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Author Topic: Global Warming is WITH US  (Read 14615 times)

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AGelbert

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Global Warming is WITH US
« on: October 10, 2013, 01:42:35 am »
"ARGO floats have allowed accurate measurement of ocean heat gain since 2005. Earth is gaining energy at a rate 0.6 W/m2, which is 20 times greater than the rate of human energy use.

That energy is equivalent to exploding 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day, 365 days per year."

September 2012: A New Age of Risk: Presentation given at Columbia University on Sep. 22.

Dr. James E. Hansen
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AGelbert

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By Douglas Elbinger, Energy Policy Analyst, GreenLancer.com

Many of us who have been on the ground floor of the renewable energy business are secretly experiencing the warm fuzzy feelings that precede explosive global growth. Economic opportunity of this scale happens very rarely. Recent history tells us that nothing changes on this scale ‘peacefully’ until the economics are in alignment with necessity and invention. This is a true test of a new energy reality, where climate change hits head on with abundant and cheap renewable energy. This collision translates into a $10 trillion industry that will transform the current geo-political narrative (energy, water, climate, etc…) as we know it, and offer unprecedented opportunity for those who are on board when this train leaves the station. So, how, you ask, is this going happen… and how can I get on the train?

First, allow me introduce you to Mr. Jigar Shah, who will guide you on the path in his just released book, Creating Climate Wealth. He offers his reader a clear, engaging, easy-to-understand conversation about seizing this moment to make climate change a huge business opportunity — whether you work at the top or in the trenches — anywhere on the planet.

Read more at http://cleantechnica.com/2013/10/16/climate-change-10-trillion-opportunity-now/#9IsAZmMR0o3qldAe.99

If you don’t know Jigar, I recommend you get to know a little about him. He revolutionized the solar industry by deploying the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) solar-as-service business model. This business model used 30-year old solar technology to be the catalyst for a multi-billion dollar solar industry.

Read more at http://cleantechnica.com/2013/10/16/climate-change-10-trillion-opportunity-now/#9IsAZmMR0o3qldAe.99

So, does this mean this climate change crises represents an opportunity as well as a danger? Well, grasshopper, That DEPENDS on how we handle it...
Quote
Chinese philologist Victor H. Mair of the University of Pennsylvania states the popular interpretation of wēijī—to mean "danger" and "opportunity"—is a "widespread public misperception" in the English-speaking world.  :o [8]

While wēi (危) roughly translates to mean: "danger, dangerous; endanger, jeopardize; perilous; precipitous, precarious; high; fear, afraid"(as in wēixiăn 危险, "dangerous"), the polysemous jī (机) does not necessarily mean "opportunity". The compound noun jīhuì (机会) means "opportunity".

But jī only acquires this connotation when used in conjunction with another morpheme (in this case hui to form jīhuì). As a Chinese character, jī has numerous meanings when conjoined with other morphemes; these can form words such as "machine, mechanical; airplane; suitable occasion; crucial point; pivot; incipient moment; opportune, opportunity; chance; key link; secret; cunning".

As jī in wēijī, this translates roughly as "crucial/critical point" not "opportunity".[8]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_word_for_%22crisis%22

We are at the Crucial/Critical Point at which the Danger, only if handled correctly, becomes an Opportunity
« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 04:37:53 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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How Action To Stop Global Warming Must Come About
« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2013, 03:47:28 pm »

How Change Manifests, How Action To Stop Global Warming Must Come About

It’s obvious. Global efforts to combat climate change have failed. International summits are full of hot air and greenhouse gas.


Pollution continues to rise. http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/2013/05/09/400-ppm-carbon-dioxide-in-the-atmosphere-reaches-prehistoric-levels/

If a


Country bails on a climate commitment http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada_and_the_Kyoto_Protocol,

they pay a price of, well, zero.


Turns out that’s okay, at least according to game theory analyses by researchers at the University of Lisbon. Their models suggest that punishment by global institutions has no effect. They also say that global summits actually

impede cooperation ( Risk of collective failure provides an escape from the tragedy of the commons http://www.pnas.org/content/108/26/10421).


Now, in a new report, the researchers suggest that if punishment starts getting handed out at the local level, say

city governments (http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=cities-as-solutions-to-climate-change),


what emerges is a much more cooperative global regime for combating climate change.


Interestingly, though, the local actors must be stimulated by an understanding that global warming means catastrophe… big time. Thus, the remarkable bottom line to change is essentially an old bumper sticker tagline (link added):


Nevertheless, the math of how people play games suggests that successfully curbing carbon pollution will rely on the old adage: think globally…

act locally (Seattle to Create Nation’s First Public Food Forest http://ecolocalizer.com/2012/02/25/seattle-to-create-nations-first-public-food-forest/),

The journal Nature Climate Change (http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n9/full/nclimate1927.html?WT.ec_id=NCLIMATE-201309) describes how that proverbial pond inspires change with many ripples from within — it is the rippling of change:

We show that a bottom-up approach, in which parties create local institutions that punish free-riders, promotes the emergence of widespread cooperation, mostly when risk perception is low, as it is at present3, 7. On the contrary, global institutions provide, at best, marginal improvements regarding overall cooperation. Our results clearly suggest that a polycentric approach involving multiple institutions is more effective than that associated with a single, global one, indicating that such a bottom-up, self-organization approach, set up at a local scale, provides a better ground on which to attempt a solution for such a

complex and global dilemma (U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions Down 11 Percent Since 2007 http://sustainablog.org/2013/10/co2-emissions-us/).

Another international climate conference is coming up, this one being held in Poland. There isn’t much optimism regarding what is to come out of this, and it seems there’s no reason for optimism.

What is needed is a stronger focus on creating action on the local level. What is needed is an emphasis on communicating the great risks and costs that come with global warming, while showing people local solutions that they can implement in their cities.

People are starting to realize this, but the message needs to get out to more and more of us, especially the ones who are motivated and assertive enough     to push for meaningful change.                
                                 


                                     


http://cleantechnica.com/2013/10/18/change-manifests-action-stop-global-warming-must-come/#MySgXcjALSyW7Kkv.99

DO YOU KNOW WHAT THIS REPRESENTS? --->    <--- THAT is BIG OIL laughing at WE-THE-PEOPLE!

Are you going to sit there and TAKE THAT???   >:(


I'm not! 
=          




« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:10:18 pm by AGelbert »
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REALITY
« Reply #4 on: October 20, 2013, 02:17:25 am »
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SY2sBLKU2x8&feature=player_embedded
Our situation explained succinctly by Al Gore. He makes a few choice put downs of Global Warming Denial BS along the way with some IRREFUTABLE HARD DATA

For example, WE put out a LOT more Carbon dioxide than ALL THE VOLCANOES IN THE WORLD PUT TOGETHER!  :o
« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:19:34 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature


Abstract


We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'.

We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.

In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors' self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research.


http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024
« Last Edit: October 21, 2013, 07:58:44 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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Hanging In The Balance: The Future Of A Forest
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2013, 11:06:52 pm »
Enjoy the spectacular footage of flying over the Amazon.

There IS a LOT more work to do to preserve the Amazon. BUT, you will enjoy this video of the GREATEST REDUCTION IN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN MODERN HISTORY!    


Ever hear of REDD+? Thanks to that program, the indigenous Brazilian tribes OWN a Columbia sized amount of land and monitor it through satellite imagery to report offenders.

Living with Dignity and Preserving Nature IS possible. One of the WORSE former deforestation offending areas in Brazil is now the model for all the others because it completely stopped ALL deforestation in less than 5 years and is REFORESTING now. 

Quote
Combined Efforts To Control Deforestation 

 This video spotlights some of the extraordinary efforts being undertaken by social entrepreneurs, government agencies, private enterprise, and other organizations working on behalf of the Amazon rainforest.

 These combined efforts have made a considerable difference to reducing deforestation.
 Over the last 5 years, Brazil has managed to reduce the rate of deforestation by 80%, however, new regulations threaten to reverse this trend.

 --Bibi Farber

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_yn5-YxkxI&feature=player_embedded

- See more at: http://www.nextworldtv.com/videos/environment/hanging-in-the-balance-the-future-of-a-forest.html#sthash.hfBbK9H7.dpuf

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AGelbert

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Vermont's First Frost in a World of Global Warming
« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2013, 06:58:56 pm »


First Frost in Colchester, Vermont was 23 days late last year (average first frost is September 15) and 20 days late in 2011. We are having our first frost tonight (expected low is 26 F) so this year it's A FULL 43 days late! :o

 

Global Warming is HERE. It's time to make the fossil fuel polluting one percenters PAY THEIR SHARE (80%) of the transition to a 100% Renewable Energy Powered World.

 

Details HERE: http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/blog/post/2013/10/one-percents-planetary-assets-equals-80-responsibility-for-funding-a-100-renewable-energy-world

 

 
« Last Edit: October 28, 2013, 07:15:29 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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Last Hours
« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2013, 01:55:38 am »
« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:50:35 pm by AGelbert »
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MstRTnDSjz0&feature=player_embedded
How to communicate the Urgency of Required Global Joint Action to Mitigate the Deadly Deleterious effects of Global Climate Change 

NOTE: NONE of the above will work when attempting to reason with a propagandist defending (overtly or covertly) the fossil fuel dirty energy status quo.

WHY? Because. not only are these sell outs being paid to prevaricate, twist facts, push duplicity and seed people with fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD), they are part of a group that watches EACH OTHER. These people KNOW that the INSTANT they question the crap they are paid to push, their careers are  TOAST. So-o-o they REFUSE to think, period. Only catastrophic climate disaster in these people's back yard will bring them around to reason.

WHY? Because their security is based on money. When the fossil fuel industry no longer can provide that security blanket because, e.g. the insurance won't cover the destruction of their house or they lose a loved one to pollution related cancer, THEN they wake up and smell the coffee. 

So these people can be reached ONLY after the fossil fuel industry throws them under the economic bus. IOW, EXPERIENCE (BAD experiences), not words of logic or scientific facts will get these people to understand the threat to human civilization of global climate change. I am certain there are quite a few people in New Jersey that have started smelling the coffee.

However, people without an agenda CAN be convinced by logic and scientific facts. Most people are in that camp. That is why millions of fossil fuel, dirty energy, profit dollars are funneled to propagandists to instill FUD in us; Any REAL, HONEST exposure to what is going on out there will make us oppose the burning of fossil fuels.

Now you can see why the Koch Brothers, a big part of the Big Oil Propaganda machine, has spent over 65 million dollars in the last decade to invent fake grass roots organizations (astro-turf ;) ) to give people the idea that the common person BENEFITS from the burning of fossil fuels and it is just silly to get "hysterical" about "uinproven science" or pollution causing cancer "scare tactics" along with crocodile tears about how "your loved ones will suffer and millions will die of hunger"    if the burning of fossil fuels is banned.

The best way to deal with propagandists is to undermine their lies by exposing their methods.

A failed propagandist (Big Oil stops funding them because they aren't getting "results") is a potential convert to fact based scientific reasoning and data. Any propagandist that switches to defending the biosphere instead of Big Oil provides more hope for humanity. Pass it on. 

« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:26:37 pm by AGelbert »
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Gambling with our future
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2013, 12:15:49 am »
Oct. 30, 2013: Oped in Salt Lake Deseret News

Gambling with our future

By DAVID FOLLAND

For a state without a lottery, horse betting or slot machines, it’s surprising that the majority of our state and federal representatives are gambling with our future. They’re gambling that fossil fuels, especially tar sands, will be the fuel of the future and that the continued use of them will not harm us. We buckle up our children in sturdy car seats. Yet, with our children’s future, it’s as if we’re tossing them in the back of a pickup with no restraints.

The insurance industry is not taking such risks. They realize that human-caused climate change has led to increased frequency and severity of extreme and damaging weather. This has created new odds, and insurers are factoring them into their insurance premiums. To ignore what science has demonstrated would be folly in their business.

And the recently released Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report’s “Summary for Policymakers” is not reassuring regarding our risks. This report is very conservative by its structure. Thousands of scientists throughout the world compile and summarize the findings of peer-reviewed literature. The results must be acceptable to the participating countries.

So now the IPCC reports with virtual certainty that the documented warming is human-caused. And they conclude that if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated, the earth will warm to an additional 4 degrees Centigrade (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) and oceans will rise an average of 0.75 meters (29.5 inches) by 2100. They also emphasize that “most aspects of climate change will persist for many centuries, even if emissions of CO2 are stopped.”

How can we move quickly to clean energy and avoid the most severe climate effects predicted by the IPCC? A few weeks ago, conservative Republican and former Congressman Bob Inglis came to Utah to seek support for a conservative solution that would drive the transition to clean energy, a solution that is also sought by the nonpartisan Citizens Climate Lobby. Inglis proposed a revenue-neutral tax swap. A tax would be levied on carbon at the source (mine well, or port of entry), and the proceeds would be returned to households or used to reduce other taxes. Such a tax would price the external cost we pay for fossil fuels.

For instance, we now pay for the health costs of carbon pollution-induced heart attacks, strokes and other diseases. The fossil fuel companies are socializing these costs and privatizing profits. These health and other costs of carbon pollution would be priced into the fuel, so we would pay at the meter or the pump.

Imagine a scenario where the science was ignored, yet we still moved our society on to clean energy through a carbon tax. We would stimulate innovation in the free market that would create new jobs, strengthen our national security, while cleaning our air and improving our health. What if we don’t act on the science that is now so solid? The IPCC has made it abundantly clear that the price of adaptation to unchecked greenhouse gas emission is enormous.

In fact, a panel of scientists that introduced the report gave a “carbon budget” for humanity. Burning more than one-sixth of the known fossil fuels would raise the global temperature more than 2 degrees Centigrade (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), a level beyond which catastrophic and irreversible changes would occur.

Public policies have reduced our risk of injury and death from all sorts of hazards, from terrorists on airplanes to fires in buildings. Wouldn’t it be prudent to stop spinning the roulette wheel on our future  and reduce the risks that the 5th IPCC has demonstrated so clearly?

David Folland, M.D., a retired pediatrician, is a volunteer with the nonpartisan Citizens Climate Lobby.

WEB LINK: http://www.deseretnews.com/article/865589417/Gambling-with-our-future.html



« Last Edit: November 05, 2013, 12:24:42 am by AGelbert »
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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2013, 05:04:36 am »
Insurers live in the reality-based community.

AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2013, 10:09:22 pm »
Yep. They know that River in Egypt will drown them if they don't.   
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Wacky jet stream to blame for wild North American weather :P
By John Upton

A lot of wild weather has afflicted North America this year: deluges in Colorado and Alberta, a heatwave in Alaska, and bitter cold in Florida. But there’s a high-altitude link between each of these unusual events which itself might be tied to climate change: erratic behavior by the polar jet stream.


jetstream2NOAA

This famous current of air zips eastward at high altitudes from the continent’s West, normally passing over North America somewhere near Seattle. It is one of two jet streams in the Northern Hemisphere — the other being the subtropical jet stream. Together, these powerful currents have long held weather patterns in their normal places, one year after another. But something weird is going on up there.
Storm cloudsVagabond ShutterbugStorm clouds over Denver, Colo., Sept. 14.

The normally direct polar jet stream has been swinging wildly this summer, dipping north and south like the line graph on a U.S. jobs report. At times it splits in two. From Popular Mechanics:

The jet stream is a year-round feature of our atmosphere, but the double jet stream phenomenon is more common in winter. When it shows up in the summer, watch out.

“Usually at this time of year the jet stream is a single band around the Northern Hemisphere,” [Texas A&M University atmospheric science professor John] Nielsen-Gammon says. “But in the last month what we’ve seen is a smaller jet stream over the Arctic Ocean, and another jet stream in the midlatitudes.”

That article was published in June after more than 100,000 people were forced from their homes by flooding in Calgary. Media and scientific interest in the jet stream’s newfound vagaries rose again after the recent flood-inducing rainfall in Colorado. From NPR:

During the summer, the double jet stream produced a very strange temperature pattern along the Pacific coast, Nielsen-Gammon says. Down in Southern California it was unusually hot — in Death Valley the temperature reached 129 degrees. Meanwhile, up in British Columbia, it remained unseasonably cold.

Even farther north, in Anchorage, Alaska, residents experienced a relative heat wave, with a record number of 70-degree days. But even farther up in the Arctic, temperatures were relatively cold again.

The double jet stream also played a big role in the Colorado flooding this month, [Rutgers University researcher Jennifer] Francis says. High up in the atmosphere, one stream was carrying moist air from the Pacific to the Rockies. Then, lower down, an unusual eddy was pulling in more moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. Finally, an unusual bulge in the jet stream was causing all this weather to stall near Boulder.

There’s no scientific agreement right now on what role, if any, climate change is playing in the polar jet stream’s erratic behavior. But Francis points out that it is the product of vast temperature differences between the equator and the North Pole. As the globe warms, the Arctic heats at a disproportionately fast rate, and that chips away at the temperature gradient. If that turns out to be what sent the jet stream into a weird spin cycle, then the Northern Hemisphere has a lot more extreme weather coming its way.

“It could be drought.It could be heat waves. It could be flooding due to prolonged rainfall,” Francis told NPR. “All of those kinds of patterns should be becoming more likely.”  :P


jetstream3NOAA

John Upton is a science fan and green news boffin who tweets, posts articles to Facebook, and blogs about ecology. He welcomes reader questions, tips, and incoherent rants: johnupton@gmail.com.



http://grist.org/news/wacky-jet-stream-to-blame-for-wild-north-american-weather/
« Last Edit: May 05, 2017, 05:41:26 pm by AGelbert »
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pKZLHNYPbM&feature=player_embedded
All the panel members agree that STEP 1 is to STOP ALL FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES IMMEDIATELY. 

NOTE: At the 22 minute mark some interesting scientific data about Mercury and Venus sheds light on OUR Climate Energy balance and WHY and HOW  CO2 "does what it does".   
« Last Edit: November 12, 2013, 05:46:29 pm by AGelbert »
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