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Author Topic: Global Warming is WITH US  (Read 29089 times)

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AGelbert

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June 26, 2019

SNIPPET:

Why does the 🦕🦖🐍 Fox News crowd hate the Green New Deal?

It’s a head scratcher. Imagine you said, “Hey, we’ve got a plan to create hundreds of thousands of jobs. And many of them will be in poorer and rural areas struggling to find a direction in the twenty-first century. Oh, and it’ll mean healthier communities for families across the country. Plus, it’ll help solve the climate crisis.”

You’d think the same voices that claim to be speaking up for working families and rural communities would be all for it, right?

But instead, we keep hearing all kinds of cynical criticism of the Green New Deal. Much of it predicated on outright denial of the climate crisis – or at least the scale of the threat, even after the role it played in flooding farms across the US Midwest earlier this year.

It’ll be too expensive. (Compared to unmitigated climate change? Get out of here.)

It’s too risky. (Nah. Not taking action while we can is the real risk.)

It’s unrealistic. (It’ll definitely be a lift, there’s no denying. But large-scale climate action is very feasible. When did “ambitious” become a synonym for “unworkable”?)

Some 🦕 pundits even want you to believe it means Big Government meanies are coming for your cheeseburger because cows fart sometimes. (Stop. It. Right. Now.)

While there are worthwhile questions to be asked about the particulars of the Green New Deal, maybe the most important question we should be asking right now is, “Why not?”

Why not make a just transition to clean energy and put hundreds of thousands of Americans to work along the way? Why not give fossil fuel workers in dying industries new careers with a future? Why not tackle the existential threat staring us right in the face while we still have time?

Full article:

 
Agelbert SNARK: And now a word from our loyal servants , the Hydrocarbon Fuels Industry:

But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
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AGelbert

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Global Growth in Air Conditioning Demand is Warming the World: 1 of 2
763 views


Paul Beckwith
Published on Jul 21, 2019

Heatwaves around the planet are happening much more often, at much higher temperatures and humidities, with much longer durations, and they are occurring in regions that did not have them before. Thus, demand for air conditioning is skyrocketing. Globally, the 1.6 billion AC units in 2018 are projected to grow to 5.6 billion units by 2050, and by 2050 they will use as much electricity as China does today for all activities. Greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation to power these ACs will nearly double, and waste heat from ACs that is vented outside can heat cities by a few degrees.

Please donate at http://paulbeckwith.net to support my videos as I join-the-dots on abrupt climate change.

Category Science & Technology
But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
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AGelbert

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#ShowYourStripes
« Reply #1832 on: July 21, 2019, 05:16:53 pm »
#ShowYourStripes

July 21, 2019 temperature, visualisation Ed Hawkins


Associated article:
 
http://www.climate-lab-book.ac.uk/2019/showyourstripes/

But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

Surly1

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1833 on: July 25, 2019, 10:57:04 am »
Europe is burning just as new research offers a chilling truth about the volatility of climate change
Cooler years mask the underlying behaviour of the system. As natural variations move in the other direction, they can unleash a period of supercharged heating


It’s not the fall that will kill you, but the suddenness of the stopping. Just as it is with a plane crash, so it is with global heating. Changes in the climate don’t in themselves represent a significant risk – the Earth’s climate has been changing for billions of years after all – but it is the abrupt changes that could spell disaster for us. 

New research suggests that climate models which predict greater global warming in the future also have more volatile warming trends. If that is the case, and the climate is as sensitive to our carbon dioxide emissions as many of the latest models suggest, this will seriously threaten our ability to adapt. And it is that which will put a significant fraction of humanity in jeopardy.  

Many scientists focus on how much warmer the Earth’s climate will become because of the extra carbon dioxide humans have put into the atmosphere. The technical term for this is Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity(ECS). Equilibrium because it takes years, decades or centuries for the climate system to respond to extra heating.

Think how much energy it takes to heat a bathtub full of water and how long it can stay warm for. The amount of energy required to heat the trillions of litres of the Earth’s oceans is enormous. 

Consider that bath of water again. Imagine the tap is dripping because it’s not entirely closed, so the water level in the bath is increasing, but only very slowly. Trying to track changes in water level just by eye would be as difficult as seeing the march of time in the hour hand of a watch. Now picture someone is in the bath. Unless the person stays absolutely still, they will have an impact on the water level as their movements will make waves. Depending on how much they move, these waves can be plain to see and would easily mask the very slow water level increase. 

ECS tells us where the climate system will end up – what the final water level will be. But it may not tell us a great deal about how we will get there. Will we have a smooth increase or a much bumpier ride? How much will the climate fluctuate as it responds to being heated up? How big will the “waves” in temperatures be? These are the answers that this recent research has addressed and why on reading it my first response was “Oh no. This isn’t good”.

Because what the team lead by University of Exeter PhD researcherFemke Nijsse found, is that more sensitive climates have higher fluctuations. Using extensive climate simulations, they discovered that if a climate system reacts strongly to increased greenhouse gases, then it is also more likely to have decades when temperatures are much higher or sometimes much lower than the longer-term average. In fact, more sensitive climates may have a run of years that are cooler than less sensitive climates.

But these cooler years are masking the underlying behaviour of the system. As natural variations move in the other direction, they can conspire with the sensitive climate to unleash a period of supercharged heating. OK, but why should we be worried about that?

Because the warming trend of the Earth’s real climate between 2002-2012 was a bit less than what it should have been given how much we have been increasing greenhouse gases. Some people leapt at that as being evidence that the climate is less sensitive than was initially feared. They argued we shouldn’t decarbonise too rapidly, or even at all, because there is no urgency to do so.

But this period of depressed warming is consistent with the Earth’s climate having higher fluctuations. What this means is that at some point in the future we may see temperatures swing across to much faster warming trends. This period of hyper-warming could swamp whatever adaptation measures we are currently putting in place. 

When in the future? Perhaps now, as witnessed by the near continual breaking of temperature records around the world and much faster rates of glacier retreat than expected. Rather than a brief anomaly, this may be the beginning of an acceleration of global heating; an acceleration of a trend that is already greater than any warming trend for the past 2000 years.

Exploring the relationship between sensitivity and fluctuations is very complex, and no single study can be considered to provide the last word on the matter. But this new research has kicked away another support against the collapse into despair about how we are affecting the climate. 

Because, remember, it’s not the fall, but the sudden stop. And the mess our civilisation will make if climate change sends us plummeting hard and fast to the floor will not be pretty.

James Dyke is a senior lecturer in global systems at Exeter University


AGelbert

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Quote
Because, remember, it’s not the fall, but the sudden stop. And the mess our civilisation will make if climate change sends us plummeting hard and fast to the floor will not be pretty

Agreed.
But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

AGelbert

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Above: A dry part of the bed of the River Loire at Montjean-sur-Loire, France, on July 24, 2019, as drought conditions prevail over much of western Europe. Image credit: Loic Venance/AFP/Getty Images.

BLACK BEAR NEWS 7.25.19 All Time Heat 🌡️ Records Melt in Europe; 108°F in Paris 😓


Black Bear News
Published on Jul 25, 2019

All-Time Heat Records Melt in Europe; 108°F in Paris
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/All-Time-Heat-Records-Melt-Europe-Worst-Come-Thursday

At least 5 killed, hundreds evacuated as flash floods hit northwest Turkey
https://ahvalnews.com/natural-disaster/least-5-killed-hundreds-evacuated-flash-floods-hit-northwest-turkey

More than 60 killed, hundreds of thousands displaced by flooding in Bangladesh
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/more-than-60-killed--hundreds-of-thousands-displaced-by-flooding-in-bangladesh-11747518

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Category People & Blogs

But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

AGelbert

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But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

Surly1

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Europe heatwave: Paris latest to break record with 42.6C
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-49108847



Paris saw a record high temperature of 42.6C (108.7F) on Thursday, amid a heatwave that broke records across Western Europe.
A red alert - the highest level - was issued in northern France.

Meanwhile Belgium, Germany, Luxembourg and the Netherlands also reached new record highs, of 41.8C, 41.5C, 40.8C and 40.7C respectively.
The UK recorded a record temperature for July of 38.1C, with trains told to run more slowly to stop rails buckling.

"Climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of heatwave episodes across Europe," the UK's national weather service said.
What temperatures was Europe expecting?

French authorities launched a red alert in the Paris region and 19 other districts and said temperatures were expected to reach 42C-43C in parts of the country.

Belgium's Royal Meteorological Institute issued "code red" warnings across most of the country - urging people to take extra precautions during "extremely high temperatures".

What has been the impact?
In France, officials warned people to avoid travelling to work from home if possible. Some nurseries have been closed.

The chief architect responsible for restoring Notre-Dame warned that the extreme heat could lead to the cathedral's roof collapsing if the joints and masonry holding up the roof dried out.

French reports suggested five deaths may have resulted from the high temperatures.

Comparisons were drawn to a heatwave in August 2003 which contributed to almost 15,000 deaths in the country.

In parts of north Germany, rivers and lakes have dried up - with warnings that fish and mussels could be "severely threatened".
In the Netherlands, hundreds of pigs died earlier this week after a ventilator at a farm failed.
On Wednesday, a Eurostar train from Belgium to London broke down, trapping passengers.

Hasn't the summer already been hot?
Yes, an intense heatwave swept through areas of Europe last month, making it the hottest June on record.

France set an all-time high-temperature record of 46C, according to the WMO, and new June highs were set in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria, Andorra, Luxembourg, Poland and Germany.

Is climate change to blame?

While extreme weather events like heatwaves occur naturally, "research shows that with climate change they are likely to become more common, perhaps occurring as regularly as every other year", the UK's Met Office says.

Dr Peter Stott from the Met Office told BBC 5Live the latest heatwave is the result of both "weather and climate acting in concert.

"What we have at the moment is this very warm stream of air, coming up from northern Africa, bringing with it unusually warm weather," he said. "But without climate change we wouldn't have hit the peaks that we're hitting right now."

The Met Office conducted a study last year that found that the UK was now 30 times more likely to experience heatwaves compared to the year 1750, because of "the higher concentration of carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas) in the atmosphere".

Records going back to the late 19th Century show that the average temperature of the Earth's surface has increased by about one degree since industrialisation.

A climatology institute in Potsdam, Germany, said Europe's five hottest summers since 1500 were all recorded in the 21st Century.
Scientists have expressed concern that rapid warming linked to use of fossil fuels has serious implications for the stability of the planet's climate.

AGelbert

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Europe heatwave: Paris latest to break record with 42.6C
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-49108847



Paris saw a record high temperature of 42.6C (108.7F) on Thursday, amid a heatwave that broke records across Western Europe.
A red alert - the highest level - was issued in northern France.

Meanwhile Belgium, Germany, Luxembourg and the Netherlands also reached new record highs, of 41.8C, 41.5C, 40.8C and 40.7C respectively.
The UK recorded a record temperature for July of 38.1C, with trains told to run more slowly to stop rails buckling.

"Climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of heatwave episodes across Europe," the UK's national weather service said.
What temperatures was Europe expecting?

French authorities launched a red alert in the Paris region and 19 other districts and said temperatures were expected to reach 42C-43C in parts of the country.

Belgium's Royal Meteorological Institute issued "code red" warnings across most of the country - urging people to take extra precautions during "extremely high temperatures".

What has been the impact?
In France, officials warned people to avoid travelling to work from home if possible. Some nurseries have been closed.

The chief architect responsible for restoring Notre-Dame warned that the extreme heat could lead to the cathedral's roof collapsing if the joints and masonry holding up the roof dried out.

French reports suggested five deaths may have resulted from the high temperatures.

Comparisons were drawn to a heatwave in August 2003 which contributed to almost 15,000 deaths in the country.

In parts of north Germany, rivers and lakes have dried up - with warnings that fish and mussels could be "severely threatened".
In the Netherlands, hundreds of pigs died earlier this week after a ventilator at a farm failed.
On Wednesday, a Eurostar train from Belgium to London broke down, trapping passengers.

Hasn't the summer already been hot?
Yes, an intense heatwave swept through areas of Europe last month, making it the hottest June on record.

France set an all-time high-temperature record of 46C, according to the WMO, and new June highs were set in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria, Andorra, Luxembourg, Poland and Germany.

Is climate change to blame?


While extreme weather events like heatwaves occur naturally, "research shows that with climate change they are likely to become more common, perhaps occurring as regularly as every other year", the UK's Met Office says.

Dr Peter Stott from the Met Office told BBC 5Live the latest heatwave is the result of both "weather and climate acting in concert.

"What we have at the moment is this very warm stream of air, coming up from northern Africa, bringing with it unusually warm weather," he said. "But without climate change we wouldn't have hit the peaks that we're hitting right now."

The Met Office conducted a study last year that found that the UK was now 30 times more likely to experience heatwaves compared to the year 1750, because of "the higher concentration of carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas) in the atmosphere".

Records going back to the late 19th Century show that the average temperature of the Earth's surface has increased by about one degree since industrialisation.

A climatology institute in Potsdam, Germany, said Europe's five hottest summers since 1500 were all recorded in the 21st Century.
Scientists have expressed concern that rapid warming linked to use of fossil fuels has serious implications for the stability of the planet's climate.

Yep. Europe is getting to be like Kansas, but with a massive drought on top of the deadly heat, thanks to Catastrophic Climate Change. When I was a kid in Kansas, the saying went that it got so hot there that the trees ran after the dogs. It was funny then. It is not funny now. Trees cannot run, dogs die off from prolonged drought + high heat and so do we. 😓 ☠️



July 26, 2019

New Study Predicts Millions of Americans May Become Exposed to “Off the Charts” Heat

Climate scientist Michael Mann discusses the increasing frequency and severity of heat waves, just as the US, Europe, and India are experiencing this Summer


https://therealnews.com/stories/new-study-predicts-millions-of-americans-may-become-exposed-to-off-the-charts-heat

 





But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

AGelbert

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Huge swathes of the Arctic on fire 🔥, ‘unprecedented’ satellite images show

Earth’s boreal forests now burning at rate unseen in ‘at least 10,000 years’, scientists 🔊 warn

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/arctic-circle-wildfires-climate-change-greenland-alaska-siberia-photographs-a9015851.html





The Siberian Times reporter 23 July 2016
Greenpeace claim authorities underestimate the scale of destruction, amid warnings of lack of resources to fight fires.


« Last Edit: July 26, 2019, 06:19:50 pm by AGelbert »
But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

AGelbert

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My Day at the Reality of Climate Change Hackathon
« Reply #1840 on: July 26, 2019, 10:30:46 pm »
COOL GREEN SCIENCE


JULY 1, 2019 

BY CARA CANNON BYINGTON   



Associated video:

We have TEN YEARS to set a NEW COURSE

Agelbert NOTE: It's a nice peppy video. I hope it inspires some well positioned leaders to do the right thing. But, the fact is that we have been out of time to set a 100% Renewable Energy course since somewhere between 1978 and 1988. The only reason we look around and think we have "more time" is because baked in Catastrophic Climate Change Inertia from THIRTY YEARS AGO is just NOW beginning to hit. The situation in ten years will be akin to, uh, see below:


But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

AGelbert

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Climate Change 2019
« Reply #1841 on: July 27, 2019, 06:03:55 pm »
Climate Change 2019

But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

Surly1

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1842 on: July 28, 2019, 06:43:55 am »
All true. But don't discount the profit motive, as George Monbiot gets it right.

The ultra-rich are benefitting from disaster capitalism as institutions, rules and democratic oversight implode

Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro at the White House with Donald Trump.
Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro at the White House with Donald Trump. ‘A host of ludicrous strongmen dominate nations that would once have laughed them off stage.’ Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

Seven years ago the impressionist Rory Bremner complained that politicians had become so boring that few of them were worth mimicking: “They’re quite homogenous and dull these days … It’s as if character is seen as a liability.” Today his profession has the opposite problem: however extreme satire becomes, it struggles to keep pace with reality. The political sphere, so dull and grey a few years ago, is now populated by preposterous exhibitionists.

This trend is not confined to the UK – everywhere the killer clowns are taking over. Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi, Jair Bolsonaro, Scott Morrison, Rodrigo Duterte, Matteo Salvini, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Viktor Orbán and a host of other ludicrous strongmen – or weakmen, as they so often turn out to be – dominate nations that would once have laughed them off stage. The question is why? Why are the technocrats who held sway almost everywhere a few years ago giving way to extravagant buffoons?

Social media, an incubator of absurdity, is certainly part of the story. But while there has been plenty of good work investigating the means, there has been surprisingly little thinking about the ends. Why are the ultra-rich, who until recently used their money and newspapers to promote charisma-free politicians, now funding this circus? Why would capital wish to be represented by middle managers one moment and jesters the next?

The reason, I believe, is that the nature of capitalism has changed. The dominant force of the 1990s and early 2000s – corporate power – demanded technocratic government. It wanted people who could simultaneously run a competent, secure state and protect profits from democratic change. In 2012, when Bremner made his complaint, power was already shifting to a different place, but politics had not caught up.

The policies that were supposed to promote enterprise – slashing taxes for the rich, ripping down public protections, destroying trade unions – instead stimulated a powerful spiral of patrimonial wealth accumulation. The largest fortunes are now made not through entrepreneurial brilliance but through inheritance, monopoly and rent-seeking: securing exclusive control of crucial assets such as land and buildings privatised utilities and intellectual property, and assembling service monopolies such as trading hubs, software and social media platforms, then charging user fees far higher than the costs of production and delivery. In Russia, people who enrich themselves this way are called oligarchs. But this is a global phenomenon. Today corporate power is overlain by – and mutating into – oligarchic power.

'Deliver Brexit and unite the country': Boris Johnson's first speech as Tory leader – video

What the oligarchs want is not the same as what the old corporations wanted. In the words of their favoured theorist, Steve Bannon, they seek the “deconstruction of the administrative state”. Chaos is the profit multiplier for the disaster capitalism on which the new billionaires thrive. Every rupture is used to seize more of the assets on which our lives depend. The chaos of an undeliverable Brexit, the repeated meltdowns and shutdowns of government under Trump: these are the kind of deconstructions Bannon foresaw. As institutions, rules and democratic oversight implode, the oligarchs extend their wealth and power at our expense.

The killer clowns offer the oligarchs something else too: distraction and deflection. While the kleptocrats fleece us, we are urged to look elsewhere. We are mesmerised by buffoons who encourage us to channel the anger that should be reserved for billionaires towards immigrants, women, Jews, Muslims, people of colour and other imaginary enemies and customary scapegoats. Just as it was in the 1930s, the new demagoguery is a con, a revolt against the impacts of capital, financed by capitalists.

The oligarch’s interests always lie offshore: in tax havens and secrecy regimes. Paradoxically, these interests are best promoted by nationalists and nativists. The politicians who most loudly proclaim their patriotism and defence of sovereignty are always the first to sell their nations down the river. It is no coincidence that most of the newspapers promoting the nativist agenda, whipping up hatred against immigrants and thundering about sovereignty, are owned by billionaire tax exiles, living offshore.

As economic life has been offshored, so has political life. The political rules that are supposed to prevent foreign money from funding domestic politics have collapsed. The main beneficiaries are the self-proclaimed defenders of sovereignty who rise to power with the help of social media ads bought by persons unknown, and thinktanks and lobbyists that refuse to reveal their funders. A recent essay by the academics Reijer Hendrikse and Rodrigo Fernandez argues that offshore finance involves “the rampant unbundling and commercialisation of state sovereignty” and the shifting of power into a secretive, extraterritorial legal space, beyond the control of any state. In this offshore world, they contend, “financialised and hypermobile global capital effectively is the state”.

Today’s billionaires are the real citizens of nowhere. They fantasise, like the plutocrats in Ayn Rand’s terrible novel Atlas Shrugged, about further escape. Look at the “seasteading” venture funded by PayPal’s founder, Peter Thiel, that sought to build artificial islands in the middle of the ocean, whose citizens could enact a libertarian fantasy of escape from the state, its laws, regulations and taxes, and from organised labour. Scarcely a month goes by without a billionaire raising the prospect of leaving the Earth altogether, and colonising space pods or other planets.

Those whose identity is offshore seek only to travel farther offshore. To them, the nation state is both facilitator and encumbrance, source of wealth and imposer of tax, pool of cheap labour and seething mass of ungrateful plebs, from whom they must flee, leaving the wretched earthlings to their well-deserved fate.

Defending ourselves from oligarchy means taxing it to oblivion. It’s easy to get hooked up on discussions about what tax level maximises the generation of revenue. There are endless arguments about the Laffer curve, which purports to show where this level lies. But these discussions overlook something crucial: raising revenue is only one of the purposes of tax. Another is breaking the spiral of patrimonial wealth accumulation.

Breaking this spiral is a democratic necessity: otherwise the oligarchs, as we have seen, come to dominate national and international life. The spiral does not stop by itself: only government action can do it. This is one of the reasons why, during the 1940s, the top rate of income tax in the US rose to 94%, and in the UK to 98%. A fair society requires periodic corrections on this scale. But these days the steepest taxes would be better aimed at accumulated unearned wealth.

Of course, the offshore world the billionaires have created makes such bold policies extremely difficult: this, after all, is one of its purposes. But at least we know what the aim should be, and can begin to see the scale of the challenge. To fight something, first we need to understand it.


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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1843 on: July 28, 2019, 06:44:37 am »

AGelbert

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Well put.

BLACK BEAR NEWS 7 27 19 Take an ice cold sip of Rebellion
1,044 views


Black Bear News
Published on Jul 27, 2019

Newsletter 26: Take an ice-cold sip of Rebellion
https://rebellion.earth/2019/07/25/newsletter-26-ice-cold-sip-of-rebellion/

The Difference Between Being a Liberal and Being a Progressive 👍👍👍
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But Peter said unto him, Thy money perish with thee, because thou
hast thought that the gift of God may be purchased with money. Acts 8:20

 

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