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Author Topic: New Pandemic?  (Read 8125 times)

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Surly1

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New Pandemic?
« on: January 22, 2020, 07:10:34 am »
Now landed with cases reported in Australia and the US.

This terrifying graph shows how fast the Wuhan virus has spread so far, and how close it is to becoming a global pandemic



An alarming graph shows how fast the Wuhan coronavirus has spread in the past two weeks alone and highlights how soon it could become a pandemic.

The bar graph was posted on Twitter by Cate Cadell, the China correspondent for Reuters, on Wednesday. 

It shows that in the last three days, the number of infections has risen sharply, as have the number of deaths, and the number of countries discovering infected people.


AGelbert

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Coronavirus: The Virus That Can Become a Pandemic 👀
« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2020, 08:48:50 pm »
Coronavirus: The Virus That Can Become a Pandemic 👀
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The New CoronaVirus out of China could turn into a pandemic and without Universal Healthcare. Americans could face the worst of it. How prepared are you?

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AGelbert

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Re: New Pandemic?
« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2020, 12:13:37 pm »

Fri, 01/31/2020 - 11:40

Authored by Richard Breslow via Bloomberg

SNIPPET:



Full article:


Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

Surly1

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Trump Has Sabotaged America’s Coronavirus Response
« Reply #3 on: February 01, 2020, 07:12:38 am »
Trump Has Sabotaged America’s Coronavirus Response
As it improvises its way through a public health crisis, the United States has never been less prepared for a pandemic.



U.S. President Donald Trump and his former White House physician, Ronny Jackson, listen to a presentation about new technology used by the Department of Veterans Affairs during an event at the White House on Aug. 3, 2017. BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGE

When Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the director-general of the World Health Organization (WHO), declared the Wuhan coronavirus a public health emergency of international concern on Thursday, he praised China for taking “unprecedented” steps to control the deadly virus. “I have never seen for myself this kind of mobilization,” he noted. “China is actually setting a new standard for outbreak response.”

The epidemic control efforts unfolding today in China—including placing some 100 million citizens on lockdown, shutting down a national holiday, building enormous quarantine hospitals in days’ time, and ramping up 24-hour manufacturing of medical equipment—are indeed gargantuan. It’s impossible to watch them without wondering, “What would we do? How would my government respond if this virus spread across my country?”

For the United States, the answers are especially worrying because the government has intentionally rendered itself incapable. In 2018, the Trump administration fired the government’s entire pandemic response chain of command, including the White House management infrastructure. In numerous phone calls and emails with key agencies across the U.S. government, the only consistent response I encountered was distressed confusion. If the United States still has a clear chain of command for pandemic response, the White House urgently needs to clarify what it is
If the United States still has a clear chain of command for pandemic response, the White House urgently needs to clarify what it is
—not just for the public but for the government itself, which largely finds itself in the dark.

When Ebola broke out in West Africa in 2014, President Barack Obama recognized that responding to the outbreak overseas, while also protecting Americans at home, involved multiple U.S. government departments and agencies, none of which were speaking to one another. Basically, the U.S. pandemic infrastructure was an enormous orchestra full of talented, egotistical players, each jockeying for solos and fame, refusing to rehearse, and demanding higher salaries—all without a conductor. To bring order and harmony to the chaos, rein in the agency egos, and create a coherent multiagency response overseas and on the homefront, Obama anointed a former vice presidential staffer, Ronald Klain, as a sort of “epidemic czar” inside the White House, clearly stipulated the roles and budgets of various agencies, and placed incident commanders in charge in each Ebola-hit country and inside the United States. The orchestra may have still had its off-key instruments, but it played the same tune.

Building on the Ebola experience, the Obama administration set up a permanent epidemic monitoring and command group inside the White House National Security Council (NSC) and another in the Department of Homeland Security (DHS)—both of which followed the scientific and public health leads of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the diplomatic advice of the State Department.

On the domestic front, the real business of assuring public health and safety is a local matter, executed by state, county, and city departments that operate under a mosaic of laws and regulations that vary jurisdiction by jurisdiction. Some massive cities, such as New York City or Boston, have large budgets, clear regulations, and epidemic experiences that have left deep benches of medical and public health talent. But much of the United States is less fortunate on the local level, struggling with underfunded agencies, understaffing, and no genuine epidemic experience. Large and small, America’s localities rely in times of public health crisis on the federal government.

Bureaucracy matters. Without it, there’s nothing to coherently manage an alphabet soup of agencies housed in departments ranging from Defense to Commerce, Homeland Security to Health and Human Services (HHS).

But that’s all gone now.

In the spring of 2018, the White House pushed Congress to cut funding for Obama-era disease security programs, proposing to eliminate $252 million in previously committed resources for rebuilding health systems in Ebola-ravaged Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea. Under fire from both sides of the aisle, President Donald Trump dropped the proposal to eliminate Ebola funds a month later. But other White House efforts included reducing $15 billion in national health spending and cutting the global disease-fighting operational budgets of the CDC, NSC, DHS, and HHS. And the government’s $30 million Complex Crises Fund was eliminated.

In May 2018, Trump ordered the NSC’s entire global health security unit shut down, calling for reassignment of Rear Adm. Timothy Ziemer and dissolution of his team inside the agency. The month before, then-White House National Security Advisor John Bolton pressured Ziemer’s DHS counterpart, Tom Bossert, to resign along with his team. Neither the NSC nor DHS epidemic teams have been replaced. The global health section of the CDC was so drastically cut in 2018 that much of its staff was laid off and the number of countries it was working in was reduced from 49 to merely 10. Meanwhile, throughout 2018, the U.S. Agency for International Development and its director, Mark Green, came repeatedly under fire from both the White House and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. And though Congress has so far managed to block Trump administration plans to cut the U.S. Public Health Service Commissioned Corps by 40 percent, the disease-fighting cadres have steadily eroded as retiring officers go unreplaced.

Klain has been warning for two years that the United States was in grave danger should a pandemic emerge. In 2017 and 2018, the philanthropist billionaire Bill Gates met repeatedly with Bolton and his predecessor, H.R. McMaster, warning that ongoing cuts to the global health disease infrastructure would render the United States vulnerable to, as he put it, the “significant probability of a large and lethal modern-day pandemic occurring in our lifetimes.” And an independent, bipartisan panel formed by the Center for Strategic and International Studies concluded that lack of preparedness was so acute in the Trump administration that the “United States must either pay now and gain protection and security or wait for the next epidemic and pay a much greater price in human and economic costs.”

The next epidemic is now here; we’ll soon know the costs imposed by the Trump administration’s early negligence and present panic. On Jan. 29, Trump announced the creation of the President’s Coronavirus Task Force, an all-male group of a dozen advisors, five from the White House staff. Chaired by Secretary of Health and Human Services Alex Azar, the task force includes men from the CDC, State Department, DHS, the Office of Management and Budget, and the Transportation Department. It’s not clear how this task force will function or when it will even convene.

In the absence of a formal structure, the government has resorted to improvisation. In practical terms, the U.S. government’s public health effort is led by Daniel Jernigan, the incident commander for the Wuhan coronavirus response at the CDC. Jernigan is responsible for convening meetings of the nation’s state health commissioners and briefing CDC Director Robert Redfield and his boss, Azar. Meanwhile, state-level health leaders told me that they have been sharing information with one another and deciding how best to prepare their medical and public health workers without waiting for instructions from federal leadership. The most important federal program for  local medical worker and hospital epidemic training, however, will run out of money in May, as Congress has failed to vote on its funding. The HHS Office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR) is the bulwark between hospitals and health departments versus pandemic threats; last year HHS requested $2.58 billion, but Congress did not act.

On Thursday, the CDC confirmed the first human-to-human spread of the Wuhan coronavirus inside the United States, between a husband and wife in Chicago. While the wife acquired her infection traveling in China, she passed the virus to her husband on return to the United States. Though only six Wuhan coronavirus cases have been confirmed in the United States, with no deaths, Nancy Messonnier of the CDC told reporters on Thursday: “Moving forward, we can expect to see more cases, and more cases mean the potential for more person-to-person spread.”

Surveying the largest drug store chains in New York City on Wednesday, I found that all were sold out of medical face masks and latex gloves, as is Amazon. Searching online for protective masks reveals that dozens of products intended for use to block dust and particles far larger than viruses are garnering brisk sales—and none available that can actually prevent viral exposure. The surge in mask and glove sales to worried citizens all over the world needs refereeing. Bona fide anti-viral masks should be prioritized to front-line medical and public health staff, and the populace shouldn’t be misled into purchasing and wearing products that offer no genuine protection.

Countering misinformation, conspiracy theories, rumormongering, and discriminatory behavior against people believed to be disease spreaders requires thoughtful communication from leadership at the highest levels of government. None is in evidence. Instead, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross appeared on Fox Business on Thursday to fan the flames of fear for the sake of hypothetical business opportunities. “It does give businesses yet another thing to consider when they go through their review of their supply chain,” Ross said. “It’s another risk factor that people need to take into account. So, I think it will help accelerate the return of jobs to North America, some to the U.S., probably some to Mexico as well.” Meanwhile, Trump, asked at the recent World Economic Forum gathering in Davos, Switzerland how he intended to respond to the epidemic, said the situation was under control and a world away from the United States.

In a statement released this week, Pompeo sought to calm Americans, saying, “People should know that there are enormous efforts underway by the United States government to make sure that we do everything we can to protect the American people and to reduce the risk all around the globe.” But late Thursday night, the secretary—in clear defiance of WHO’s admonishment against restricting travel to and from China—issued an advisory saying, “Those currently in China should consider departing.”

In recent days, a handful of policy leaders have been shifted from government positions focused on weapons of mass destruction and bioterrorism to the slowly emerging epidemic response infrastructure, such as Matthew Pottinger, Philip Ferro, and David Wade on the NSC and the bioterrorism expert Anthony Ruggiero. It’s not at all clear how they would handle an explosion of coronavirus cases, were such a dreadful thing to occur in the United States. “The full weight of the US Government is working on this,” a senior administration official told CNN on Tuesday. “As with any interagency effort of this scale, the National Security Council works closely with the whole of government to ensure a coordinated and unified effort.”

The last time the U.S. government and its many local and state counterparts faced an explosive pandemic on American soil was 2009, with the spread of H1N1, or swine flu. The then-new Obama administration was still filling key positions across the executive branch when the epidemic emerged that spring, and it struggled to set the proper tone in reaction to what turned out to be an exceptionally contagious, but not unusually virulent, form of influenza. The challenge revealed enormous gaps in America’s ability to swiftly manufacture vaccines, stock-outs of face masks and vital hospital supplies, and serious difficulty in keeping ahead of outright lies, conspiracy theories, and rumormongering on cable TV and social media. The much more deadly pandemic test came in 1981, with the arrival of HIV: It did not go well, as history has well established, because homophobia was so pervasive in the country and within government that gay men, rather than the virus killing them, were treated as a national scourge.

Since the great influenza pandemic of 1918, the United States has been spared terrifying epidemics. Americans now are epidemic voyeurs. They watch YouTube videos of China’s struggles. They see the government attack its epidemic by building a 1,000-bed quarantine hospital in a single week, lock down cities larger than New York or Los Angeles, ramp up 24/7 manufacture of face masks and protective gear, deploy its armed forces medical corps to treat ailing citizens, send enormous convoys of food and supplies to anxious citizens of Wuhan, and release terrifying, growing tallies daily of its swelling patient populations. They look in horror at panicked lines of masked people waiting to learn if their fevers are caused by the deadly disease, at bodies lying on cold floors in overcrowded hospitals, and at people crying out from behind their masks for help. And they ask, “What would the United States do? What would the White House do?” The answers are not reassuring.

Laurie Garrett is a former senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations and a Pulitzer Prize winning science writer.

Surly1

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http://The real number of coronavirus cases is more than 75,000, according to a scientific model that says the outbreak will double in size every 6.4 days

A new study suggests that official figures for the scale of the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak have been far too low.
The study, published in the prestigious Lancet journal, projected that as of January 25, there were 75,815 people infected in Wuhan. At the time the official figure was 761.
It also dismissed a lockdown in Wuhan as "negligible," since the virus had already spread by the time it was implemented.




The true number of people infected with the deadly Wuhan coronavirus is more than 75,000, according to a scientific model, which claims the official number for those infected is far too low.

Academics at the University of Hong Kong published a paper on Friday in The Lancet, a prestigious medical journal, estimating the rate at which the virus is spreading.

It used official data on the number of infections to calculate what it said was the true extent of the disease — almost 100 times the official figures.

Underpinning the analysis is the idea that the number of international cases is disproportionately high given the number of people who travel from Wuhan to other countries.
The academics used the international figures to reverse-engineer a total for the number of cases among greater Wuhan's population of around 19 million.

They said that, as of January 25, they estimated that the number of cases was 75,815.

According to CNN, the official total on January 25 for the whole of Hubei province, which includes greater Wuhan, was 761, barely 1% of the total projected by the scientists.

The paper is not the first to suggest that the official figures do not adequately capture the scope of the outbreak. A paper from Imperial College London published on January 17 suggested that the figures were too low by a factor of 35.

As part of their model, the Hong Kong academics predicted that the scale of the virus would double every 6.4 days. By that logic, the number of people in greater Wuhan with the virus as of this Friday (January 31) would be 151,630.

The official number of cases on January 31 was less than 10,000. The number increased to around 12,000 as of February 1 local time.

The authors of the study said they had taken into account the effect of the dramatic lockdown imposed on Wuhan and surrounding cities last week.

However, they said that its overall effectiveness would be "negligible" given that a critical mass of cases had already been observed in several other cities.

In a meeting on Thursday, the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus outbreak a global health emergency.

On Friday, the US government announced a ban on any foreigner entering the country within 14 days of being in mainland China. It said US citizens would be allowed to enter but placed in quarantine.

AGelbert

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Coronavirus Hammers Bulk Shipping
« Reply #5 on: February 01, 2020, 08:22:41 pm »


Coronavirus Hammers Bulk Shipping

By Bloomberg on Jan 31, 2020 12:19 pm

dry bulk vessel

(Bloomberg) — The coronavirus crisis in China has hammered many markets this month. None may have felt a bigger impact than freight. Rates for giant Capesize ships, typically used to carry raw materials such as iron ore, plunged 90% from a September peak to less than $4,000 a day based on an index that tracks their earnings. A wider […]  Read full story...
Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Quote
Coronaviruses tend to be contagious in relatively close contact (within two meters / six feet) but masks may not be enough protection, as it may spread by contact with surfaces and through the eyes.  

All available evidence supports the conclusion that this virus is highly contagious, i.e. it isn't that difficult to catch.

Mon, 02/03/2020 - 14:00

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog

Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Coronavirus Disrupts Global Container Shipping
« Reply #7 on: February 07, 2020, 07:03:05 pm »


Coronavirus Disrupts Global Container Shipping
By Reuters on Feb 06, 2020 12:59 pm


By Jonathan Saul and Lisa Baertlein – LONDON/LOS ANGELES, Feb 6 (Reuters) – China’s fast-spreading coronavirus is throwing the global container shipping trade out of sync, with lines re-routing cargoes and reducing calls to Chinese ports, setting the scene for months of delivery delays ahead, industry sources said. The spread of the deadly virus has shut down […]  Read full story...
Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Coronavirus: Is the Climate Plague Here?
« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2020, 07:09:28 pm »

Coronavirus: Is the Climate Plague Here?   
1,158 views•Feb 14, 2020


The Real News Network
386K subscribers

Journalists Bryn Nelson 👍 and Jane C. Hu 👍 talk about how the climate crisis means we could see more deadly outbreaks, plus the rise of xenophobia as the virus spreads.

Subscribe to our page and support our work at https://therealnews.com/donate.
Category News & Politics

Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Re: New Pandemic?
« Reply #9 on: February 17, 2020, 02:22:05 pm »

Quote
ItaliaSovrana@peppathefrog

Director of the Japan Community Health Care Organisation
“70% of those testing positive are not showing any symptoms at all”

Xinxian country, extend quarantine to 21 days for citizens returning from Wuhan, following two unusual cases#Coronavirus https://amp.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/feb/17/coronavirus-live-updates-us-citizens-japan-diamond-princess-cruise-ship-china-wuhan-hubei-cases-death-toll-latest-news

6:53 AM - Feb 17, 2020

Source:
https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/economics/coronavirus-tweets-of-the-day-lnk4SDP5uEqkSWbU9Yb0SQ

Agelbert NOTE: The scariest thing about this virus is the fact that 70% of those which test positive for it HAVE NO SYMPTOMS. That means that it will continue to spread exponentially. When the amount of infected passes above a certain amount, quarantine is not affordable, practical or effective, as far as government efforts to contain the epidemic are concerned. At that point, which the 'no symptoms' stalking horse of this virus is rapidly bringing to deadly fruitition, a global depression is inevitable.

Consider, for example(s), the tourist and hotel businesses that have always done quite well, even with 90% of the global population being assaulted continually by greedball capitalists doing their neoliberal profit over people and planet thing. 

NOW, greedball money CANNOT protect the top 10% when they travel, so they will not travel. No greedballs traveling, no tourist industry, no cruise ship or hotel profits, etc.

The greedballs will finally learn what it is like to NOT be in control. No amount of 🐍 stock market rigging and fascist 🦀 Trumpian happy talk economics numbers fakery will be able to stop the worldwide depression as everybody does their best to avoid everybody that might be infected.   
   
« Last Edit: February 17, 2020, 09:06:05 pm by AGelbert »
Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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February 18, 2020


In China, 760M people are locked down. Apple just issued a warning. In Japan, there is a sudden spike coronavirus cases.



Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Slump in Global Goods Trade to 🌠 Deepen With Coronavirus, WTO Says

By Bloomberg on Feb 18, 2020 10:02 am

By Brendan Murray (Bloomberg) — Global trade in goods will likely stay weak in coming months as disruptions from coronavirus in China staunch the movement of international commerce already slowed by tariffs and uncertainty, according to the World Trade Organization. The Geneva-based body’s latest forward-looking Goods Trade Barometer stood at 95.5, compared with a level of 96.6 in […]  Read full story...
Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Wed, 02/19/2020 - 17:05


SNIPPETS:

Kentaro Iwata, professor at the infectious diseases division of Japan’s Kobe University, described the situation on board as “completely inadequate in terms of infection control”.

This whole thing could end up being like the Ebola scare of 2014, something legitimately unnerving, but ultimately not widespread outside of the hot zone. We may get lucky and Covid-19 may by some miracle be contained.

But I wouldn’t bet my family’s lives on it.

Full article:

Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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📢 Hat Tip to Surly ✨ for this Important Story
« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2020, 02:32:10 pm »

When Will We Admit Covid-19 Is Unstoppable and Global Depression Is Inevitable?
charleshughsmith.blogspot.com - Given the exquisite precariousness of the global financial system and economy, hopes for a brief and mild downturn are wildly unrealistic. If we asked a panel of epidemiologists to imagine a virus op…

Read more Doomstead Diner Daily 02/24/20

Agelbert NOTE: The effect of Covid-19 news on the restaurant business is going to be bankrupting. Already Pizza Hut (which includes Wendy's) is cratering. They announced that they would be closing about 500 locations for "remodeling" . The Wendy's billionaire CEO Nelson Peltz just held a big 🦀 Trump fundraiser... Five will get ya ten that Mr. Nelson Peltz is fishing for a bailout.

Whatever Trump does to welfare queen his fellow crooked bastards out of bankruptcy, it will not work this time. ALL these businesses, from restaurannts to cruise ships to hotels, etc. CANNOT SURVIVE if people of all walks of life avoid other people (as much as possible) for several months until this Covid-19 virus is less of a health threat. AND furthermore, Covid-19 is just ONE of the multiple threats to the global economy that Catastrophic Climate Change is inexorably putting in the faces of all types of unethical profit over people and planet "business as usual"  Capitalists. Ethical businesses will be negatively impacted as well. 

This is the Black Swan combination of events that Wall Street has always feared. Expect TPTB here in the USA to debase our currency in order to save the bastards at the top (SEE: 2008 on hyperinflationary steroids). I hope they fail because, if they don't, we-the-people will be even poorer and more desperate than we are now. Desperate people = 💣 >>>>> 💥 .

Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

AGelbert

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Early Release / February 25, 2020 / 69

Update: Public Health Response to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Outbreak — United States, February 24, 2020

Daniel B. Jernigan, MD1; CDC COVID-19 Response Team (View author affiliations)

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6908e1.htm?s_cid=mm6908e1_e&deliveryName=USCDC_921-DM20815
Rob not the poor, because he is poor: neither oppress the afflicted in the gate:
For the Lord will plead their cause, and spoil the soul of those that spoiled them. Pr. 22:22-23

 

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