been published on this forum, and others, including Disqus, over the last 5 years or so. I have copies of most of them in permanent, secured offline storage. However, the harm is done because all the posts where they appeared over the years now lack the images that accented them. 👎 :(

The Hydrocarbon Hellspawn will eventually lose this fight to prevent paying for their responsibility for trashing the biosphere. BUT, it is quite possible that their Predatory Delay (one of the images I had to duplicate several times because they keep hacking it) may doom us to extinction.

It is sad what greed can do to people.


IMAGES HACKED:

IPCC RCP models vary too much   
IPCC RCP 8.5 business as usual scenario is too conservative. ALL the climate models low ball global warming
HACKED!
HACKED!
https://patricktbrown.org/
The Environmental and Public Health Benefits of Achieving High Penetration of Solar Energy in the United States PLUS the HARM POLLUTANTS DO
HACKED!

HACKED!

HACKED!

https://energy.gov/eere/sunshot/downloads/environmental-and-public-health-benefits-achieving-high-penetration-solar
SSTA HACKED!

Major Correction to Satellite Data Shows 140% Faster Warming Since 1998 HACKED!

https://www.ecowatch.com/data-correction-climate-change-2450843224.html
Globe third warmest may on record PLUS temp rise rate graph HACKED!
burning fire constitution HACKED!
Hurricanes Jose Maria and Lee Sep 16, 2017 with no negotiate message HACKED!

Hurricanes Jose Maria Lee Norma Otis  Sep 17, 2017 with nothing to see here snark HACKED!


  HACKED!

GIFs That Show the Effects of Climate Change
Sometimes nothing's as good as just showing people the GIFs. HACKED!

Arctic ice receding over 15 years in National Geograhic atlases.
National Geographic’s 2014 atlas update had a big change: the tiny Arctic ice sheet. It was the biggest update the publication’s made to their maps since the end of the Soviet Union. Now shipping companies and oil drilling companies are eyeing the Arctic for new shipping routes and drilling opportunities. HACKED!

The Columbia Glacier in Alaska is one of the most dramatic examples of the effect of climate change on glaciers. The southern side of the glacier has receded 12 miles in 30 years, and the remaining parts of the glacier in the Chugach mountains are thinner.HACKED!

The Sierra Nevada mountains are looking a little barren these days.
The Yosemite Conservancy has a number of webcams set up around the national park, and these shots from their High Sierra camera, prominently featuring Half Dome, were all taken around the same time each year from 2011 to 2016. The dramatic change in snow cover shows just how bad California’s drought is, even in the mountains.HACKED!

DestructionDestructionDestructionDestructionDestruction
Deforestation in the Amazon for agriculture and development is releasing a lot of CO2 into the atmosphere. In fact, deforestation worldwide is responsible for about 15 percent of CO2 emissions.
Greenland Ice melt HACKED!
 
glacier stream melt HACKED!
mountain Glacier melt HACKED! 
Earth's Melting Glaciers Captured in Stunning Before-and-After Images 1 HACKED!
 

Earth's Melting Glaciers Captured in Stunning Before-and-After Images 2 HACKED!
Retreat of the Columbia Glacier, Alaska, USA, by ~6.5 km between 2009 and 2015. Credit: James Balog and the Extreme Ice Survey HACKED!


Earth's Melting Glaciers Captured in Stunning Before-and-After Images 3 HACKED!
Stein Glacier, Switzerland, retreat of ~550 m from 2006 to 2015. Credit: James Balog and the Extreme Ice Survey HACKED!


Earth's Melting Glaciers Captured in Stunning Before-and-After Images 4 HACKED!
Solheimajokull, Iceland, retreat of ~625 m from 2007 to 2015. Credit: James Balog and the Extreme Ice Survey HACKED!


Exxon fracking poison gas HACKED!
 
How Fracking impacts water stressed areas HACKED!

  2 degree C option now lost HACKED!
Muffler pipe exhaust pollution HACKED!
Jews against Trump anti-semitism HACKED!
Map of Federally owned USA fossil fuels land HACKED!

CO2 457 PPM! HACKED!

CO2 502 PPM! HACKED!

GHG and Climate change temperature increase global warming CO2 Warming Global HACKED!

Earth with and without GHG  HACKED!

the last time CO2 was this high    HACKED!     
 
The REALLY inconvenient bell curve truth about the IPCC projections:HACKED!
 
 Prof over Plan Parasites  Exxon Oil HACKED

Tick Frack this planet parasite HACKED

Hosea 10:13   HACKED!
 
World War CO2 FIRST PICTURE HACKED!
World War CO2  SECOND PICTURE HACKED!
diagram of methane  doom hacked!
 
  Stop Pollution HACKED!

Earth nullschool tutorial  HACKED!


Agelbert NOTE (of hope): I am in the process of duplicating most of the lost images SEVERAL times. It will cost the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn more money to keep hacking my images.

The hacked images from Dr. Brown in the list above came from the following videos. It is clear that the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn DO NOT want you to see those images which were taken from the videos.

Although the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn have been busy trying to make videos that tell the Global Warming Truth go away (Facebook has now gotten a "fact checking" group funded by the 🦕🦖 Koch Brothers ::) - U-tube keeps "disappearing" videos critical of Big Oil), the videos by Dr. Brown are still 👍 viewable.

It really BOTHERS the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn that those videos are out there. For that reason alone, I recommend you view them, copy them, take screenshots of graphs in them, save said screenshots in your computer, and tell all your friends about them.

Just think of the hearburn you're causing the fossil fuel fascists!

While you are having fun at Hydrocarbom Hellspawn expense, you just might save the biosphere for future generations!

The GRIM REALITY BOTTOM LINE: The Warming EMPIRICAL Observations are tracking WORSE than the "Worse case" IPCC scenario (RCP 8.5 Business as Usual). 😟


 The Fossil Fuelers 🦖 DID THE Clean Energy  Inventions suppressing, Climate Trashing, human health depleting CRIME,   but since they have ALWAYS BEEN liars and conscience free crooks 🦀, they are trying to AVOID   DOING THE TIME or   PAYING THE FINE!     Don't let them get away with it! Pass it on!   
« Last Edit: May 12, 2019, 02:50:13 pm by AGelbert »
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Brazil’s 🦖 Bolsonaro:Exterminator of the Future’ 😨
May 14, 2019

Eight former Brazilian Ministers of Environment issued a warning last week that the government of right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro is in the process of systematically destroying Brazil's environmental protection policies. They say the environmental ministry's powers are being stripped, and that deforestation of the Amazon is on the rise again. Marina Silva, who was the environmental minister under President Lula da Silva, called Bolsonaro an “exterminator of the future.”

After four months in office, Bolsonaro's environmental record has been devastating, Alexander Zaitchik told The Real News Network's Greg Wilpert.


“[There is a] massive wave of illegal incursions throughout the Amazon on two formerly protected lands by loggers, miners, agribusiness interests who are emboldened by the rhetoric coming out of the government, where they just feel like the laws won't be enforced,” Zaitchik said. “The agencies that have been empowered to protect what's what's left of the Brazilian Amazon—and again, we've already lost a fifth of it—are being held back. They're being defunded. They're being reshuffled, put under hostile ministers.”

Zaitchik detailed some of the effects on environmental agencies and infrastructure under Bolsonaro. Ibama, Brazil's Environmental Protection Agency, has lost nearly a quarter of its funds. The conservation agency ICMBO is being staffed by right-wing police officers, and all of its scientists have been fired. The Indian agency FUNAI, which assists Brazil's Indigenous groups, has had 90 percent of its funding withheld. Zaitchik added that what is happening in Brazil is similar to the U.S. under Trump, “where the scientific community is sort of seen as a hostile force.”

The role that the international community plays in terms of influencing Bolsonaro environmental policies will become increasingly important, just as it was in the '90s when Brazil's military dictatorships ramped up deforestation.

“A lot of the Indigenous leaders are going abroad, trying to raise the alarm about what's happening, and you know, they're meeting with government officials. And the governments of Asia and Europe and North America are going to be crucial in making sure that another 20 percent of the forest is not destroyed by the policies that Bolsonaro is putting in place right now,” Zaitchik said. “Scientists tell us that another 20 percent risks triggering this feedback loop called 'dieback' in which the forest will simply collapse, and its systems will no longer be able to sustain themselves.”

https://therealnews.com/stories/brazils-bolsonaro-exterminator-of-the-future
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Join me in another rousing chorus of, "Both sides are equally bad."


By Eric Levitz@EricLevitz



I am no longer sure that after the Civil War there were two sides to American politics, when the Madisonians got folded, spindled and corporate power mutiliated by the Hamiltonian Robber Barons.

I now believe that, towards the end of the 19th century, the 50 originial "investors" in Brown Brothers Harriman (Rockefeller was one of them) became the hidden U.S. OILIGARCHY. These heinous oligarchs spawned a couple of generations of equally despicable oligarchs. By controlling the "both sides" political food fight, these slaves of avarice and/or ambition have run this freak show ever since. 

You know, people say that Maximilien Robespierre said there are no innocents. That is not accurate. He said that, ONLY those who were innocent deserved mercy. That is no excuse for terrorism, of course, but I think his logic is sound.

February of the Year of our Lord 1794:

SNIPPET 1:
Quote
But as the essence of the republic or of democracy is equality, it follows that the love of country necessarily includes the love of equality.

It is also true that this sublime sentiment assumes a preference for the public interest over every particular interest; hence the love of country presupposes or produces all the virtues: for what are they other than that spiritual strength which renders one capable of those sacrifices? And how could the slave of avarice or ambition, for example, sacrifice his idol to his country?

Not only is virtue the soul of democracy; it can exist only in that government. ...

SNIPPET 2:
Quote
. . . Indulgence for the royalists, cry certain men, mercy for the villains! No! mercy for the innocent, mercy for the weak, mercy for the unfortunate, mercy for humanity.

Society owes protection only to peaceable citizens;

read more:

https://www.marxists.org/history/france/revolution/robespierre/1794/terror.htm

The modern Robber Barron Oligarchs now have something their 19th Robber Baron ancestors did not: robots. Human (cheap/slave) labor was needed a century ago to ruthlessly create and preserve Robber Barron Dynasties. Human labor is still somewhat cheaper than robots, but that is rapidly changing. Robots now build robots that can repair robots. Are you getting the picture?

I am. These Oligarchs do not want to lower their carbon footprint to keep climate change from wiping humanity out. So, they figure allowing climate change to wipe out 95% of humanity while they "ride it out" is "worth it". In fact, they see a large reduction in the human population as a huge positive factor because they believe it will help the biosphere recover from damage caused by a large human population.

They are wrong, but what do I know?

Shape of things to come song video
« Last Edit: June 01, 2019, 10:48:46 pm by AGelbert »
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Why am I not surprised? Probably for the same reason I am not surprised that, as per another pertinent article you just posted, despite unending gushers of red ink from the frackers since 2014 (at least), those Hydrocarbon Hellspawn beloved and Welfare Queen babied by the OIL-igarchy that runs the USA continue to have access to a Federal Reserve Funds WINDOW that provides millions and millions of dollars in loans at interest rates you and I will never be privy to (unless we are buying a gas guzzler, of course). 

I am also not surprised by the Hosting 2020 Debate on Climate Crisis "Not Practical" statement by the DNC Chair for the same reason (see below).



Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Why am I not surprised? Probably for the same reason I am not surprised that, as per another pertinent article you just posted, despite unending gushers of red ink from the frackers since 2014 (at least), those Hydrocarbon Hellspawn beloved and Welfare Queen babied by the OIL-igarchy that runs the USA continue to have access to a Federal Reserve Funds WINDOW that provides millions and millions of dollars in loans at interest rates you and I will never be privy to (unless we are buying a gas guzzler, of course). 

I am also not surprised by the Hosting 2020 Debate on Climate Crisis "Not Practical" statement by the DNC Chair for the same reason (see below).

"Hydrocarbon Hellspawn" is a perfectly apt epithet, BTW.

None of this should surprise anyone scoring at home. Ever since the National Security State got eh USA PATRIOT Act on the books, language can be stretched to redefine "terrorism" to be whatever the USMIC wants it to be. Very convenient.

As to the democrats, the Ds have turned their back on their base (as a party of the people) and the people have returned the favor. Don't know how many replays of 2016 we need to get the point that when turnout is large, Ds win. The DNC is giving large numbers of people plenty of reason to stay home.


That's about the size of it. In view of the following overview of present global shipping activity, it is rather difficult to see the stranglehold that the OIL-igarchy has on the world being overcome any time soon:


Please feel free to pass on that epithet hither and yon. If it goes viral, the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn will lose billions of dollars of their ill gotten profits.

Here's a cartoon that sums up the OIL-igarchy's MO. If cartoons like this one go viral, decent people will benefit.

Quote
Starting today, Eli is announcing the second episode of “The Adventures of Starman,” titled “Big Oil Strikes Back!” Here is the trailer:

June 11th, 2019 associated article by Chanan Bos

« Last Edit: June 11, 2019, 05:16:54 pm by AGelbert »
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

Surly1

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Canada Declares Climate Emergency, Then Approves Massive Oil Pipeline Expansion
Canada can’t meet its Paris climate targets without reducing emissions from the oil and gas sector, experts say.


Here's Justin Trudeau just the other week announcing something nice for the environment. Image via The Canadian Press

Only one day after declaring a climate emergency, Canada has approved the expansion of a massive pipeline that will increase oil production in Alberta and release more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

On Monday night, Canada’s parliament passed a motion brought forward by Environment and Climate Change Minister Catherine McKenna calling climate change a “real and urgent crisis, driven by human activity,” and requiring the government to make deep emissions reductions to meet its Paris commitments.

On Tuesday, in a move condemned by environmentalists, Justin Trudeau’s cabinet approved the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion (TMX).

Trudeau said he was elected on a plan to grow the middle class and fight climate change, two goals he said were not at odds. “We need to create wealth today so we can invest in the future,” he said.

“This project has the potential to create thousands of solid middle class jobs for Canadians,” he said.

Trudeau made a commitment that every dollar earned from the expansion project will be invested in Canada’s transition to green energy. A senior official said that amounts to about $500 million per year once oil starts flowing through the pipeline.

The project will proceed subject to 156 binding conditions from the regulator, the National Energy Board.

All 129 First Nations along the pipeline route will receive invitations later this week to join a government engagement process toward their “economic participation” in the project, a senior official said.

In response, First Nations leaders in B.C. reiterated their opposition to the project. Tsleil Waututh community member Will George said in a statement, "No matter who approves it, this pipeline will not be built." Pipeline opponents promised to "occupy the highway" this Saturday.

Construction will start in 2019, but an exact timeline will depend on permits, according to a senior official.

“The timing is ironic for sure,” said Cat Abreu, executive director of Climate Action Network. “We’re continuing to have a conversation about addressing climate change in Canada while skirting around the elephant in the room, which is emissions from oil and gas.”

It’s not yet possible to say whether Canada will or won’t meet our Paris commitments, but the government’s own numbers show that we’re 79 megatons of greenhouse gases away from our 2030 emissions reductions targets. It’s a “significant gap,” Abreu said. “And that gap is, according to the modeling, in large part thanks to emissions from the oil and gas sector.” She said Canada will have a hard time meeting its Paris targets “without seriously addressing emissions from the oil and gas sector.”

Cabinet’s approval of the expansion will mean new jobs in pipeline construction, plus heated protests along the route in B.C., and a flurry of fresh legal challenges against the government. It will also allow Trudeau to enter the fall election saying he found a way to export Alberta oil from the west coast, where it can potentially fetch a higher price. The project would increase the capacity of the existing Trans Mountain pipeline from 300,000 barrels of bitumen per day to 890,000.

It’s the second time Trudeau has approved the expansion.

He first gave it the green light in November 2016, but last August a Federal Court of Appeal decision quashed that approval, ruling that the government failed to properly consult First Nations along the pipeline route, and the National Energy Board, the regulator, made a “critical error” in excluding marine tanker traffic from its review. In response, the government launched new consultations with First Nations, and the NEB released a report finding that marine traffic would have “significant” negative effects on killer whales, but concluded it should go ahead anyway.

According to a Crown consultation report released Tuesday, the government has promised to accommodate First Nations by enhancing spill prevention, ensuring quieter vessels, and monitoring cumulative effects, among other measures. The report concludes the government met its duty to consult, as set out by the Federal Court of Appeal. In a letter released Tuesday, former Supreme Court justice Frank Iacobucci, who oversaw the consultations, said they had reinforced his hope for “fair and equitable reconciliation.”

Pipeline worker Tyler Moss said pipeline construction business is already “busy busy” and he’s turning down jobs. Even without the expansion, there are new liquefied natural gas projects to build in northern B.C. But he said he wants the expansion to go forward for the “overall health” of the oil and gas sector.

“TMX is still a huge project and if it does [get approved] I’d be happy to work in the mountains for one of the bigger outfits.”

As for the looming climate crisis, Moss said the shift toward green energy can’t happen overnight. “If our country has money from our resources, we’ve got better options for investing in green energy.”

“That’s like saying we need to keep selling cigarettes to have money to fight cancer,” said Eugene Kung, lawyer with West Coast Environmental Law, and lead on the First Nations case against the pipeline.

Kung said he and other lawyers plan to review cabinet’s rationale, looking for opportunities to challenge it in court. New legal challenges may not stop the pipeline completely, but they could delay it enough that it becomes financially difficult to justify building, he said.

“It could be a stranded asset long before it’s paid off,” Kung said, pointing to a recent Bank of Canada review that identified climate change as a vulnerability to our financial system, posing both physical risks from extreme weather events and transition risks from adapting to a lower-carbon global economy.

The question of whether there’s actually a business case for the expansion has hung over the project since Canada officially bought it last August for $4.5 billion.On June 11, a former Liberal environment minister sent letters to six members of Trudeau’s cabinet saying the expansion has no business case. “There is no credible evidence to suggest that Asia is likely to be a reliable or a significant market for Alberta bitumen,” David Anderson wrote, according to the Canadian Press.

“I don’t think of it as a business case,” said Trevor Tombe, associate economics professor at the University of Calgary. “Pipelines, once they’re constructed, are really boring assets.” They’re like a utility, with a regulated rate of return from one year to the next, he said.

“The question is only whether they will be utilized at sufficient capacity to recoup the construction cost,” he said. “In this case, the projections for Alberta oil are such that there’s little doubt that the oil will be shipped if the pipeline is built, so in that sense, there will be a return on the dollars invested in the pipe.”

On the other hand, the case for public ownership is weak, he said. The government only bought the pipeline under enormous pressure from the previous owner, Kinder Morgan, which had threatened to pull out in the face of court challenges and regulatory hurdles.

Trudeau has been clear that the government plans to sell the pipeline. Tombe said it’ll be easy to sell it once it’s built, but it’s not clear if it will fetch a high enough price to recoup various costs including construction. “Time will tell,” he said.

Meanwhile, along the pipeline route in B.C., some First Nations groups are preparing to fight construction on the ground.

Kanahus Manuel of the Secwepemc Women’s Warrior Society sent a video showing four tiny houses parked along a highway near the site of a proposed “man camp,” where workers building the pipeline will live. She contends the pipeline infringes on her First Nation’s rights, and believes man camps pose a threat to Indigenous women. Her group blocked the road to the proposed man camp in anticipation of the pipeline’s approval.

“Yes, we’re here blockading, and TMX will never get built,” she said.

She said she was about to give her sister a stick-and-poke warrior tattoo “to get ready for battle.”


AGelbert

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Yep. Orwell lives. You just cannot make this stuff up. No matter how ridiculous, no matter how breathakingly disingenuous, duplicitous and in-our-faces mendacious and mockingly insulting, the 🐉🦕🦖 Hydrocarbon Hellspawn will always choose to do it rather than admit that they are the cause of Catastrophic Climate Change.

Tomorrow is Yesterday...
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Though Attorney William Burck may certainly be knowledgeable of Trump's money laundering and real estate criminal fun and games with the Russian oligarchs, there is someone far more knowledgeable of, AND also an accessory to, Trump's greatest crime against, not just the USA, but all of humanity. 


😈 Carter Page is the guy that brokered the deal between 🦖 Putin and Trump & Hydrocarbon Hellspawn pals in the U.S. to buy a large portion of a Russian Oil Corporation planning to get at the CH4 and oil "bonanza" under the polar ice cap (once it melts, of course, - so, Trump subsequently has done all he can to help THAT along).


Scheming to profit from the melting of the polar ice cap is Trump's biggest crime.
That's why the U.S. Congress and the 👹 MSM have relegated Carter Page to "dumb nothing burger" status (SEE: Orwell).


« Last Edit: June 19, 2019, 02:39:18 pm by AGelbert »
Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Do Tesla [TSLA] 🦕Analysts Consistently Manipulate TSLA Downward?

July 2nd, 2019 by Zachary Shahan

There’s an interesting thing that happens every quarter. Once solid estimates for Tesla’s quarterly production and delivery numbers are in, short sellers and critics jump to the next quarter and typically claim that delivery will fall off tremendously because pent-up consumer demand has been exhausted and sustainable new demand is going to be much more limited.

This is actually not a new phenomenon. It was going on back when the Model S was the only Tesla on the market, and also back when the Model S and Model X were the only Tesla vehicles for sale. It’s now the case for the Model 3, with such critics (some of them the same ones from the early Model S days) continually arguing that the Model 3’s sales are going to be very, very bad next quarter … until they end up being good and those critics have to shift and jump to the following quarter.

But that’s just part 1 of this story, which I’d say has 3 parts.

Analysts who subscribe to this simple, renewable methodology (some of whom have been doing so for years) will of course forecast big drops in the Tesla [TSLA] stock price while running this narrative. (Full disclosure: I’m long TSLA.) They will highlight lack of demand in the coming quarter, or “weakening demand,” until they are proven wrong. A little while after they are proven wrong, they skip that quarter’s old and incorrect narrative and tell the same story about following quarters. However, this seems to be an important part of the story that gets less attention: instead of adjusting their 6-month forecast for the price of a TSLA share (which would be logical if demand ended up being much higher than you previously thought), many of these analysts just shift the goal posts forward in time. In other words, they simply assume their “doom & gloom” story about Tesla demand was not wrong, just slightly premature. (The point when it gets hard to believe this is their honest, genuine forecast is when they’ve been running on this cycle for several quarters or years.)

The third part of this game is the part that I find particularly irritating. Despite all the talk of lack of demand, or dwindling demand, analysts end up having sales forecasts at the end of the quarter that defy those previous arguments. For months, the talk of the town regarding Tesla was that demand was dropping. Now, Q2 delivery numbers are expected to be around Tesla’s all-time high (Q4 2018), ~90,000. If all the people saying Tesla demand had dropped off had stuck with that argument, their estimates should have settled around 70,000 or so for Q2! Instead, the Factset average is approximately 91,000. Have they also significantly increased their price targets for TSLA over that time? Haha — stupid question. 😀

There’s an important point why that last part matters so much. Market reactions to a stock often depend on how much the final results different from “market expectations.” If the market said this week it expects ~70,000 deliveries in Q2 and Tesla reports ~90,000 deliveries, the stock price would spike. Instead, they’re saying that they expect far more deliveries than they expected 1–6 months ago, but they’ve slowly shifted to this view and not many have adjusted their stock price forecast accordingly. If they weren’t allowed to change their analyses from 6 months ago, or 3 months ago, they should be expecting far fewer deliveries than we’ll surely see recorded. Nonetheless, the Tesla stock price is lower than it was 6 months ago! My guess is that it will drop again after Q2 delivery figures come out because those figures probably won’t beat expectations, expectations that were previously absurdly low but are now conveniently high. Does that make sense?


A Tesla Motors Club forum member, Madodel, had a good summary of the past few years of “insight” from many Tesla analysts: “Well they said 3+ years ago that Tesla couldn’t build the Model X. Then they said that Tesla couldn’t sell the Model X. Yet TSLA continued to produce and sell the unbuildable/unsellable. Now if Tesla misses the self imposed goal by one car then all the ‘superior’ stock analysts will declare doom for Tesla. Bankwuptsy imminent and TSLA SP down to $0. I wish someone sold bets on all of them rotting in hell. I think that is a safe bet.” Excellent summary. The only thing is that it misses some of these people also saying Tesla couldn’t build or sell the Model S and then saying it couldn’t build or sell the Model 3.

I wrote this piece up before seeing the video below, but I just watched it and it is, logically, on the same topic. Since the video also highlights an article of mine, I’m obligated to share it. 😉 One extra note Ale makes in the video that I think is important is that despite consistently negative and pessimistic CNBC reporting about Tesla demand and sales (based on “Wall Street expectations”), Tesla had year-over-year delivery growth of 85% in Q2 2018, 219% in Q3 2018, 203% in Q4 2018, 110% in Q1 2019, and according to the Wall Street estimates they reference would have 131% year-over-year growth in Q2 2019. Just referencing 2019, “not such a good first half for Tesla” was the CNBC host’s key takeaway. Seriously.


There’s more “good” stuff in there (like CNBC seemingly inflating Wall Street’s Tesla delivery forecast quite significantly). I recommend watching it.

https://cleantechnica.com/2019/07/02/do-tsla-analysts-consistently-manipulate-tsla-downward/

Agelbert COMMENT: Do Tesla [TSLA] 🦕Analysts Consistently Manipulate TSLA Downward?

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Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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BLACK BEAR NEWS 7.6.19 Doubling Down: The 🦍 Military ,💵 🎩 Big Bankers and 🦕🦖 Big Oil Are In Climate CONTROL, not Denial

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Black Bear News 👍

Published on Jul 6, 2019

Mick West & Jim Lee Debate Chemtrails, Geoengineering, & Semantics

Transformation of contrails into cirrus during SUCCESS
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/97GL03314%4010.1002/%28ISSN%291944-8007.SUCCESS1

Contrails reduce daily temperature range
https://www.nature.com/articles/418601a

Doubling Down: The Military, Big Bankers and  Big Oil Are Not In Climate Denial, They Are in Control and Plan to Keep It That ☠️ Way.https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/07/05/doubling-down-the-military-big-bankers-and-big-oil-are-not-in-climate-denial-they-are-in-control-and-plan-to-keep-it-that-way/

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Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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😈 Newt Gingrich SKULLDUGGERY!
« Reply #134 on: July 08, 2019, 06:59:37 pm »
Are Republicans Placing Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in ☠️ Danger?
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Thom Hartmann Program
Published on Jul 4, 2019

Newt Gingrich emailed Republicans around the country telling them at that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wants to destroy America.

This is after AOC exposed the Republicans fault in the migrant crisis.

How is Trump's base going to respond to her after hearing this?

Is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in danger after Newt Gingrich sent emails demeaning her and telling Republicans that she is "cruel" "dishonest" and wants to "destroy America?"

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