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Author Topic: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️  (Read 68798 times)

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AGelbert

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Re: 🚩 Global Climate Chaos ☠️
« Reply #1380 on: June 27, 2018, 06:33:14 pm »

Without getting into the argument, because not enough of it is explained, I would just like to say that the above chart does NOT come from IPCC AR5 as the label on it suggests. It appears to have been photoshopped.  Why I don't know, but this is an article I wouldn't believe based on the photoshopping alone.

Standing by for the abuse.

The chart was not "photoshopped. That chart is a  screenshot I TOOK from the short 2 minutes plus 43 seconds video you failed to watch. ;D 

Here's the video. The discussion in the video is actually a short abstract from a recent paper by Brown and Caldeira. The scientist talking is Doctor Brown, but either one of them knows a bit more about the IPCC RCP pathways than you do, to put it mildly. Take it up with one of these esteemed scientists if you think they were "faking" that chart data you are so erroneously unable to accept as reality based. Shame on you. 👎


Here's an interesting post by Doctor Brown.

Quote
Patrick T. Brown, PhD
Global temperature: 2018 likely to be colder than 2017, record high possible in 2019
Posted on January 18, 2018 by ptbrown31

We are working on a new statistical method for predicting interannual variability in global mean surface air temperature (GMST). The method uses the preceding few years of globally gridded temperature anomalies and Partial Least Squares regression to predict the GMST of the following couple of years. See our recent Nature paper for information on applying Partial Least Squares regression in a different climate context.

The plot below shows our forecast for 2017 (using no data from 2017) compared to the just-released 2017 value for the NASA GISTEMP dataset. We also show our forecast for 2018 and 2019 with 68% confidence intervals. The method suggests that 2018 is likely to be colder than 2017 but record warmth is ‘more-likely-than-not’ in 2019.


Brown_GMST_Forecast_2018_2019

We are still in the midsts of sensitivity tests, the method is unpublished and it has not undergone peer review. Thus, these results should be considered to be part of a ‘beta version’ of our method.

Another caveat is that the method cannot possibly predict events like large volcanic eruptions which would drastically alter any annual GMST anomaly and invalidate our forecast.
 https://patricktbrown.org/]https://patricktbrown.org/
[/color]

Here's another post with a lengthy video (Stanford Presentation by Doctor Brown) that you can try to discredit at your peril. ;D  Doctor Brown is head and shoulders above you in scientific knowledge, education and experience in objectively comparing different IPCC RCP model scenarios with empirically measured climate data.

Here's a Screenshot I just made from the video included in his post. Don't you DARE claim it is a "Photoshopped" chart.


Quote
Combining Physical and Statistical Models in Order to Narrow Uncertainty in Projected Global Warming

Posted on January 19, 2018 by ptbrown31

Below is a presentation I gave on our recent research published in Nature titled “Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget”. This was for the Stanford University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Systems Colloquium (EE380). Thus, it is intended for a very technically-savvy but non-climate scientist audience.


https://patricktbrown.org/

I don't need to abuse you, because you are too good at embarrassing yourself, "Professor" Palloy.

Not trying to bust your chops or question your personal bona fides. Thanks for setting me straight.

I'm not convinced that you're completely right about alcohol as a fuel. I'm listening to the argument with interest.

I KNOW you're much more widely read on the subject than I am, but I'm of the opinion that the EROEI for alcohol (from corn) is quite poor (as in just over 1).  I have read that alcohol from sugar cane has a much higher EROEI, maybe 8.

I wasn't aware of Edison's work on alcohol fuel, but remember, he's the guy who held out for DC transmission lines, so he wasn't always right.


You are welcome. I told all that about my edumecation ;D to RE back in 2012. I actually had three iterations of college fun and games. The first was mostly 2 years of pre-engineering followed by one year of Aviation.

In the second iteration I took Accounting and Business Adminsitration all the way up to, and including, Managerial Accounting. I know how to read corporate financial reports because of that those two years of accounting and other businees stuff. I KNOW GAAP. I KNOW how they have been thoroughly corrupted by Wall Street BULLSHIT.

I have the equivalent of an associate degree in computer science as well, from FAA lengthy computer science courses.

I don't genrally toot my horn like this but I was the only one in my Automation Department that could code in assembler language from memory, and without a mnemonics reference card.

So, why ain't I upper middle class or rich? The REASON I am not rolling in the doe is not something I wish to discuss, but my intelligence is not the reason I am not upper middle class. They had a nickname for me in the Automation Department. They used to call me lazer brain. Very few people on this planet are my equal in the cursed intelligence that forces me to think, think, analyze, and think some more about how and why this society is so SCREWED UP. I can see though bullshit, especially the pseudo-erudite brand that "Professor" Palloy specializes in.

I will never toot my horn here again. If people do not think I am credible, **** THEM. How's that for good Christian neighborly behavior?

I'll dig up some data on the ethanol issue and post it on my channel when I get to it. This is not the place for that discussion.

I have to tell you AG that my heart is with the animals and the remaining indigenous tribes. But it's not possible for me now to go and live in the Amazon. I think that I have already expressed my extreme dislike of the actions of the deep state and their corporatists. Also my disgust at living any longer in the US with all its lack of morality, civility, traditional virtues, etc. I mostly could never stand American popular culture, it's vulgarity, it's ignorance of anything truly beautiful. 

I don't have a clue as to how I could reduce my carbon footprint further. I haven't owned a motor vehicle for at least eight years. I use only public transportation run on electricity and not that often. I walk a lot for shopping. I buy local which is not under the aegis of the damned Kochs. I boycott anything Israeli. I did fly once more than a year ago to get here. I use as little utilities as possible in a land with abundant water. I am moving towards being vegan. The medical profession is now confronted with having to acknowledge that a plant based diet produces the healthiest life for humans not to mention reducing methane in the atmosphere . Not to say that everything here is perfect by any means, but it sure beats the hell out of California on every level. And I'm certainly NOT talking about Mexicans, legal or illegal, some of the sweetest people I have ever known. So what to do? What can be done? You said to me many years(by now) ago, "We do what we can". So I am!




As long as you continue to do what you can, anybody that says you are not "doing enough" is full of ****. And you can tell them that Christian Anthony said so.  ;D

Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

 

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