+- +-

+-User

Welcome, Guest.
Please login or register.
 
 
 
Forgot your password?

+-Stats ezBlock

Members
Total Members: 46
Latest: Tony Ryan
New This Month: 0
New This Week: 0
New Today: 0
Stats
Total Posts: 12640
Total Topics: 256
Most Online Today: 2
Most Online Ever: 137
(April 21, 2019, 04:54:01 am)
Users Online
Members: 0
Guests: 0
Total: 0

Author Topic: Future Earth  (Read 11737 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #315 on: October 30, 2018, 12:52:40 pm »
BOOK Title: Otto of the silver hand

Author(s): Pyle, Howard

Publisher: New York: Charles Scribner's Sons, 1914

Schwartz Carl, holding his arbelast in his hand, stood silently watching.

ARTIST
Name: Pyle, Howard

DESCRIPTION
A man with a crossbow hides in wait in the shadow of a doorway.

Dates: 1853-1911

Country: US


??WTF?? What you up to, AG?

"Better a hand of silver than a hand of iron."

I must have read it as a kid, but that is all I can remember.


I'm just being cryptic.

Sir Tristem


DESCRIPTION

A knight on his last journey lies in a small boat with a figurehead in the shape of a swan and sails like wings. This is an illustration to the poem “Sir Tristem” by Robert Williams Buchanan, based on the Tristan legend.''

ARTIST

Name: Millais, John Everett

Dates: 1829-1896

Country: UK

Agelbert NOTE: On December 31, 1967, near midnight, I was driving around San Juan and I saw the giant "1968" lighted letters on the top of a bank building. I said, "1968 is going to be one hell of a year!". I meant it in a positive sense. I was 180 degrees out of phase. 

Perhaps my psychic glimpses into the future have improved somewhat. Perhaps not. Nevertheless, FWIW, I have a foreboding feeling about what is coming within the next year.


El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #316 on: October 30, 2018, 06:21:32 pm »
Schwartz Carl, holding his arbelast in his hand, stood silently watching.

ARTIST
Name: Pyle, Howard

DESCRIPTION
A man with a crossbow hides in wait in the shadow of a doorway.

Crossbows are GREAT! I have a Pistol sized one great for nailing squirrels and rabbits.  Also Fish in a shallow stream.


80 lb draw.  With a Silver Dart, you can take out Vampires, Zombies and Repugnants.

RE



Don't forget the Anti-Christ(s).
El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #317 on: November 20, 2018, 08:24:45 pm »
If you are a person of good will, this video covers a lot of ground you mostly know already, but in an excellent, hard truth filled package. If you are a supporter of the Capitalist Profit Over People and Planet Economic system (i.e you believe with all your heart and soul that "CAPITALISM, warts and all, is the best economic system there is"), this is possibly the most significant video you will see in your life.

It's long but it exposes the inevitability of the extinction of the human species UNLESS we totally replace the corporate state, in ALL its Capitalist/Fascist forms, with a Socialist structure that is fastidious and uncompromising about the primacy of protecting, preserving and expanding a VIABLE BIOSPHERE for ALL the life forms that we share this planet with. This is not "idealistic"; this is SINE QUA NON for a Viable Biosphere.


The result of this holistic approach, which requires a VETO POWER DECISION PROCESS FILTER for human economic activity, where ALL the biosphere math addition and subtraction in regard to ALL planned human actions are studied and measured PRIOR to allowing ANY country or business to engage in them, or subsidize them in some other way, is a reasonable expectation of continued human existence.

For those stupid, arrogant, hidebound, greedy people reading this who claim that "incremental measures will solve all the problems of Profit Over People and Planet" that CAPITALISM has cursed our biosphere with, I suggest you keep believing the convenient fantasy that "you are just being pragmatic". Keep believing that Chris Hedges and people like myself (and many other people of good will on Earth) are "too idealistic and impractical". Keep clinging to your stock market investments and your comfortable smug assumption that "Socialism was tried and it failed".

There is not a snowball's chance in Hell of mankind surviving while continuing to break the laws of LIFE, SINE QUA NON for a Viable Biosphere. When this increasingly Catastrophic Climate Change destroys the last shred of your Capitalist "greed is good" manufactured reality, it will be less painful for you if you cannot accept that reality.

Already, millions of white workers who's "American Dream" has been exposed as the American Scream by Capitalist Cruelty, have turned to a Demagogue Con Artist (i.e. Trump) for more assurance that "their beliefs actually were well founded and the dream", which was never real, "is just around the Trump promised corner".

This amazingly tragic level of denial in the face a degraded environment and destroyed job prospects is what you people with fat wallets will soon also enter into, as Chris Hedges makes crystal clear in the video below, instead of accepting that you were propagandized to embrace an environmentally suicidal economic system from the time you were knee high to a grasshopper.

Maybe you'll go nuts and embrace mass suicide like a nuclear war in order to avoid accepting the FACT that you embraced a morally bankrupt world view that is destroying our species, and thousands of other high order mammalian vertebrate species. Arrogant pride can, unfortunately, really lock people into doubling down on destructive behavior.

For the smug egotist, going out in a "blaze of glory" is, too often, preferable to admitting error. I hope you realize, before it is too late, that humble pie about our responsibility for all the harm we have collectively AND INDIVIDUALLY caused is not optional if we wish to survive.

Whatever you do, our species has NO FUTURE as long as Business as Usual with token feel good small incremental steps to "fix" our grotesque economic system and mitigate climate change continue.




SOCIALISM that respects, defends and protects the ENTIRE BIOSPHERE IS THE ONLY SOLUTION.

Chris Hedges, "American Anomie"
45,214 views


mediasanctuary

Published on Nov 6, 2018

Chris Hedges spoke at The Sanctuary for Independent Media in Troy NY on November 3, 2018.  He is a Truthdig columnist, a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist, a New York Times best-selling author, a professor in the college degree program offered to New Jersey state prisoners by Rutgers University, and an ordained Presbyterian minister. He has written 12 books, including the New York Times best-seller “Days of Destruction, Days of Revolt” (2012), which he co-authored with the cartoonist Joe Sacco. His other books include "Wages of Rebellion: The Moral Imperative of Revolt," (2015) “Death of the Liberal Class” (2010), “Empire of Illusion: The End of Literacy and the Triumph of Spectacle” (2009), “I Don’t Believe in Atheists” (2008) and the best-selling “American Fascists: The Christian Right and the War on America” (2008). His latest book is "America: The Farewell Tour" (2018). His book “War Is a Force That Gives Us Meaning” (2003) was a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award for Nonfiction and has sold over 400,000 copies. He writes a weekly column for the website Truthdig and hosts a show, "On Contact," on RT America.

A SanctuaryTV Production: Director/Switcher-Branda Miller; Cameras- Dave Publow, Jay Wilcox; Sound- Troy Pohl; Editor- Michael Siarkowsi; Executive Producer-Steve Pierce; Special Thanks- Meghan Marohn.
www.mediasanctuary.org

El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #318 on: November 21, 2018, 08:12:12 pm »
Agelbert NOTE: The following article involves scientifically optimistic speculation. That means that they are hopeful, BUT THE TECHNOLOGY THEY ARE COUNTING ON IS NOT THERE YET.

I post it because I respect Elizabeth Kolbert's work. Nevertheless, I am extremely skeptical of this CO2 technofix (see my kitty graphic). It just reads too much like HOPIUM to me. The CONSPICUOUS LACK of fingering ( see" "root cause" NOT defined as as burning hydrocrabons  - "root cause" is defined here as "CO2 concentration", which is ACTUALLY a RESULT OF THE ROOT CAUSE, AS WELL AS A SYMPTOM OF THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE BEING INFLICTED BY THE ROOT CAUSE! ) the Hydrocarbon Hellspawn BASTARDS (i.e. the Fossil Fuel Fascists), hell bent to continue profit over planet business as usual, is the TELL that these scientists are not even being 50% reality based in their "technology will save us" speculation.

Yeah, we can just keep burnin' all that fine and dandy fossil fuel that, uh, isn't the root cause of the CO2 root cause , because we will have lots of fantastic technology in just a decade or so ;D, sucking all that nasty "root cause CO2" out of the sky and turning it into rocks and other good stuff much, much faster than our loyal servants the Fossil Fuel Industry can sucker get us to pump said "root cause CO2" into the sky when we burn what they sell us, of course

What these scientists are trying to do, while they claim they are "not compensating for the symptoms of climate change",  IS COMPENSATE for the symptoms INSTEAD OF attacking the ROOT CAUSE, which is BURNING HYDROCARBONS. The fact that they make the ridiculous claim that they "aren't geoengineering" based on their convenient definition of the "root cause of Climate Change" (it's like saying the "root cause" of your death by gunshot is not the killer or the gun, it's the bullet. 😈 The killer and/or the gun are mere symptoms. ;) The bullet is the "root cause", so let's start subsidizing bullet collection. Banning bullet manufacturing and the guns that shoot them is merely "compensating for the symptoms") is evidence that they are playing word games to keep from ruffling Fossil Fuel Fascist Feathers.

Enjoy the hopium. ::) 

Climate Solutions: Is It Feasible to Remove Enough CO2 from the Air?

A U.S. scientific panel reports that technologies that take CO2 out of the atmosphere could be a significant part of a strategy to mitigate global warming. In an e360 interview, Stephen Pacala, the panel’s chairman, discusses how these fast-developing technologies are becoming increasingly viable.

BY ELIZABETH KOLBERT  • NOVEMBER 15, 2018

SNIPPET:

e360: Your panel looked at techniques like afforestation and better land use, you also looked at enhanced weathering of rock. And you looked at the holy grail, I suppose, which is direct air capture of CO2, where we suck it out of the air and bury it or mineralize it. Where do you see the potential for big breakthroughs here?

Pacala:
I think that afforestation, reforestation, changes in forest management, rebuilding the carbon backbone that maintains the fertility in our agricultural soils, and biomass energy with carbon capture and storage using waste biomass can supply material gains.

Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) range from low-tech, such as planting more trees, to more high-tech options, such as developing machines to scrub CO2 from the air. NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, 2018

With the direct air capture technologies, 10 years ago you would have said that’s just like a fairy tale. But because of diligent activity by a small number of technical people, there’s been very rapid progress, so much so that knowledgeable people who are not starry-eyed, but just hard-headed, believe that there is a very high probability that a research effort within 10 years would produce direct air capture at less than a dollar a gallon of gasoline. That’s $100 a ton [of captured CO2].

Imagine a scenario where you fly over to Germany and burn aviation gas on the way over, but we have a direct air capture machine that for $100 a ton takes CO2 out of the atmosphere and puts it in the ground to compensate. And the question is, how much did that cleansing of the atmosphere cost in terms of the fuel? The answer is an extra dollar a gallon. So it’s going from say, $2.50 to $3.50 a gallon. Now, aviation biogas, which is the alternative, costs way more than that, and it takes land away from other uses that we need. If you could get [the carbon capture price] down to 50 cents a gallon to solve the carbon and climate problem, how great is that? Our panel thinks direct air capture could be brought into the marketplace in a heavy way within 10 years’ time.

e360: That’s owing to some kind of technological breakthrough, or because we’re just going to bring the cost of these processes down?

Pacala: It’s just cost. It’s an exact analogy to wind and solar. The government should create a market by subsidizing the activity, and then have every super-ambitious person in Silicon Valley who wants to save the world and become the richest person in it, compete with every other such person and drive the costs relentlessly down, and we’ll all be the beneficiaries.

Quote
“The ongoing denials of the science, particularly in Republican Party circles, are just something that true conservatives wouldn’t condone.”

I don’t expect to be surprised with direct air capture, because I think that direct air capture developers will succeed. If there’s a surprise, it’s in the enhanced mineralization area. Underneath our feet are minerals, and because they’ve never been exposed to the atmosphere, they are in a state that would spontaneously bind CO2 and turn it into carbonate minerals: rocks. How much of this rock is there? It’s hard to measure exactly, but some estimates say that something like 1,000 times the amount exists that would be necessary. So we’ve got this resource beneath our feet that we haven’t even known was a resource. Haven’t mapped it, haven’t tried to access it.

e360: One of the points that you also make in the report is that sometimes direct air capture has been put under this rubric of geoengineering, and the report tries to disentangle that. What is the difference between some of these negative emissions technologies and geoengineering?

Pacala: The difference between negative emissions technologies and geoengineering is that negative emissions technologies solve the root cause of the climate problem — too much CO2 in the atmosphere. It simply takes out that CO2. Geoengineering says, “Oh, that CO2 in the atmosphere is changing the climate, so let me try to change the climate in compensating ways, like by injecting sulfate aerosols high in the atmosphere to intersect some of the sunlight to cool the planet down.” The problem is, of course, that we can’t compensate exactly for the C02, so we create other problems when we do that. Moreover, if you keep putting more and more CO2 in the atmosphere, you have to keep adding these geoengineering compounds to the atmosphere to compensate. It’s very much the difference between solving the root cause and trying to compensate for symptoms.



e360: Another point the report makes is that the Trump administration is in the process of revoking the Clean Power Plan, of pulling back on vehicle fuel efficiency standards. This seems like another disconnect.

Pacala: Well, the U.S. is of course a very special case right now internationally. It has decided to take a non-evidence based approach to dealing with the climate problem, and it’s something that in my view is a national disgrace. It’s something that we are going to end up correcting as a people. The ongoing denials of the science, particularly in Republican Party circles, are just something that true conservatives wouldn’t condone. Business people make evidence-based decisions — they have to or they don’t survive.

Full article:

https://e360.yale.edu/features/negative-emissions-is-it-feasible-to-remove-co2-from-the-air

Elizabeth Kolbert is a regular contributor to Yale Environment 360 and has been a staff writer for the New Yorker since 1999. Her most recent book, "The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History," won the 2015 Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction and was based in part on reporting she did for Yale Environment 360.


El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #319 on: January 08, 2019, 06:18:24 pm »
The Next American City is . . . ?


Thom Hartmann Program

Published on Jan 6, 2019

The Next American City is a story of civic engagement, inventive public policy, and smart urban design.

It is a study of the changes re-shaping American urban life-and a blueprint for those to come.

Thom reads an excerpt from the book, sub-titled 'The Big Promise of Our Midsize Metros ' written by Mick Cornett and Jayson White.

Available from Amazon: https://amzn.to/2CRcftv

SUPPORT THE PROGRAM
► Join us on Patreon: http://www.patreon.com/thomhartmann where you can also watch a re-run of the three hour program at any time
 
AUDIO PODCASTS
► Subscribe today: http://www.thomhartmann.com/podcast

FOLLOW THOM
► AMAZON : http://amzn.to/2hS4UwY
► BLOG : http://www.thomhartmann.com/thom/blog
► FACEBOOK : http://www.facebook.com/ThomHartmannP...
► INSTAGRAM : http://www.instagram.com/Thom_Hartmann
► PATREON : http://www.patreon.com/thomhartmann
► TWITTER : http://www.twitter.com/thom_hartmann
► WEBSITE : http://www.thomhartmann.com
► YOUTUBE : http://www.youtube.com/subscription_c...

ABOUT THE PROGRAM
The Thom Hartmann Program is the leading progressive political talk radio show for political news and comment about Government politics, be it Liberal or Conservative, plus special guests and callers

✔ Amazon links are affiliate links
El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #320 on: March 04, 2019, 09:57:50 pm »
Climate Catastrophe 😱 Dr Rupert Read Talk [06.02.2019]
9,823 views


Extinction Rebellion

Published on Feb 15, 2019

Filmed at the University of East Anglia [06.02.2019]

El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #321 on: March 09, 2019, 02:18:57 pm »
Agelbert NOTE: Despite this fellow's proclivity to use the "F" word, and despite his bias towards the "free market" Libertarian flawed greed based world view, he states, in this podcast, many hard truths (e.g. the stupidity of Bitcoin investments in the present imminent collapse situation) about those who labor under the view that the world economic system is not a total, unsustainable RACKET. It is. It became the power structure by guile 😈 and by FORCE 🦍. AND, it is kept in place by FORCE. He quotes Napoleon:
Quote
"The one thing you cannot do with a bayonet is sit on it."
IOW, when TPTB force is insufficient, as is inevitable, due to the irrefutable fact that MORE force is required every day to keep the masses "in line" due to MORE people being cruelly exploited and abused by the system every day, anarchy ensues.

The upper middle class, who now foolishly believe they have "prepped sufficiently", who reside closer to the angry masses, will be attacked without mercy before the really monied elite feel the wrath of the masses. The monied elite greedballs, despite their clever hiding place bunkers, will not escape the wrath of the angry masses.

Although this fellow incorrectly eschews (and demonizes :P) Socialism, he understands that the current economic system, WORLDWIDE, is a RACKET that is destroying human society. Though he does not admit it, that RACKET destroying human society is CAPITALISM.

According to this fellow, those fine upstanding well heeled neighbors in the upper middle class neighborhoods, all across the small portion of well heeled America that still exists, ARE the FIRST folks that will forget every single promise they made to you and your family and your friends. Your NEIGHBORS, who too many people, particularly the well heeled, believe are true blue, same thinkin', "friends" will, in a collapse situation, weigh every single day what you have that they think they need, and will not hesitate to STOOP to "situational ethics" 🦍 as a "rational and reasonable" EXCUSE to kill you and take your stuff. I think he is right.

Quote
There is that maketh himself rich, yet hath nothing: there is that maketh himself poor, yet hath great riches.

The ransom of a man's life are his riches: but the poor heareth not rebuke. -- Proverbs 13:7-8

March 8, 2019


El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #322 on: March 11, 2019, 09:41:28 pm »

The Trillion Tree Campaign is featured in this YouTube video. 👍

Quote
When I watch a couple of Crowther’s YouTube video presentations, I’m stunned by the brand new maps of where things grow on our planet, or life we’ve never seen, hidden underground. We expect experts to use GIS – Geographic Information Systems – to communicate complex results. But now scientists can also use those maps as tools of discovery, to find new things.

And watch the background in this video, to get a sample of the cool new maps created by the Crowther Lab. This is a YouTube video recorded at an ESRI conference, the GIS people, published on Jul 10, 2018.


Quote
And this interview published Jan 2, 2019 on how ETH Zurich uses GIS. Great images in both videos, worth capturing…


Learn more:

Posted on March 6, 2019, by Radio Ecoshock

El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #323 on: April 04, 2019, 12:58:25 pm »
Global CO2 Emissions Hit an All-Time High in 2018; is a Hothouse Earth in our Future?

Dr. Jeff Masters  ·  April 2, 2019, 11:43 AM EDT

 
During the Jurassic Period, 208 to 146 million years ago, CO2 levels were approximately 2000 ppm (five times the current level), and a “Hothouse Earth” climate with global temperatures 3°C or more above current levels existed. Lush tropical vegetation was widespread world-wide, and dinosaurs ruled the Earth. Above: Painting of a late Jurassic Scene in the Lower Saxony basin in northern Germany. It shows an adult and a juvenile specimen of the sauropod Europasaurus holgeri and iguanodons passing by. There are two Compsognathus in the foreground and an Archaeopteryx at the right. Image credit: Gerhard Boeggemann.

Global energy-related emissions of carbon dioxide jumped by 1.7% in 2018, reaching the highest levels ever recorded, 33.1 metric gigatons, announced the International Energy Agency (IEA) last week. The United States’ CO2 emissions grew by 3.1% in 2018, reversing a decline a year earlier, while China’s emissions rose by 2.5% and India’s by 4%. The global CO2 growth rate was the highest since 2013. Global energy consumption rose 2.3% in 2018, nearly twice the average rate of growth since 2010, and was driven by a robust global economy as well as higher heating and cooling needs in some parts of the world.

 
Figure 1. Global energy-related CO2 emissions hit a new record high of 33.1 gigatons in 2018, compared to levels just over 20 metric gigatons in 1990. Image credit: International Energy Agency.

A "Hothouse Earth" in our future?

The discouraging news on record-high CO2 emissions in 2018 should be a reminder to go back and look at the most talked-about climate science paper of the past year—“Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene“, which was the subject of 460 news stories in 326 news outlets. Using existing results from climate models but no new modeling of their own, the researchers’ analysis found that a warming threshold likely exists beyond which we would set in motion a series of vicious cycles (feedbacks) in the climate system that would catapult us into a “Hothouse Earth” climate extremely dangerous to the existence of modern civilization--defined as having a much higher global average temperature than any period of the past 1.2 million years. This threshold might be crossed even if we manage to limit global warming to the Paris Accord target of 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels, they said.

The past 1.2 million years of Earth's history have alternated between long intervals of glaciation and warmer interglacial periods, such as the one we're in now, dubbed the Holocene. The hottest period of the past 1.2 million years was the last interglacial, the Eemian, which occurred between 115,000 and 130,000 years ago. The Eemian was up to 2°C (3.6°F) warmer than the pre-industrial climate of the 1800s, and sea levels were 20 – 30 feet (6 – 9 meters) higher than they are now. A “Hothouse Earth” climate could easily end up 4 - 5°C (7 - 9°F) warmer in a few centuries, with sea levels stabilizing at up to 200 feet (60 meters) higher than today. According to the 2014 IPCC report (our review here), a 4°C warming can be expected to result in "substantial species extinction, global and regional food insecurity, consequential constraints on common human activities, and limited potential for adaptation in some cases (high confidence)."

 
Figure 2. Stability landscape showing the pathway of the Earth System from the era of ice ages, through the Holocene (the geological epoch that ended when humans began significantly modifying the climate, often cited as 1945), and into the hotter Anthropocene, our proposed new geologic epoch. We are at a fork in the road where the climate can follow one of two paths (broken arrows). Currently, the Earth System is on a Hothouse Earth pathway driven by human emissions of greenhouse gases and biosphere degradation toward a planetary threshold at about 2°C, beyond which the system follows an essentially irreversible pathway to a climate hotter than any in the past 1.2 million years. The other pathway leads to Stabilized Earth, a pathway of wise Earth System stewardship into a human-maintained basin of attraction. “Stability” (vertical axis) is defined here as the inverse of the potential energy of the system. Systems in a highly stable state (deep valley) have low potential energy, and considerable energy is required to move them out of this stable state. Systems in an unstable state (top of a hill) have high potential energy, and they require only a little additional energy to push them off the hill and down toward a valley of lower potential energy. Image credit: Steffan et al., 2018, “Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Even at the ambitious target temperature rise of no more than 2 °C by the end of the century--endorsed by 195 nations in Paris in 2015--humans might trigger a cascade of feedbacks that would set the planet sliding into a Hothouse Earth climate, the authors wrote. One of the more dangerous likely feedbacks is the release of heat-trapping carbon dioxide and methane from the melting Arctic permafrost. One 2017 study warned that every 1°C (1.8°F) of additional warming would thaw 25% of permafrost, which contains twice as much carbon as the atmosphere does today. Other dangerous amplifying feedbacks they listed included diebacks of the Amazon rainforest and boreal forests, reduction of northern hemisphere snow cover, loss of Arctic summer sea ice, and reduction of Antarctic sea ice and polar ice sheets. Triggering just a few of these feedbacks would likely “activate other tipping elements in a domino-like cascade” leading to an irreversible transition to a Hothouse Earth (Figure 1).


We're on course for 3.3°C (6°F) of warming by 2100

Unfortunately, we’re on a trajectory to exceed the dangerous 2°C warming threshold. The planet has already warmed by 1°C since pre-industrial times, and temperatures are climbing at a rate of 0.17 °C per decade. The decadal climate outlook issued by the UK Met Office in January predicted that global temperatures in the period 2019-2023 will likely average between 1.03°C and 1.57°C above the preindustrial levels of 1850-1900. They predicted a roughly 10% chance that the global average will spike above 1.5°C during that period.

As I wrote in my March post, Stopping Human-Caused Air Pollution Would Prevent 5.6 Million Air Pollution Deaths Per Year, air pollution is masking an additional 0.5°C of warming that will be realized once we stop emitting so much sunlight-reflecting small particles into the atmosphere.

According to the Climate Action Tracker (CAT), a consortium of three independent European research groups, the pledges and targets agreed to by the 195 nations that signed the 2016 Paris Climate Accord would result in global warming of 3°C (5.4°F) warming by 2100. That agreement counted on strong additional actions and leadership by the biggest emitting nations to force additional cuts in greenhouse gas emissions and keep warming below 2°C. However, the current policies we’ve adopted would result in 3.3°C (6°F) of warming, said CAT.

The authors of the Hothouse Earth paper have given us a convincing argument that even strong action to control greenhouse gas emissions and limit global warming to 2°C may not be enough to prevent the destruction of a livable climate for humans. They applaud the significant progress that has been made in driving the renewable energy revolution and in slowing down population growth, but emphasize that “widespread, rapid, and fundamental transformations will likely be required to reduce the risk of crossing the threshold and locking in the Hothouse Earth pathway.”

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Global-CO2-Emissions-Hit-All-Time-High-2018-Hothouse-Earth-our-Future



Agelbert NOTE: THIS 🌊(see below) is guaranteed with the 3.3°C (6°F) of warming trajectory we ARE ON.


El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #324 on: April 10, 2019, 06:03:32 pm »

A Story of the Future of Earth | David Wallace-Wells | RSA Replay
20,255 views


The RSA

Streamed live on Feb 13, 2019

We think we know what’s at stake when it comes to climate change, and we often treat it as if it’s tomorrow’s problem. The real story is much, much more urgent. We have released more carbon into the atmosphere over the last thirty years than in the rest of human history, bringing the planet to the brink of climate catastrophe in less than a generation. And yet we still think of climate action as a peripheral concern; a ‘nice to have’ once our more pressing priorities are taken care of.

New York magazine deputy editor and viral sensation David Wallace-Wells paints a disturbing picture of what we’re up against, warning of the real human costs and irrevocable planetary damage that climate change will bring – and sooner than we think. No longer can we live in ignorance or denial. He issues an urgent call to arms, imploring us to change the way we think and talk about our planet’s future.

SUBSCRIBE to our channel!

Follow the RSA on Twitter: https://twitter.com/RSAEvents
Like RSA Events on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rsaeventsoff...
Listen to RSA podcasts: https://soundcloud.com/the_rsa
See RSA Events behind the scenes: https://instagram.com/rsa_events/

Category Education
El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #325 on: April 18, 2019, 07:21:12 pm »
Agelbert NOTE: This video has some cool special effects, but it is way too optimistic, tragically so, about how things will be in the year 2100. Notice the military two jets (obviously running on FOSSIL FUELS) in one of the scenes. WTF was THAT about if not some clever subliminal message that BiG Oil and the Pentagon bloated budget are STILL GONNA BE HERE.

The discussion of melting glaciers gives the erroneous impression that there will still BE some ice left on glaciers in the year 2100. We will be lucky to have any ice on land based glaciers (outside of Greenland and Antarctica) by 2050!

Finally, there is ZERO talk about the horrendously high 🌡️ temperatures that will be killing people on most of the planet long before 2100.

IOW, the whole video is designed to take the edge off the extreme urgency of dealing with this Catastrophic Climate Change existential crisis now by showing a bit of flooding by the year 2100. Don't be lulled by this happy talk disguised as a "warning".

Both the temperatures AND the flooding will be far worse than this video assumes.


Enjoy the video but don't forget that the video failed to mention that over HALF of all the polluting emissions driving this sea level and temperature rise happened AFTER the year 2000! Showing a glacier in 1851 and then in 2019 serves only to cloud the urgency of dealing with the RECENT emissions that have already baked in over 4 degrees Celcius 😱 of temperature rise into our climate "cake".



Associated article:

El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #326 on: April 20, 2019, 02:31:16 pm »
 

April 19th, 2019 by Zachary Shahan

This Is How It’s Gonna Go Down (With Tesla)

SNIPPET:

To have a little fun and to have something to check on later to see how crazy I am, I decided to come up with a forecast on some major Tesla milestones. I have a feeling this is not a smart thing to do, but I’m going to do it anyway. Here’s my wild ass guess at how it’s gonna go down with Tesla:

In 2018, Tesla Model 3 becomes one of the 5 best selling cars in the USA in the second half of the year and the 11th best selling car for the full year. (Easy one.)

In second half of 2018, Tesla Model 3 becomes best selling vehicle in California. (Another easy one.)

In 2019, Tesla Model 3 becomes best selling luxury vehicle (all classes) in USA. (Okay, the last “easy” one.)

In 2019, Tesla Model 3 becomes best selling vehicle in Norway.

In 2019, Tesla Model 3 is again one of the 15 best selling cars in the USA, and the best selling luxury car.

In 2020, Tesla Model 3 reaches 500,000 sales in a year.

In 2020, Tesla Model 3 is one of the 5 best selling cars in the USA.

In 2021, Tesla Model Y is one of the 10 best selling vehicles in USA and Model is again one of the 10 best selling vehicles.

In 2022, Tesla reaches 1 million vehicle sales in a year. (This is slightly behind Elon Musk’s forecast of 1.1 million sales in 2021.)

In 2024, Tesla Model 3 and Model Y are two of the world’s 15 best selling vehicles.

In 2025, Tesla is one of the world’s 5 best selling automakers.

What are your thoughts? Where do you think I’m crazy? Where do you think I’m spot on? 🧐

Note: Some of these forecasts could get screwed up if certain Chinese automakers blow up in size and their hottest models take control of global sales charts.

Full article:

https://cleantechnica.com/2019/04/19/this-is-how-its-gonna-go-down-with-tesla-maybe/

Agelbert COMMENT: 👍🍀I would add a slight modification to the events of 2021😀.

In 2021, Tesla Model Y is one of the 10 THE best selling vehicle in the USA due to the Electric Vehicle for Internal Combustion Engine Polluting Clunker Legislation passed by the Democratic Party controlled Senate and House of Representatives.

One month after being inaugurated, President Sanders signed this portion of extensive Green New Deal Legislation working its way through Congress to get the USA off of biosphere degrading hydrocarbon fuels.

A consortium of you know who (i.e. 🐉🦕🦖) corporations hired former Attorney General Barr 😈 to challenge this Legislation on the basis that it undermined National Security (i.e. 🐉🦕🦖) and was Super UnConstitutional. Barr stated that, "This energy sector (i.e. 🐉🦕🦖) and economy (i.e.💵🎩👹🍌) destroying Socialist/Communist evil gross attack on the freedom of all red blooded Americans (i.e.💵🐉🦕🦖🎩) will be overturned by the Supreme Court".

December 2021: Four Supreme Court Justices, all of whom were named by Republican Presidents, abruptly resigned within days of President Sanders signing into Law the recent Legislation authorizing a new total of 15 Justices for the Supreme Court.

December 25, 2021 🎄: According to Vice President Elizabeth Warren, the names of some of those being considered for the Supreme Court are Jay Inslee, Bill McKibben, Jill Stein and James Hansen.

El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution
Re: Future Earth
« Reply #327 on: July 05, 2019, 11:30:14 pm »
What will life be like after Arctic Blue-Ocean-Zero: Abrupt Climate System Disruption
10,268 views


Paul Beckwith
Published on Jul 4, 2019

Blue Ocean Zero (BO-0; first Sept with essentially zero Arctic sea ice) is ever more likely each year. I chat on when it will occur + dire consequences we can expect. BO+2 years will have 3 months ice-free (Aug-Sept-Oct); BO+6 extends to July and Nov; BO+9 will be ice-free year round. Greenland, alone and exposed, will shed ice like crazy (greatly increasing sea-level rise); the cold centroid will shift from the North Pole to be over Greenland. Jet streams can become quasi-stationary, only shifting with the seasons. Where will we live to avoid the worst; how will we grow food?

Please donate at http://paulbeckwith.net to support my video efforts to keep you informed on the latest abrupt climate change risks.

Category Science & Technology
El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

Surly1

  • Administrator
  • Sr. Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 273
'Florida really tops the charts' of states climate change will heat up, report says

https://phys.org/news/2019-07-florida-tops-states-climate.html



Miamians are already used to stifling heat waves that leave them sprinting from air-conditioned cars to air-conditioned buildings or flocking to the beach to cool off. Or so they think.

But if a new report on climate-change induced global warming is right, residents could feel the heat a lot more by the middle of the century. Scientists from the climate advocacy group Union of Concerned Scientists are predicting that the city could go from a couple weeks a year that feel like 100 degrees to nearly four months of scorching hot days, with the rest of Florida not far behind.

High temperatures are linked to all kinds of health problems, from heart and lung conditions to exacerbating mental health issues. In South Florida, almost a dozen elderly people elderly people died when the air conditioning went out after Hurricane Irma. Soaring thermometer readings have already forced some outdoor workers to shift their labor earlier or later in the day.

"Florida really tops the charts on so many different metrics," said Erika Spanger-Siegfried, lead climate analyst for the group. "The southeast region leads the nation, and Florida is the state within that region that will be most affected."

Spanger-Sigfried and her team analyzed historical heat records from 1970 to 2000 to come up with historical averages for cities, counties, states and regions in the lower 48 states, and used 18 different climate models to project temperatures into the future. What they found: with no action to cut carbon emissions, temperatures could soar to harmful, even deadly, levels by mid-century.

High temperatures are historically most common in the southwest, where it got so hot in 2017 that airplanes couldn't take off.

But it's not temperature alone that matters for physical well-being. As most Floridians already know, it's not the heat—it's the humidity.

"Our bodies can cope with high temperatures if we can sweat," said Spanger-Siegfried. "But as the humidity rises, it gets harder for our body to cool."

The heat index is a combination of temperature and humidity that results in a "feels like" temperature.

Right now, there are about 25 days a year that feel like they're above 100 degrees in Florida, like the heatwave last month. Without action to change emissions, scientists estimate there will be 105 of those 100 degree plus days a year in Florida in a few decades, around 2036 to 2065. By late century, that number could climb to 141 days.

Predictions for Miami-Dade County are worse. Instead of the statewide average of 25 days where it feels like 100 degrees, Miami-Dade already has 41 and by the middle of the century, that could be 134. That's more than any other county in the state.

The researchers created an interactive tool to show how hot it might get in specific cities and counties depending on how much climate change is slowed, or if it's not slowed at all.

More hot days spells trouble for outdoor workers, who don't always have strict guidelines for breaks. More than half of agricultural workers in Homestead surveyed by the organization WeCount! last year reported they weren't allowed to rest in the shade, and 69% said they had experienced symptoms of heat-related illness.

It doesn't help that the natural instinct when the temperatures rise is to crank up the AC, which Spanger-Siegfried pointed out consumes even more electricity and burns even more fuel.

"If we use dirty sources of fuel to keep our indoor areas cool, we're making our outdoor areas warmer," she said.

Not that everyone even has AC. Federal rules for public housing don't require air conditioning, leaving low-income residents to buy their own or suffer without one.

On a hotter planet, people who use public transit will also bear the brunt of the higher temperatures. While Miami often reaches intense temperatures, the county installed its first—and what appears to be its only—air-conditioned bus stop in 2016.

A cheaper way to cool down urban areas, which are usually hotter than rural areas thanks to all the metal, glass and pavement, is nature's original solution: trees. Miami-Dade did a tree canopy survey in 2016 with the University of Florida and Florida International University and found that the county has about 20% of its land covered by trees, out of a possible 44 percent. Researchers found the trees were clustered in wealthier, whiter neighborhoods like Coral Gables and were lacking in lower income neighborhoods primarily occupied by people of color.

The county began the Million Trees Miami program to solve the problem and bring the total average canopy in the county up to 30% by 2020. They've since scrapped the deadline, said Gabriela Lopez, community image manager for Neat Streets Miami, and instead just focus on adding trees wherever they can.

"We have been able to record the planting of approximately 300,000 trees. However, we know that more trees have probably been planted since the initiative began," she said.

But while trees can help cool down a neighborhood, soak up flood waters and even raise property values, the ultimate solution to stop rising temperatures at their source is to emit less into the atmosphere, said Spanger-Siegfried.

"We need to start and end with thinking about making emissions cuts," she said.

AGelbert

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 27343
  • Location: Colchester, Vermont
    • Renwable Revolution

Yep. The heat plus sea level rise plus that coral base of Florida subsiding due to increased ocean acidification will result in the following long before (as the article that accompanies this graphic, and several other excellent 'before and after' graphics' :o, erroneously claims) 2100.


El viento sopla de donde quiere, y oyes su sonido; mas ni sabes de dónde viene, ni a dónde va;
así es todo aquel que es nacido del Espíritu. Juan 2:8

 

+-Recent Topics

Creeping Police State by AGelbert
July 23, 2019, 09:30:38 pm

Money by AGelbert
July 23, 2019, 08:06:49 pm

🦕🦖 Hydrocarbon 🐍 Hellspawn Mens Rea Actus Reus modus operandi by AGelbert
July 23, 2019, 06:50:15 pm

Homebody Handy Hints by AGelbert
July 23, 2019, 06:28:18 pm

Doomstead Diner Daily by Surly1
July 23, 2019, 06:48:36 am

Corruption in Government by AGelbert
July 22, 2019, 11:32:21 pm

Genocide by AGelbert
July 22, 2019, 09:56:54 pm

Electric Vehicles by AGelbert
July 22, 2019, 02:24:36 pm

Plants Which are BOTH Nutritional and Medicinal by AGelbert
July 22, 2019, 02:14:18 pm

War Provocations and Peace Actions by AGelbert
July 22, 2019, 01:24:44 pm