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Author Topic: Global Warming is WITH US  (Read 29798 times)

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1695 on: April 02, 2019, 07:39:25 pm »
State of the Climate: NOT Good at All


Paul Beckwith

Published on Apr 2, 2019

Every spring, for the past 25 years, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) releases their State of the Climate report. This years edition clearly shows how dire our climate situation is becoming. Just when you think it can’t get worse, it does. In this, and the next few videos, I chat on highlights and key points that are in the report, which I highly recommend you read as well. Consequences to us and all other species on our planet are profound.

Please check out my blog http://paulbeckwith.net to get up-to-date analysis as I connect the dots on abrupt climate change and the enormously grave planetary implications. Please consider donating to support my educational efforts. Sincerely, Paul

Category News & Politics
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1696 on: April 05, 2019, 11:56:46 am »
THE POLITICS OF THE GREEN NEW DEAL: WE CAN’T PAY FOR THAT

April 1, 2019/99 Comments/in Green New Deal /by Ed Walker

Posts in this series:

The Green New Deal Challenges The Domination of Capital

Part 1 on Labor

The Politics of the Green New Deal: Part 2 on Capital

The Politics of The Green New Deal: The Opposition Of The Rich

The Green New Deal: OMG It’s Socialism!


Seriously. How on earth will we pay for the damage done by climate change? Water rising along the coasts and flooding huge parts of our oil and gas refining infrastructure? Resettling millions away from new floodplains in Nebraska and Florida? Food shortages? Dirty water? Hurricane and tornado damage? Storm costs already are running over $240 billion per year at least. The costs of three hurricanes and 76 wildfires last year alone ran to something like $300 billion. The National Climate Assessment identifies several areas of enormous concern: extreme heat, lost labor, infectious diseases, droughts and floods, decreased food production, and failing water and sewage systems.

We have a good current example in the recent floods in Nebraska. Flood water is running into the Missouri, where it overwhelmed the sewage treatment system in Omaha, dumping an estimated 65 million gallons of raw sewage. That fetid stream of filth is expected to continue for two to three months. Cities downstream will have to treat their water against unnamed pollutants, presumably e. coli among others.

Even without Omaha’s sewage, the floodwaters would not be safe because of human waste from septic tanks, animal waste and chemicals from farm fields, along with chemicals from urban and suburban parking lots and industrial sites, experts say.

That sewage and the related flood water is headed to the Mississippi through New Orleans. and the delta, washing out more of Louisiana on its way, and into the Gulf where the Red Tide from last year finally disappeared in February after a sixteen month bloom.

The floods are also causing serious problems for farmers. This story in the New York Times quotes farmers who are unable to get to their fields which are drowned by recent floods. The Kearney Hub of Kearney Nebraska says planting will be delayed; and adds fascinating details on how farmers should cope with wet fields. Eventually they may be driven off their farms. We can guess that capitalists will buy up the farms at foreclosure or otherwise. This will gradually concentrate food production in fewer and fewer hands, which leads to higher prices for food consumers.

But we never talk about how to pay for climate catastrophe. The financing talk is always about how to pay for efforts to cope with it. That’s apparently going to be a big part of Republican strategy, along with their other scare tactics. You have to admire the chutzpah of Republicans complaining about the cost of the Green New Deal after handing trillions in unfunded tax cuts to their donors. They are joined by plenty of moderate Democrats, and cost is one of the reasons.

It’s astonishing that no defenders of the Green New Deal ask their opponents how they plan to pay for climate disaster. Instead, they struggle to answer their detractors. Many advocates of the Green New Deal have turned to MMT because it makes it clear that we can do everything in the Green New Deal and more, subject to resource constraints such as adequate and trained labor, natural resources, technical knowledge and entrepreneurial skills. Here’s a good discussion from the excellent Stephanie Kelton.

I’ve read Randy Wray’s book, Modern Money Theory: A Primer on Macroeconomics for Sovereign Monetary Systems. I’ve also read some mainstream economics, some of which I discussed here at Emptywheel. For me, MMT is superior. Mainstream economics has a number of normative ideals at its heart, as we saw in my discussion of the theory of marginal utility of William Stanley Jevons (for example, here). As I see it, mainstream economics privileges the concerns of the individual over the well-being of the society in which the individual lives and works. On the other hand MMT gives a descriptive account of the economy, with no obvious normative implications. As Wray says in §7.10:

On one level, the MMT approach is descriptive: it explains how a sovereign currency works. When we talk about government spending by keystrokes and argue that the issuer of a sovereign currency cannot run out of them, that is descriptive. When we say that sovereign governments do not borrow their own currency, that is descriptive. Our classification of bond sales as part of monetary policy, to help the central bank hit its interest rate target, is also descriptive. And finally, when we argue that a floating exchange rate provides the most domestic policy space, that is also descriptive.

Functional finance then provides a framework for prescriptive policy.*

I don’t think mainstream economics will ever be merely descriptive in this sense. It isn’t even capable of getting rid of obviously bad ideas, like austerity or the Philips Curve, both of which are suffused with normative implications. There are still politicians who think we should have a constitutional balanced budget amendment. Stephen Moore, Trump’s nominee to the Fed, has argued for a return to the gold standard.

But you don’t have to accept MMT to see that the Green New Deal is affordable. Here’s a well-written paper by J.W. Mason of the Roosevelt Institute. I think Mason considers himself to be a heterodox economist, as opposed to a mainstream economist. He justifies financing important public projects like the Green New Deal in mainstream Keynesian terms.

In the end, someone is going to pay. We either pay to ameliorate the problem, or we pay to cope with the horrifying costs of surviving.

https://www.emptywheel.net/2019/04/01/the-politics-of-the-green-new-deal-we-cant-pay-for-that/

Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1698 on: April 06, 2019, 03:46:57 pm »
Burning Up: A Global History of Fossil Fuel Consumption ”A book by Simon Pirani

APR 05, 2019| BOOK REVIEW

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1699 on: April 06, 2019, 04:31:25 pm »

Chat on Persistent Cold Blob over North America
3,061 views


Paul Beckwith

Published on Apr 5, 2019

Our destabilizing climate has many unpleasant surprises over our entire planet. The Arctic is warmer than normal by 5.7C; Antarctica is 2.4C colder than normal. A long-term, stuck Rossby wave trough of the jet stream gave North America a cold blob; basically a “global warming hole”while the rest of the planet baked. As the Arctic “center of cold” shifts from the North Pole to central Greenland (83 degrees N latitude) this cold blob could become a frequent feature as we near a Blue Ocean Event in the Arctic.

Please support my educational videos by donating at http://paulbeckwith.net as I join the dots on abrupt climate system change, analyzing the science of climate in the past, present, and future.

Category News & Politics
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1700 on: April 08, 2019, 09:15:20 pm »
Co2 Levels Hit Three Million Year High - What Does It Mean? (w/ Dr. Michael Mann)
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Thom Hartmann Program

Published on Apr 4, 2019

Carbon Dioxide Levels (sometimes written Co2 ) have reached a three million year high and scientists are starting to worry. 

What effects will passing this historic carbon dioxide level mean for efforts to fight global climate change?

A friend of the show, Dr. Michael Mann, joins us to discuss how Co2 levels will change the planet.


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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1701 on: April 09, 2019, 01:06:08 pm »


Russia Eyes Greater 🦖 Energy Dominance as Novatek Taps Arctic
April 8, 2019 by Bloomberg

The icebreaking LNG carrier Christophe de Margerie loads gas at the Port of Sabetta. Photo: SCF Group

By Olga Tanas, Dina Khrennikova and Anna Shiryaevskaya (Bloomberg) — Almost 1,500 miles from Moscow, the tiny port of Sabetta nestles in a desolate Russian Arctic peninsula. A former outpost for Soviet geologists, it’s now the site of Russia’s most ambitious liquefied natural gas project, operated by a company that only entered the market just over a year ago.

Several times a week, a giant tanker leaves this remote place carrying the super-chilled fuel to buyers in Europe and Asia. It’s not the only LNG plant beyond the Arctic Circle, but it’s by far tdhe largest.

Novatek PJSC, the main shareholder of the Yamal LNG plant, says plans for further projects will transform Russia into one of the biggest exporters of the fuel within a decade. Already the world’s top exporter of pipeline gas and second-biggest shipper of crude oil, exports from Sabetta are giving President Vladimir Putin’s Russia another conduit into the world economy for the country’s unrivaled energy resources.

“Russia can be in the top four main LNG exporters,” Novatek’s Chief Financial Officer Mark Gyetvay said in an interview in London.



Showcasing The Potential

Novatek has demonstrated that it’s possible to produce and liquefy the fuel in such harsh conditions at competitive prices and ship it to markets thousands of miles away in Europe and Asia. That’s helped by receding Arctic ice which is allowing a specially built fleet of strengthened tankers to ship fuel along Russia’s northern coast.


This week, Putin will tout the potential for development of Russia’s hydrocarbons at the International Arctic Forum in St. Petersburg. Russia’s leader has been a long-standing supporter of developing oil and gas resources locked under the region’s permafrost. When opening the first production train of the Yamal LNG project in late 2017, Putin said the region gives Russia the opportunity to take up the fuel’s “niche it deserves.”

“We can boldly say that in this century and the next, Russia will expand thanks to the Arctic,” he said at that time.

Novatek 🦖, whose biggest shareholders include Russian billionaires Leonid Mikhelson and Gennady Timchenko, as well as French energy giant Total SA, became Russia’s top LNG producer after starting up its plant in the Yamal peninsula almost two years ago. The facility reached its full capacity at the end of 2018, ahead of schedule, doubling Russia’s share of the global LNG market to 8 percent.

The gas producer has aggressive plans to command a 10th of the global market by 2030, Gyetvay said, and position Russia as one of the world’s largest exporters alongside the U.S., Qatar and Australia.

All three of Yamal LNG’s production units, with a combined actual capacity of 17.5 million tons a year, are now online. Novatek is attracting partners for a second plant, the so-called Arctic LNG 2 project, which is expected to come online in 2022.

The company is also considering commissioning a third facility and may increase its LNG production target for 2030 by about 20 percent, to as much as 70 million tons a year.

Novatek’s resource base at two Arctic peninsulas — Yamal and Gydan — allows the company to raise production volumes to as much as 140 million tons a year in future, according to its chief executive officer Mikhelson.

Russia, the world’s largest gas exporter, has been slow to join the global LNG boom as it has focused investment on pipeline supplies to Europe. Until recently, the country had just one liquefaction project in operation, the Gazprom PJSC-led Sakhalin 2 project near Japan with an annual capacity of about 10 million tons.

The country has now taken an interest in the market for tanker-borne fuel amid growing global LNG demand and more difficult relations with its customers in the European Union.

Vast Reserves

Russia’s Energy Ministry pegs total gas in place within the region at about 210 trillion cubic meters, or over 70 percent of the nation’s total. Novatek’s Arctic gas reserves are “conservatively” estimated at about 3.3 trillion cubic meters[/size], Gyetvay said.

“We believe that Russia could be the fourth or even the third” biggest holder of LNG production capacity, said Karen Kostanian, Moscow-based oil and gas analyst for  Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The resources are located more than 5,000 kilometers (about 3,100 miles) away from key markets in Asia and are almost 4,000 kilometers from the European trading hub at the port of Rotterdam. That requires extensive shipping capability.

The freezing environment also means Novatek has to produce natural gas at temperatures as low as minus 56 degrees Celsius (about minus 69 Fahrenheit), according to regional government data. This requires special techniques for construction in permafrost areas, including installing pylons in ice, and for ships to navigate frozen routes.

Furthermore, not only does Novatek manage in the harsh environment but it sees the Arctic’s location as a competitive advantage, Gyetvay said, because the lower temperatures actually make production costs cheaper because less energy is needed to chill the gas.

The cost of producing Yamal feedstock gas is only around $0.1 per million British thermal unit, whereas U.S. producers typically buy their gas on a market such as the Henry Hub, where prices are currently about $2.60.

Eyes On The Prize 🦖

After starting up its $27 billion Yamal LNG project, Novatek is finalizing the partnership structure for the planned 🦕 Arctic LNG 2 project.

Novatek’s potential has attracted investment from global players from Total to China National Petroleum Corp., a rare bright spot for Russia’s energy segment hit by U.S. and European sanctions. While Novatek is on the American sanctions list, and the U.S. Congress is considering restricting investment in Russia’s LNG facilities outside the country, it won’t impact the start-up of Arctic LNG 2 or the company’s longer-term expansion plans.

Total, a shareholder in Novatek’s first LNG project, last month signed a deal to buy a 10 percent stake in the second plant. The French major’s commitment could prompt a rush of other potential partners to take stakes in the project, Gyetvay said.

Whether other companies buy stakes in Arctic LNG 2 or not, Novatek will move forward with it regardless. The company is already doing pre-marketing for the future cargoes, discussing potential off-takers and volumes, Gyetvay said.

Last week, Novatek signed 15-year agreements with Vitol SA and Repsol SA to supply each with 1 million tons of LNG a year from the Arctic LNG 2 and other projects.

“We’re basically at that point in time when the train has started to move and it’s time to jump on or miss it,” Gyetvay said.

 

© 2019 Bloomberg L.P

Agelbert NOTE: Yeah, the "train" carrying that "LNG BRIDGE FUEL TO THE FUTURE" has definitely LEFT the viable biosphere "station"...





« Last Edit: April 09, 2019, 02:13:25 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1702 on: April 10, 2019, 12:25:57 pm »



Global Warming Effects Presenting a ‘Major Challenge’ to Carrier Schedules in Asia

April 9, 2019 by The Loadstar

By Sam Whelan in Singapore (The Loadstar) – Typhoons and other adverse weather events are playing havoc with carrier schedules, presenting a “major challenge” to the industry as it aims to recover from the record low levels of schedule reliability.

According to Jeremy Nixon, chief executive of Ocean Network Express (ONE), global warming has triggered more adverse and variable weather across key shipping lanes: a “remarkable increase” since 2016 when there were just nine major typhoons in Asia, compared with 13 in 2017 and 17 last year.

“Unfortunately, typhoons go straight through the middle of our key shipping lanes,” [/size]he told the TOC Asia Container Supply Chain conference in Singapore today.

“And they track at a relatively slow pace, so they create disruption to vessels within Asia; but critically, it’s also impacting the ports, particularly those in China, Korea and Japan.”

So much so, Mr Nixon noted, that the port of Shanghai was closed for eight days last August, compared with just one in the same month of 2017. There were 28 days of terminal closures between April-August 2018, he added.


“This is major disruption and, previously when there were low terminal utilisation levels, you could catch up relatively quickly in terms of operations. But because now the terminals are working at a much higher occupancy, particularly in mainland China, the ability to recover is slow, and that has an additional impact.”

Elsewhere, recent heavy weather in North America has had a big impact on rail operations, according to Mr Nixon, while Europe has suffered from flooding and strong weather systems in the Bay of Biscay and in the Atlantic.

Sea-Intelligence Consulting chief executive Alan Murphy said carrier schedule reliability had fallen to record low levels in 2018 – the worst since the analyst began recording reliability data seven years ago.

“Service levels have been very bad, especially on the transpacific trade where two out of three vessels arriving are more than a day late,” Mr Murphy said.

Comparing reliability between the three major carrier alliances, he said in the past THE Alliance had struggled, but now “we’re seeing it close that gap because unfortunately the other alliances are going down, rather than THE Alliance going up..”

ONE is part of THE Alliance, alongside Hapag-Lloyd and Yang Ming. Mr Nixon said the group planned to rejig schedules to help mitigate the impact of increased adverse weather and high port utilisation levels in Asia.

“What we’re doing now as THE Alliance, as we bring our new product to market in April/May, is to make some changes to the network to build in more buffer time,” he explained.

This includes reducing the number of port calls in China on a single loop, since vessels calling at both Shanghai and Ningbo end up queuing for a berth twice when operations at the two major ports are disrupted by typhoons.

To achieve this reduction, Mr Nixon said THE Alliance would split its Ningbo and Shanghai calls, with some loops calling at fewer ports and others having additional vessels in rotation for “more buffer and recovery”.

He added: “But to get back to the days of 90% schedule reliability for the whole industry is really a major challenge, in light of where we are with the terminal occupancy and with the weather these days.”

The Loadstar is fast becoming known at the highest levels of logistics and supply chain management as one of the best sources of influential analysis and commentary.

Check them out at TheLoadstar.co.uk, or find them on Facebook and Twitter.


https://gcaptain.com/global-warming-effects-shipping-asia/

Agelbert NOTE: This is just the beginning of what is now inescapably baked in (read article below).

Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1703 on: April 10, 2019, 12:51:20 pm »
Blue Ocean Event : Game Over?
34,323 views


Just Have a Think

Published on Apr 7, 2019

A Blue Ocean Event, or Ice-Free Arctic, is the source of almost fever pitch speculation in the climate science world. The consequences of the disappearance of sea ice from the arctic ocean, however briefly, at the end of a summer melt season some time in the not too distant future, are potentially very ominous for the way we organise our human socio-economic structures today. This week, we consider what those consequences may look like.
« Last Edit: April 10, 2019, 05:14:31 pm by AGelbert »
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1704 on: April 10, 2019, 05:23:32 pm »
Earth at 2° hotter will be horrific. Now here’s what 4° will look like. | David Wallace-Wells161,160 views


Big Think

Published on Mar 14, 2019

This is what the world will be like if we do not act on climate change.

- The best-case scenario of climate change is that world gets just 2°C hotter, which scientists call the "threshold of catastrophe".

- Why is that the good news? Because if humans don't change course now, the planet is on a trajectory to reach 4°C at the end of this century, which would bring $600 trillion in global climate damages, double the warfare, and a refugee crisis 100x worse than the Syrian exodus.

- David Wallace-Wells explains what would happen at an 8°C and even 13°C increase. These predictions are horrifying, but should not scare us into complacency. "It should make us focus on them more intently," he says.

David Wallace-Wells is a national fellow at the New America foundation and a columnist and deputy editor at New York magazine. He was previously the deputy editor of The Paris Review. He lives in New York City. His latest book is The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming (https://goo.gl/ih35YX)

Read more at BigThink.com: https://bigthink.com/videos/earth-at-...

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1705 on: April 10, 2019, 05:38:17 pm »
David Wallace-Wells: ‘Why climate change is gravely worse than feared' | ITV News
53,620 views


ITV News

Published on Feb 19, 2019

According to American author David Wallace-Wells, there is a jarring gap between academic research and how climate change is represented in the media.

His new book, worryingly titled, ‘The Uninhabitable Earth’ is a warning that simply more can and must be done.

In a wide-ranging interview with ITV News Science Editor Tom Clarke, Wallace-Wells describes how he became a “quasi-activist” during his research; how an alarmist approach can be effective; the damning failure of the Paris Agreement and how China could play a key role in reducing global warming.

Full story: https://www.itv.com/news/2019-02-19/d...

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• Get breaking news and more stories at http://www.itv.com/news

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1706 on: April 11, 2019, 09:11:39 pm »


Rhine River Could Run Too Low Again for Shipping in Germany

By Bloomberg on Apr 10, 2019 11:35 am

Rhine river

By William Wilkes (Bloomberg) — Go inside the global economy with Stephanie Flanders in her new podcast, Stephanomics. Subscribe via Pocket Cast or iTunes. Germany’s Rhine River could be impassable to ships again this summer if Europe has another drought, a once-rare weather phenomenon that’s becoming more likely with an increase in the temperature. That’s the opinion […] 


Read full story...
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1707 on: April 12, 2019, 02:49:56 pm »
SNIPPET:

PAUL JAY: Eugene, what do you think?

EUGENE PURYEAR: Well, I have to say, this is one of the areas I’m most critical of Bernie. I mean, I think that he’s defining as socialism is really just a New Deal, Great Society liberalism, which certainly is good as far as it goes, it’s certainly much better than the unrealized dreams of those eras. It’s certainly a much better state of affairs than what we have now. But I think he was unable to really hit the core of the difference between capitalism and socialism and the idea that capitalism is a system where everything is produced for profit to be a commodity, and socialism is a system where the basic goods that people need to live, survive, and thrive are also not commodities. And certainly, he mentions healthcare, education, and things of that nature, but what about clothing, what about food, what about shelter?

And I think above and beyond anything else, I think also it’s to me a little bit of a naive presentation from the point of view of sort of the U.S. political structure which enshrines, in and of itself, and this is certainly the contravention of what Trump was saying, of course, property above all other interests. Certainly, that was rooted in the slave system, and the control of land that resulted in slavery and the genocide of Native Americans, that ultimately, what do you do in this kind of context in the United States when say the Fifth Amendment, for instance, comes up against the desire to be able to decarbonize the economy? I mean, it says that you can’t take property without paying people for it. Well, if the health of the planet is at stake and the cost is too high, well what are you going to do? Are you going to take over and shut down all the oil companies and save the planet or are you going to go with the U.S. Constitution?

So I think the reality is is perhaps what Bernie is portraying is as much as you can do within the U.S. system, but I think it’s not actually socialism. And I think that that is in and of itself an important distinction that I think has to be made here, that socialism is a system where profit is never going to be able to succeed over the needs of people. And I think that goes beyond what he was willing to say, despite the fact that certainly, all the things he’s saying I think, would be good and should be instituted right away. And there’s actually really almost no reason why all of them couldn’t be instituted tomorrow except for a lack of political will.

Read more or view full video:


Is Sanders’ Democratic Socialism … Socialism?

March 8, 2019

Sanders says that medicare for all, a living wage, and other reforms is the socialism that’s possible, but is he too reserved on strengthening public ownership? - with Jacqueline Luqman, Eugene Puryear, Norman Solomon and host Paul Jay


https://therealnews.com/stories/is-sanders-democratic-socialism-socialism
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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1708 on: April 13, 2019, 07:20:48 pm »
RADIO ECOSHOCK
91 Radio Stations and Growing!

Posted on April 3, 2019, by Radio Ecoshock
 
At cloud doomsday Earth’s temperature soars 8 degrees C, 14 degrees Fahrenheit. We hope that will never come, but if we go there, that is the end. New science from the lead author, Tapio Schneider at NASA. Then from the Post Carbon Institute, Jason Bradford predicts the tide of humans into cities will reverse. The future is food, and local – and we can prepare now for the end of fossil fuels and continuing climate threats.

Listen to or download this Radio Ecoshock show at link below:

 

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AGelbert

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Re: Global Warming is WITH US
« Reply #1709 on: April 15, 2019, 05:10:48 pm »

Storms  Leave Damage in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Delaware After Tornadoes Roar Across the South

April 15, 2019

By Ron Brackett and Pam Wright agoweather.com


Full article with several eye opening videos, including REVERSE 👀 Lightning:




Hope deferred maketh the heart sick: but when the desire cometh, it is a tree of life. Pr. 13:12

 

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