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AGelbert

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February 26, 2020

Quote
Macdavy 👍
the cascading effects of this are too many to list, and the pundits on wall street aren't expert on pandemics so are likely wrong, how can their hubris be so huge, how do they think this can all blow over, they must really not understand the force of nature we are dealing with. 

When airlines start to default because of government-enforced travel restrictions or simply people cancel travel plans, now hotels and restaurants default, cab companies, uber has fewer customers as people stay home, luxury items are not a priority, items dry up at stores as china is in full economic lockdown,  Walmart starts layoffs, I can go on and on at what's coming,

The problem is our central banks created this asset bubble people think is going to the moon, it was already up 350% on nothing but low interest and cheap credit. We weren't in an economic boom; We were in a boom of cheap money and the world leveraged, and now our cheap trinkets are about to stop flowing. This little nanometer chain of RNA has just started to pop this bubble, and the banks are helpless. No amount of liquidity they pump into this will stop it. Right now I'm seeing something I haven't seen since 2008, the markets are started to scream fear, All our jobs will be on the line.

Agelbert NOTE: The above truth telling comment was  made in regard to this truth telling 👍 article:

Wed, 02/26/2020 - 14:15
Summary

There are plenty of uncertainties in the world. Individuals have the decision-making ability to evaluate those uncertainties and the risks they pose. That said, it is difficult to remember a time when the potential turbulence we face has been so broadly ignored by the “market” and so overlooked by the Fed and politicians. It is as though we have been tranquilized by the ever-rising stock market and net worth as an artifact of that fallacious indicator of security.




He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Prof. Richard Wolff: Will Bernie Save Capitalism?
« Reply #736 on: February 26, 2020, 08:05:40 pm »
Prof. Richard Wolff: Will Bernie Save Capitalism?
16,659 views•Feb 25, 2020


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Category News & Politics
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Agelbert NOTE: Carl_R said this yesterday. He is right about Trump. I will add that Trump cannot be any other way. 🦀 Trump is an evil bastard. Trump is reaping what he willfully, arrogantly, greedily and murderously has sown all his profit over people and planet life.

Quote
Carl_R
Trump had the high ground. All he had to do was to act Presidential, and say something like "Coronavirus is a global threat. We take coronavirus very seriously, and we are devoting as much effort to fighting it as possible. So far it it contained in the US, but it is an ongoing risk. I am very concerned for all the people who could be at risk if this begins spreading in the US. I have asked Congress for additional funds to fight this threat. It it time for an end to partisanship, and we need to all work together, and then our country will emerge stronger, regardless of what happens."

With a statement like that, he wins either way. If corona doesn't cause large number of deaths in the US, it was because of his strong response. If it does, it was despite his efforts, and the resulting recession was not something he could have prevented or be blamed for. Either way, his re-election would have been almost certain.

Instead he downplayed it. Now instead of a win-win scenario he is in a lose-lose situation. In the more likely case, corona does create problems for the US economy, not only can he not win  ;D, Republicans will be wiped out in Congress as well. Expect Sanders to be elected , and to have a better than 2/3 majority in both houses  . In the less likely scenario, it is contained and never becomes an issue in the US. In that case, coronavirus is forgotten, and ceases to be a factor. Even though he was right, he gets no credit because the supply disruption in China causes a recession anyway, which he gets blamed for, and he loses the election that way, too, though the Republicans end up perhaps holding the Senate.

Without question, this was the worst political move I have ever seen at any level . He had a winning hand, and he folded and accepted defeat.

I think there is no way to keep Coronavirus from spreading in the US . There is just too much travel. I talked to four customers today. I'm in a relatively small town in the middle of nowhere. One had just returned from Africa. Another was headed to Mexico for a cruise. Another was on his way to Germany. Still another was headed to Israel on Friday. This is going on in every city in America. Coronavirus will be here sooner, rather than later, and Trump, and the Republicans will pay a heavy, heavy price for his incredibly ill-advised speech tonight. The stock market will probably rally for a couple days, though. I hope it was worth it to him.

ANOTHER Agelbert NOTE: Trump's PPT is desperately trying to protect the stock market. It isn't working ;D. It appears that sanity has returned to most of the traders there.  As I posted February 5, 2020, the Crack-up Boom market is in progress for many reasons, only one of them being Covd-19. The market has nowhere to go but DOWN. The only prudent thing to do is SELL.

Quote
thimk
It's all a ruse to protect the much vaunted reelection stock market  Notice how the Trumpster shifted culpability to Pence; the fall guy. My god we don't even have a reliable, affordable, accessible test for this man made malady. This virus possesses ungodlike like characteristics. It's ironical the CB's adopted a "what ever it takes" attitude to save the financial markets but "what ever it takes" doesn't apply to the well being of individuals. No global integrated action plan/procedures/policies forth coming. It's just considered a blip on the radar screen. Make that a double, bartender.

associated article:







He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Agelbert NOTE: 📢 There is NO LONGER ANY DOUBT that a SEVERE BEAR MARKET is in progress.







Thu, 02/27/2020 - 16:01

He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Nancy Altman ✨: 😈 Bloomberg (Still) Wants to Cut Your Social Security 😠
420 views•Feb 27, 2020


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He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

Surly1

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Stock futures point to more losses after Thursday’s massive tumble amid coronavirus fears
Dow plunges 1,100 points, bringing its decline from a record high to more than 10%


Stocks fell sharply in volatile trading Thursday as investors worried the coronavirus may be spreading in the U.S. A slew of corporate and analyst warnings on the virus dragged down the major averages, tipping them into correction territory.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 1,190.95 points, or 4.4%, to close at 25,766.64. The S&P 500 slid 4.4% to 2,978.76 while the Nasdaq Compositedropped 4.6% to 8,566.48. The Dow had its worst day since February 2018 while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 posted its biggest one-day loss since August 2011.

It was also the Dow’s biggest one-day point decline in history, surpassing Monday’s 1,031-point drop. The S&P 500 also closed below 3,000 for the first time since last October.

“We’re extremely cautious in the short term,” said Tom Hainlin, global investment strategist at Ascent Private Capital Management. “No one really seems to be an expert on the coronavirus. We haven’t seen anything like this really in our investing lifetimes.”

Thursday’s losses put the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq in correction territory, which is defined on Wall Street as down more than 10% from their a recent high. It took the Dow just 10 sessions to tumble from its all-time high into a correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq set record highs last week. The Dow now sits more than 12% below its all-time high.

The Dow and S&P 500 were also on pace for their worst weekly performance since 2008. Through Thursday’s close, the Dow was down more than 11% week to date while the S&P 500 had lost 10.8%.

The CDC confirmed on Wednesday evening the first U.S. coronavirus case of unknown origin in Northern California, indicating possible “community spread” of the disease. The patient had no travel history or contacts that would have put the person at risk, the CDC said. On Thursday, California Gov. Gavin Newsom said the state is monitoring 8,400 people for coronavirus.

Apple, Intel and Exxon Mobil were among the worst-performing Dow stocks Thursday, dropping at least 6% each. AMD and Nvidia fell 7.3% and 5.6%, respectively.

American Airlines dropped 7.7% while United Airlines slid 2.4%. Las Vegas Sands and MGM Resorts, meanwhile, fell 1.3% and 4.5%, respectively.

Trump press conference

President Donald Trump tried to assuage concerns over the outbreak on Wednesday night. At a White House news conference, he said the risk of coronavirus to people in the U.S. is still “very low” but added that the U.S. is going to “spend whatever’s appropriate.” Trump also put Vice President Mike Pence in charge of the U.S. response to the coronavirus and said markets should soon recover.

But worries over how the coronavirus will impact corporate profits and global economic growth overwhelmed the president’s assurances. The stock market has been under pressure all week as the number of confirmed cases increased outside of China. South Korea has confirmed a total of more than 1,700 cases. More than 600 people have contracted the virus in Italy.

The outbreak has also led several companies to issue warnings about its earnings and revenues.

Microsoft said Wednesday it will not meet its revenue guidance for a key segment. It said its supply chain is “returning to normal operations at a slower pace than anticipated,” which led the tech giant to cut its forecast for its personal computing division. Personal computing accounted for 36% of Microsoft’s overall revenue during the previous quarter. Microsoft shares were down 7.1%. PayPal also issued a warning about its outlook.

Goldman’s bearish call

“US companies will generate no earnings growth in 2020,” David Kostin, Goldman Sachs’ chief U.S. equity strategist, said in a note that further spooked the market on Thursday. “Our reduced profit forecasts reflect the severe decline in Chinese economic activity in 1Q, lower end-demand for US exporters, disruption to the supply chain for many US firms, a slowdown in US economic activity, and elevated business uncertainty.”

The S&P 500 posted Thursday a six-day losing streak, its longest daily slide since August. The Dow also had a sixth consecutive loss, the 30-stock average’s longest losing streak since 2018.

“As this week’s selling has progressed, we have seen some evidence of increased caution on the part of investors,” said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Baird. “Investors are shifting away from excessive optimism but there is still little evidence of fear overwhelming complacency. Bottoms are typically processes punctuated by climactic events and seeing breadth indicators stabilize would be an encouraging sign that such a process is underway.”

Bond prices, in turn, have surged this week sending yields to historic lows.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dipped below 1.25% on Thursday, hitting a record low. The 30-year bond rate is also trading at an all-time low. Yields move inversely to prices.

“We’ve hit a pocket of fear,” said Gregory Faranello, head of U.S. rates trading at AmeriVet Securities. “This is a big deal. … If this flows into the U.S., we could be in trouble because, let’s face it, the U.S. consumer is what’s holding this thing together.”

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AGelbert

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February 28, 2019 5:08 PM


SNIPPET:

Dow crashed from peak to correction at its fastest pace since 1928 - right before The Great Depression


Read a LOT MORE:

« Last Edit: February 28, 2020, 09:48:58 pm by AGelbert »
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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By Laurie Macfarlane, Opendemocracy.net

February 27, 2020 | STRATEGIZE!

SNIPPET:

Quote
In the age of the ‘self-made’ millionaire, the lottery of birth is more important than ever. As George Monbiot once said: “If wealth was the inevitable result of hard work and enterprise, every woman in Africa would be a millionaire.”

Full article:


Quote
Kelly Storme • 10 hours ago
This will likely be the final heads-up/warning I provide readers here. First and foremost - we All must start thinking for ourselves. Question what you hear, question what you read, question your own world views, question your own biases.

This warning is not meant to cause extreme fear or panic - People Do Not Behave Rationally when they are Petrified or Panicked. I only wish to provide you with some information that I Do Not Want You to Take as Fact - I want to cause you enough concern that you will ask questions, do your own research, draw your own conclusions and take responsible actions that you believe to be best for yourself and those you care about.

I don't have time to give you a lot of details. You don't have time for me to soft pedal this. If you listen and do your own rapid due diligence and then act swiftly, you will be far more prepared for what is coming than the vast majority of the masses.

You need to know two things -

One: The economy is collapsing - the real economy was already in bad shape - now the hyper inflated bankster created fake financial economy is cratering and it Will decimate what's left of the real economy - We are headed for, not a recession, a depression. You will witness asset classes collapse in price - stocks, bonds, housing, luxury goods, new cars, etc. and you will see further inflation of everyday goods as they become more scarce and therefore more precious.

Thanks to this covid19 nightmare, it has severely damaged global supply chains. What does that mean? It means the shipments from overseas that are docking at ports now will constitute the last resupply for an unknown period of time of things you buy that you typically don't even think about not having - pharmaceuticals, vitamin supplements, toilet paper, paper towels, electronics, etc. - long list. This virus, thanks to an inadequate response in way too many countries, is spreading worldwide. When it comes to a neighborhood near you, and it will have a negative impact on domestic supply chains as well as the international ones. If you do not do some prudent preparing for shortages right now, you will be left hanging in the wind. My best guess is that you have no more than a month before this hits most of our stores that rely on imports like a 2x4 in the face.

So, do your homework, make your own decisions about what's real and what's not.
And, if you have any doubt in your mind about what is taking place in our economy, buy some provisions.

PLEASE Do Not Hoard. Figure out what you need to get by for at least a month and better yet, three months (canned and dried food, water, prescriptions, first aid, bleach, toilet paper, cash, etc.). Go out and calmly purchase what you need. Buy what you normally would use so if you are fortunate enough not to need all of it for this particular situation, you'll eventually use it anyway - no wasted money on your part.

Again, I cannot stress this enough. Please Do Not Hoard. Please do your own due diligence - it is very important for all of us moving forward to Think For Ourselves.

I wish you all well.
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Economic Update: When Stale Debates Distract
« Reply #743 on: March 02, 2020, 08:47:28 pm »
Economic Update: When Stale Debates Distract
11,465 views•Mar 2, 2020


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[S10 E09] When Stale Debates Distract

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This week on Economic Update, Professor Wolff presents updates on how air-bnb reflects workers' falling living standards, price-gouging anti-virus masks, purpose of Trump's record deficit, end of Brexit distraction makes UK face its real problem: capitalism, and cause of San Diego's pension crisis. The second half of the show features a major discussion of the economics' centuries-old, #1 debate - more vs less govt economic intervention. That debate mostly distracts from the feared debate over capitalism vs really alternative systems.
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Category News & Politics
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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by Tyler Durden

Tue, 03/03/2020 - 11:19

SNIPPET:

Neil Dutta, head of U.S. Economics at Renaissance Macro Research:

“Markets are said to stop panicking when policy makers begin to panic. The Fed just delivered an emergency cut, which qualifies as panic. But the 👹🎩 Fed’s 💵 tools are imperfect and not adequate to deal with a public health crisis. The market wants to know how far the virus will spread and the Fed cannot answer that question. The panic needs to come from the opposite of 17th Street in DC.”

Full article:



Agelbert NOTE: Quote of the day (valid EVERY DAY since 🦀 Trump stole the 2016 election):

Quote
GRDguy

Do people really think that a 🦀 financial sociopath who knowingly lies and steals for a living is going to do with less. No different from any other addict; they have to hit bottom first before they'll change.




He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Historic Capacity Crunch Looms as More Europe-Asia Sailings are Blanked
March 2, 2020 by The Loadstar


CMA CGM Containership File Photo: Sheila Fitzgerald / Shutterstock.com

By Gavin van Marle (The Loadstar) – Freight forwarders sending goods out of Europe to Asia face one of the tightest capacity crunches in living memory over the next few weeks.

CMA CGM is set to blank 23 North Europe-Asia sailings from now until 2 June, after last week announcing three further deepsea sailings in the middle of this month had been cancelled, “due to recent demand slowdown in the context of the coronavirus situation”.

This month alone, 15 eastbound sailings will not take place as scheduled, and the line said the cancellations were affecting its north-south services that relay cargo across Mediterranean hubs.

“Please note that these blank sailings also affect space on our Med, North Africa, East Africa, Middle East, Oceania and India subcontinent trades,” it said.

As a result, it has today introduced an emergency space surcharge of €50 per 20ft and €100 per 40ft for all shipments from North Europe, UK and Scandinavian ports to all Mediterranean and North African ports.

The Loadstar understands that the French carrier has now declared the situation as a force majeure, and that the strategy of blanking sailings would likely continue “for the foreseeable future, pending the return to normalcy of trade with China, Chinese production facilities and other countries impacted by the outbreak”.

Meanwhile, the build-up of reefer boxes in Shanghai, appears to have worsened, according to Maersk.

It has expanded its $1,000 per reefer container congestion surcharge to include the neighbouring port of Ningbo, effective immediately, for cargo brought in on non-FMC trades, with a 22 March implementation date for FMC-governed trades.

“The plug shortage in Shanghai and Xingang has not improved in the latest weeks and, indeed, it has been worsening also in surrounding ports. For that reason, we will be expanding the scope of the congestion, adding also Ningbo,” it said in a customer advisory.

“We recommend customers, when possible, to ship to other Chinese destinations or other markets in order to avoid the congested ports. This recommendation is in particular for transit time-sensitive, perishable, chilled commodities with a limited/short shelf-life, eg fruit/vegetables and frozen meat,” it added.

The move comes despite a reported decision by Ningbo port to reduce its reefer tariff by 50% “until the end of the virus”.

The Loadstar is fast becoming known at the highest levels of logistics and supply chain management as one of the best sources of influential analysis and commentary. Check them out at TheLoadstar.co.uk, or find them on Facebook and Twitter.


https://gcaptain.com/historic-capacity-crunch-looms-as-more-europe-asia-sailings-are-blanked/
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Re: Money
« Reply #746 on: March 03, 2020, 02:33:30 pm »

March 3, 2020

Quote
“We do recognize a rate cut will not reduce the rate of infection, it won’t fix a broken supply chain. We get that,” Mr. Powell said.

Agelbert RESPONSE: NO, YOU DO NOT "GET IT". You are a lackey for a dysfunctional oligarchy that thinks it can bullshit people with Fed monetary THEFT on behalf of the 1%. You do not GIVE A DAMN about main street.

The following quote is from an intelligent person that DOES "GET IT":

Quote
Sechel 👍
50 bps rate cut doesn't make people go to the malls or visit their local chinese restaurant. this was simply irresponsible and hurts the elderly, insurance companies and pensions.

Mr. Powell, YOU are an EVIL BASTARD and this corrupt, Trump spawned Hail Mary pass to save your oligarchic owners (AND 🦀 Trump's political ass) is going to FAIL BIG TIME!

Quote
Whisper2018
this big move from the FED may scare people away from spending and may well reinforce the downward momentum initiated by the coronavirus..

Quote
  Carl_R 👍
As I pointed out previously, this is the classic "you can't push on a string" example from the 1930's. When primary demand is destroyed, you can't make it re-appear with rate cuts. Yes, now you can get lower rate deals on car loans, appliances, and homes, but will those make you more apt to buy when what you really would like to buy is an N95 mask?

This won't significantly increase primary demand, but it does make is clear that this is a major inflection point.

Take THAT, Mr. OLIGARCHIC 🦀 Trump Toady 😈 Powell!
« Last Edit: March 03, 2020, 04:30:54 pm by AGelbert »
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Quote
dead hobo 👍
The lower rates go, the less liquidity becomes available and the Fed must pick up the slack. Printed capital replaces saved capital. Today is proof of that, once again.

This is only common sense.

If you have actual capital at risk, why would you wish to lend it out for an insignificant level of interest? It makes no sense. Of course capital disappears. Repos and QE MUST make up the difference.

Thus, more proof that interest rates must be high enough to provide a reasonable return on saved capital but no so high they choke off productive investment.

Yet the Fed, and all other central banks, just don't get it.

The Fed has three options

1) Repos where the amount provided 'will be enough'.

2) Raise rates and wait for  the higher rates to flow through the economy while fending off Wall Street tantrums for unlimited free money

3) QE and keep it coming. Printed capital replaces saved capital. Send rates to nothing and below. Eliminate any reason to save. Dystopia begins. Later, people get to work until they can't or until they die since savings is close to impossible. As Alan Greenspan said last year "Negative rates are just a number." They should appear in the mid ranges of the yield curve by the end of they year.

Fantastic Job, Mr Powell. But, as I wrote earlier, since I belong to the 99%, the insignificant, all you need to do is continue to ignore us and Japanify the US economy.

by Tyler Durden Thu, 03/05/2020 - 12:15



Agelbert OBSERVATION: The VIX was actually 🚩 above 32 for a while today. That is a HISTORICALLY HIGH LEVEL. ANYTHING above 20 is a huge danger flag. Above 30 is, uh, .



Quote
What Is the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)?
Created by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides s a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/vix.asp


Have a nice day.
« Last Edit: March 05, 2020, 05:10:42 pm by AGelbert »
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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Why Is There a Boom in CEO Resignations?
« Reply #748 on: March 05, 2020, 07:51:31 pm »
Why Is There a Boom in 😈 CEO Resignations?
4,720 views•Mar 5, 2020


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CEO resignations reached an all-time high in 2019. Is the corporate model of management fundamentally changing? We speak to white collar criminologist Bill Black.

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Category News & Politics
« Last Edit: August 17, 2021, 03:41:33 pm by AGelbert »
He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

AGelbert

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20 year old Simpsons Episode Predicted Trump BANKRUPTING the USA 

In this Simpsons episode from the year 2000, with Lisa Simpson posing as Hillary Clinton, has 3 predictions in 8 seconds. One is fulfilled, the Trump presidency. You can see the other two starting to take shape.

And Trump is getting desperate since he boasted and boasted and boasted that the economy is "doing great because of him", and this "Big, Fat, Ugly Bubble" is growing even bigger because of him. And he is the "Chosen One", and he is the "best president the US has ever had". So now that this country is on the path toward Trump's 7th bankruptcy, Trump is running out of scapegoats to blame.

🦀 Trump is the FASCISM ENABLING TOOL of the FASCIST Fed. The present main function of the Fed is to help re-elect the Orange Hitler.

The Federal Reserve was created by bankers for the benefit of bankers. They don't care about seniors on fixed incomes or savers who have suffered immensely with ultra-low interest rates over the past eleven years, thanks to the Fed's never-ending easy money policy.

And don't forget how the Fed bailed out Wall Street banks who were the first in line to get taxpayer money after they created the greatest recession since the great depression.

He that loveth father or mother more than me is not worthy of me: and he that loveth son or daughter more than me is not worthy of me. Matt 10:37

 

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