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Author Topic: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️  (Read 92107 times)

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AGelbert

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Re: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️
« on: October 21, 2013, 07:43:57 pm »
Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature


Abstract


We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'.

We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.

In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors' self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research.


http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024
« Last Edit: October 21, 2013, 07:58:44 pm by AGelbert »
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