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Author Topic: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️  (Read 36027 times)

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AGelbert

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Re: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️
« Reply #1950 on: October 26, 2019, 06:25:51 pm »


A Rare Occurrence: Simultaneous Late-October Tropical Storms, Olga and Pablo, Form in the Atlantic

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  October 25, 2019, 5:14 PM EDT

SNIPPET:

Above: GOES-16 visible image of Tropical Storm Olga at 5:10 pm EDT October 25, 2019. Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB.

In an exceptionally rare occurrence for late October, two new tropical storms formed simultaneously on Friday afternoon in the Atlantic—Olga in the Gulf of Mexico and Pablo in the northeast Atlantic near the Azores Islands. The formation of Olga and Pablo brings this year’s tally of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity to 16 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 3 intense hurricanes, and an ACE index of 120. The 1981 – 2010 averages for these quantities by October 25 were 10.8 named storms, 5.6 hurricane, 2.5 intense hurricanes, and an ACE index of 95.5, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, so 2019 is well above average in most metrics.

Olga forms in the Gulf of Mexico

Satellite wind measurements and data from a Friday afternoon hurricane hunter flight found 40 mph surface winds in Tropical Depression 17 in the Gulf of Mexico, prompting NHC to upgrade it to Tropical Storm Olga. The most recent named storm to form this late in the calendar year in the Gulf of Mexico is Juan, which became a tropical storm on October 26, 1985.

Olga will be very short-lived, however. The Hurricane Hunters found that Olga was about to be overtaken by a cold front with even stronger winds near 45 mph behind it. Olga is expected to make landfall in Louisiana late Friday night after merging with the cold front and becoming a very rainy non-tropical low pressure system. Heavy rains from Olga will penetrate into southern Lower Michigan and southern Ontario by Saturday night. Update (11 pm EDT Friday): Olga was declared a post-tropical cyclone by NHC just six hours after it was named, with the cold front having absorbed it. The presence of the front boosted Olga's top winds to 50 mph, though, and the rainfall forecast remains on track.

Figure 1. Predicted 7-day precipitation amounts ending at 8 pm EDT Friday, November 1, 2019. Heavy rains from Olga will penetrate into southern Lower Michigan by Saturday night, treating Dr. Masters to a rare late-October tropical weather experience. This map also incorporates moisture predicted for later next week from a subsequent storm system. Image credit: NOAA.

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