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Author Topic: You will have to pick a side. There is no longer Room for Procrastination  (Read 4619 times)

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alan2102

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agelbert:
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This addresses your rather condescending view that I don't have the full picture.... And Alan, I want you to re-read the post you just made. We have barely started the debate and already you are maneuvering to assign a degree of ignorance and overreaction to negative news to me
OK, I re-read my post, and I think I see what you mean. I used the word "crazy", and I doubted the "sanity" of those who are so uber-sure of themselves. That's an accusation, a strong one, I agree. Maybe I over-stated it. But not by much. There is a real element of hubris in this, I believe, and it does border on craziness. There is something wrong with people who are SOOOOO all-fired SURE of themselves about the ultimate outcome of all this 30, 50, 75 years hence. NO ONE can make predictions of very specific outcomes, so far out, with certainty. It is extremely difficult to make predictions of outcomes THIS YEAR, let alone a half-century from now.  This is not like predicting the outcome of some guy having just jumped off a 50-story building. Climate, as I said,  is very complex with numerous wildcards. And human responses to climate change even more complex with many more wildcards. The best we can do is make some very general statements about the trajectory and risks. And I believe we should act aggressively to mitigate those risks -- don't get me wrong on that point. What I object to is this uber-sureness and overconfidence, including wild, I mean WILD predictions like human extinction. That's beyond the pale. Sorry if you think that is "condescending" or "patronizing", but I cannot represent my view fairly in any other way.  I call them as I see them. If I see some guy out on the street yelling "prepare to meet thy maker -- TODAY!!!", then I conclude that the guy has a screw loose. Is that "condescending", or simply sensible and sane?

By the way, if you think that I am crazy, just say so. I will not be offended. But I will want to know why you say that.


 

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